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Jockey profile

Mr D G Lavery

248 rides in the last 5 seasons · 180 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
from 1 Jan 2022
25–248
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=248
78 (32%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=248 · 0.76 incl. margin
−75.00
£1 level stake
n=248 at SP · −30.2%
£437k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 12% (75 rides). Rides mostly for Gavin Cromwell — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 248 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Gavin Cromwell: 16.2% from 111
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 7.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −65.00 to a £1 stake over 178 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gavin Cromwell supplies 45% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.2% vs 10.1%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (17.1%, n=35) and on Good to Soft going (14.6%, n=41). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.67 across 106 rides (7.5% strike, −58.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Land Rover Bumper at Punchestown (Apr 2022, £59,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.9%−2.2
n=178 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −65.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.5%+2.4
n=16 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −9.40
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8%−2.1
n=50 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −36.80
When favourite
22.2%
n=18 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −6.78
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.5%+2.4
n=16 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +3.33
Big fields · 14+ runners
12%+1.9
n=75 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +6.66
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.5%+0.4
n=19 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Gavin Cromwell 16.2% vs 10.1% · n=111
On Heavy going 17.1% vs 10.1% · n=35
On Good to Soft going 14.6% vs 10.1% · n=41
On Soft going 7.5% vs 10.1% · n=106
On first rides for the horse 7.9% vs 10.1% · n=178
Off a 31-60-day break 13% vs 10.1% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 165 19 11.5% −47.37
Flat 49 4 8.2% −6.88
Chase 24 2 8.3% −10.75
Hurdle 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 106 8 7.5% −58.40
Good 56 5 8.9% −29.26
Good to Soft 41 6 14.6% +20.33
Heavy 35 6 17.1% +2.33
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 43 5 11.6% +11.25
Down Royal 25 0 0% −25.00
Fairyhouse 19 3 15.8% +0.50
Downpatrick 18 2 11.1% +6.50
Navan 14 1 7.1% −10.50
Leopardstown 14 1 7.1% −11.38
Galway 13 1 7.7% −10.90
Naas 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Ballinrobe 10 1 10% −6.25
Kilbeggan 8 2 25% +11.33
Cork 8 1 12.5% −3.67
Wexford 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Bellewstown 7 1 14.3% −5.38
Laytown (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 19 2 10.5% −4.50
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 5 23.8% 0.80 −7.16
2nd–3rd fav 79 13 16.5% 0.93 −14.34
4th–6th fav 77 6 7.8% 1.19 −8.50
7th+ in betting 71 1 1.4% 0.53 −45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.5% completed · 34 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 24 66.7% 1 1 6 0 0
Hurdle 10 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lau And Shaz (IRE) 5 0 3 22 Apr 25
The Passing Wife (GB) 5 3 4 4 Aug 24
Seven Towers (IRE) 4 0 2 12 May 26
Auntie Ida (IRE) 4 0 0 21 Mar 26
Simply Natural (GB) 4 0 1 12 Jan 26
Kabylia (FR) 4 1 2 8 Jun 25
A Law Of Her Own (IRE) 4 1 3 20 Oct 22
Outofafrika (IRE) 3 1 1 30 Apr 26
Coole Cafe (IRE) 3 1 2 29 Apr 26
Araminta (FR) 3 0 2 31 Mar 26
Artsncrafts (IRE) 3 0 1 22 Jul 25
Sixandahalf (IRE) 3 1 3 11 Jul 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 180 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
15711131311148014110
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardGavin Cromwell
45% of all rides
16.2% SR · A/E 1.04
TrainerRWSR£1
Gavin Cromwell 111 18 16.2% +2.55
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
83
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.15m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 16 wins
Absolute Notions (IRE) — Goffs Land Rover Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2022
£59,000
Jimmy Two Times (IRE) — I.N.H. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2015 · Grade B
£35,750
Coole Cafe (IRE) — Kevin McManus Bookmaker Champion (Pro/Am) Flat Race (Listed) Limerick · Mar 2026 · Listed
£20,615
Notable horses
Supreme Doc (IRE) Jimmy Two Times (IRE) Moscow Mannon (IRE) The Passing Wife (GB) Honey Bach (IRE) Warne (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blue Bresil (FR) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,568 runs since 2013 (469 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,900 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Shirocco (GER) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,206 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,091 runs since 2011 (711 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 902 · newest first

The latest 50 of 902 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 October 2010 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Everest The Brave (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Hunters Steeplechase24f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 9/2
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rarely Miss Taken (IRE)T: W R Crawford SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 10th 40/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Marble Hill (FR)T: Gavin Cromwell Electric Galway (C & G) (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 2/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Payslip (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 9/4
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Whispered Verdict (GER)T: Gavin Cromwell Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 18/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Lamar Valley (GB)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 28/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Antrim Coast (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon14f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 33/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) The Ocean Queen (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 10/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Caprison (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 18/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Orderly Conduct (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Dunleath Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Summer Island (USA)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie (Q.R.) Handicap7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 11/2
10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Profit Surge (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports (Q.R.) Handicap6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Velvet Ash (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 11/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) She Means Business (IRE)T: Peter Fahey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 33/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Mergus Serrator (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Visit Tote26 On Course Today (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding · 18 ran 5th 5/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Payslip (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Downpatrick Racecourse Family Funday Supporters Flat Race19f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 5/2F
04 Jul 26 Bellewstown Hot Rock Harry (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell J.H. McLoughlin Oil Flat Race17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 22/1
03 Jul 26 Wexford Orderly Conduct (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Racing Again 22nd July Flat Race17f · Good · 11 ran 6th 10/1
26 May 26 Ballinrobe Fiveandahalf (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell QuinnBet Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/4
25 May 26 Ballinrobe Bacharach (GB)T: Gavin Cromwell McHale Orbital Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 11/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 25 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mr D G Lavery's strike rate?
Mr D G Lavery has won 25 of 248 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr D G Lavery do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 5 wins from 43 rides (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr D G Lavery ride most for?
Gavin Cromwell, with 111 rides since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (16.2%).
Is Mr D G Lavery in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr D G Lavery's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 248 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).