What is Mr A P Ryan's strike rate?

Mr A P Ryan has won 52 of 435 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr A P Ryan do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mr A P Ryan ride most for?

A. Slattery, with 145 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (19.3%).

Is Mr A P Ryan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mr A P Ryan's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 435 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr A P Ryan

435 rides in the last 5 seasons · 275 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

52–435

Wins / Runs

12%

Strike rate

n=435

149 (34%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=435 · 0.90 incl. margin

−88.53

£1 level stake

n=435 at SP · −20.4%

£622k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (32 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 435 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 47.2% when favourite A. Slattery: 19.3% from 145 LTO winners: 15.6% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (2.7% over 37 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.96), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.50). A. Slattery supplies 33% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.3% vs 12%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (19.2%, n=125). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 3.9% over 51 rides, 8.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.52 across 66 rides (6.1% strike, −30.97 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.9%−2.1

n=274 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −57.59

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.6%+3.6

n=32 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −8.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.5%−7.5

n=67 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −45.12

When favourite

47.2%

n=36 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +2.65

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

12%+0.0

n=408 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −77.23

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.6%−3.4

n=151 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −26.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.0

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A. Slattery 19.3% vs 12% · n=145

Off a 15-30-day break 19.2% vs 12% · n=125

At Punchestown 2.7% vs 12% · n=37

In Chase races 3.9% vs 12% · n=51

Off a 61-180-day break 5.1% vs 12% · n=39

On Heavy going 6.1% vs 12% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

NH Flat 237 31 13.1% −42.83

Hurdle 86 9 10.5% −31.48

Flat 61 10 16.4% +21.28

Chase 51 2 3.9% −35.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 143 15 10.5% −74.16

Good 127 21 16.5% +39.03

Good to Soft 88 11 12.5% −19.93

Heavy 66 4 6.1% −30.97

Standard (AW) 8 1 12.5% +0.50

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 37 1 2.7% −29.00

Limerick 30 3 10% −7.30

Galway 28 3 10.7% −10.50

Thurles 25 1 4% −21.50

Listowel 24 2 8.3% −15.83

Cork 23 0 0% −23.00

Clonmel 23 3 13% −6.92

Tramore 20 3 15% −13.01

Kilbeggan 17 2 11.8% −5.17

Fairyhouse 17 0 0% −17.00

Ballinrobe 17 5 29.4% +35.70

Wexford 17 6 35.3% +8.28

Sligo 15 0 0% −15.00

Killarney 15 6 40% +45.15

Naas 14 2 14.3% +11.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 20 0 0% −20.00

Class 5 5 2 40% +8.50

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 2 1 50% +21.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 21 43.8% 1.36 +3.03

2nd–3rd fav 113 16 14.2% 0.85 −31.56

4th–6th fav 127 11 8.7% 1.26 −32.00

7th+ in betting 147 4 2.7% 0.99 −28.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.1% completed · 137 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 51 76.5% 2 3 7 0 0

Hurdle 86 91.9% 0 0 7 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lady Of The Vale (IRE) 13 2 7 10 Aug 23

Royal Hollow (IRE) 10 1 7 31 Jul 25

Parnell Street (IRE) 9 2 6 8 Mar 26

Chainofconsequence (IRE) 8 1 4 27 Feb 25

Battle Of Mirbat (IRE) 7 1 2 23 Nov 25

Divaboriva (IRE) 6 1 4 7 Dec 25

Beir Bua (IRE) 5 1 3 18 Jun 26

Dark Note (GB) 5 0 2 19 Jan 25

Fleur In The Park (IRE) 5 1 4 1 Apr 24

Burren Song (IRE) 5 0 2 31 Jul 23

Iron Sword (FR) 4 2 3 26 Sep 26

Caislean Gear (IRE) 4 2 3 2 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 275 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

046719819121721710

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardA. Slattery

33% of all rides
19.3% SR · A/E 1.20

TrainerRWSR£1

A. Slattery 145 28 19.3% −8.58

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£632k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 23 wins

Ike Sport (FR) — bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2024 · Class 2

£18,211

Smooth Tom (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race Curragh · Oct 2024

£11,800

Caislean Gear (IRE) — Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race Galway (IRE) · Aug 2026

£10,200

Notable horses

Lady Of The Vale (IRE) Parnell Street (IRE) Iron Sword (FR) Sunny South West (IRE) Caislean Gear (IRE) Mullaghgloss (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ocovango (GB) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,009 runs since 2019 (307 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,024 runs since 2011 (703 horses).

Affinisea (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 13% of 1,280 runs since 2022 (203 horses).

Berkshire (IRE) 35.7% · 5–14

Progeny have won 11.6% of 517 runs since 2022 (75 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.3% from 137. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.3% from 177.

Kingston Hill (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,649 runs since 2019 (204 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.

Beat Hollow (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 458 · newest first

The latest 50 of 458 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 February 2020 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Riversdale (GB)T: A. Slattery SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 9th 11/10F

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Hilly Filly (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan WTW Willis Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 16/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Socrates Smiled (IRE)T: A. Slattery Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/6F

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Crypto Crash (GB)T: David Kenneth Budds Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 6th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Park On The Green (IRE)T: Timothy Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 7th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Soleil D'aure (FR)T: Jack Doyle Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Bayswater Bloom (IRE)T: Miss Evanna McCutcheon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Poet's Sonnet (IRE)T: Paul Cashman Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Thrill A Minute (IRE)T: Jack Doyle GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 40/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Chipsrdown (IRE)T: A. Slattery Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 13th 4/1C

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Iron Sword (FR)T: A. Slattery Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 4/6F

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Dorans Law (IRE)T: P J Rothwell John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 14 ran 7th 9/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ebony King (IRE)T: A. Slattery Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon14f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 1st 11/2

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Anna Quaintance (IRE)T: Peter Fahey Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 18/1

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Paulin (FR)T: Jack Doyle Kevin McManus Bookmaker Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 22/1

23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Young Doran (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race20f · Good · 11 ran 9th 7/2

20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Sir Vinny (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Kinisla Farm & Home Store (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 2/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Old Court (IRE)T: T J O'Mara Dunleath Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 6th 66/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Iron Sword (FR)T: Andrew Slattery John Madden & Sons (Pro-Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 1st 6/5F

10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Alfred Tennyson (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie (Q.R.) Handicap7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr A P Ryan's strike rate?: Mr A P Ryan has won 52 of 435 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr A P Ryan do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr A P Ryan ride most for?: A. Slattery, with 145 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (19.3%).
Is Mr A P Ryan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr A P Ryan's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 435 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.