Fly At Dawn (USA)
Fly At Dawn (USA) is 3 from 5. Hasn't won since Sep 2016. Last raced off a career-high mark of 98.
- 3–5Wins / Runs
- 60%Strike rate
- 3 (60%)Placed
- +5.55£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 2.19Fair A/E n=5 · 1.98 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 20dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 95
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 2 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 16.5% of 158 runs since Jan 2008 (16 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +33.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | +5.7 | 2 from 2 |
| Good | 22 | 1 | 4.5% | −12 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | −2.2 | — |
| Soft | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | −7.4 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −16.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 88 | 16 | 18.2% | +1.7 | 1 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −16.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 65 | 13 | 20% | +3.5 | 2 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 60 | 7 | 11.7% | −4.8 | 1 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | +2.9 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Langlauf (USA) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m4f–1m6f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Langlauf (USA)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langlauf (USA) | 21 | 3 | 1m4f–1m6f | Class 2 |
| Arabic Scientist (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 2 | 100% | +7.25 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.70 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +2.05 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.25 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.70 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +2.05 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.80 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood | 3 | 2 | 67% | +2.05 |
| None | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Oct 16+16d | Newmarket | Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed) | 5/12 | ¾ | 9-2 | 98 | 95A | 92A | William Buick | 6/1 |
| 22 Sep 16+19d | Newmarket | Turftrax Nursery | 1/8 | 9-4 | 91 | 95A | 106A | William Buick | 9/2 | |
| 03 Sep 16+18d | Kempton (AW) | toteplacepot Conditions Stakes (Plus 10) | 3/5 | nk | 9-6 | 80 | — | 90B | William Buick | 11/2 |
| 16 Aug 16+25d | Kempton (AW) | ApolloBet Olympic Games Cashback Nursery | 1/4 | 9-6 | 79 | — | 82B | William Buick | 3/10F | |
| 22 Jul 16 | Newmarket | Adnams Ghost Ship Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) | 1/10 | 9-5 | — | — | 102A | James Doyle | 11/4 | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fly At Dawn won?
- Fly At Dawn (USA) won 3 of 5 archived starts in 2016, a strike rate of 60%. Placed 3 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trained Fly At Dawn?
- Fly At Dawn (USA) was trained by Charlie Appleby on the most recent run on record, at Newmarket on 8 October 2016.
- Who is Fly At Dawn's sire?
- Fly At Dawn (USA) is by Discreet Cat (USA) out of Emirates Girl (USA), whose sire is Unbridled's Song.
- What is Fly At Dawn's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 8 October 2016. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Fly At Dawn's sire's record?
- Discreet Cat (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 16.5% of 158 runs since Jan 2008 (16 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Fly At Dawn's siblings?
- Out of Emirates Girl (USA), Fly At Dawn (USA) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Langlauf (USA) (3). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Langlauf (USA)). The wins came over 1m4f–1m6f. As at Oct 2026.