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Trainer profile

Charlie Appleby

1,862 runners in the last 5 seasons · 480 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 4.4% of 360 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.
Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
562–1,862
Wins / Runs
30.2%
Strike rate
n=1,862
988 (53%)
Placed
1.10
n=1,854 · 0.95 incl. margin
−58.67
£1 level stake
n=1,862 at SP · −3.2%
£24.1m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
30.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 370 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 30% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). The yard is quiet just now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,862 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 47.7% when favourite W Buick: 33.9% from 968 Claiming riders: 31.6% Sends off the favourite in 43% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Haydock (41.7%, n=60) and Kempton (AW) (38.9%, n=211) — all clear of the yard's 30.2% baseline. It is weakest at York (12.5% over 64 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 25.3% (n=584, Fair A/E 1.09). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 26% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +23.71 to a £1 stake over 123 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 5 from 24 runners in the last 14 days (20.8%, 9.4pts below the 30.2% baseline). W Buick rides 52% of the entries and edges the yard's average (33.9% vs 30.2%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 13.7% over 51 runners, 16.5pts below the baseline. 312 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2018, £850,650). The stable star of the record: Space Blues (IRE) — 9 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 30.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
30.2%+0.0
n=427 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +35.22
Debutants · first career start
28.7%−1.5
n=408 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −26.45
First-time headgear · true-first definition
26%−4.2
n=123 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +23.71
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
28.6%−1.6
n=7 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +4.00
When favourite
47.7%
n=792 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −16.91
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
31.6%+1.4
n=98 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +8.56
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25.3%−4.9
n=584 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −44.43

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 30.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At York 12.5% vs 30.2% · n=64
At Ascot 17% vs 30.2% · n=147
Over 1m5f – 2m 13.7% vs 30.2% · n=51
With Billy Loughnane 42.3% vs 30.2% · n=104
At Haydock 41.7% vs 30.2% · n=60
At Kempton (AW) 38.9% vs 30.2% · n=211
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 553 172 31.1% +73.77
Good to Firm 495 127 25.7% −71.80
Standard (AW) 455 166 36.5% −26.09
Good to Soft 198 56 28.3% −5.85
Soft 135 35 25.9% −26.15
Heavy 24 6 25% −0.55
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newmarket 351 106 30.2% +69.23
Kempton (AW) 211 82 38.9% −17.25
Newmarket 208 76 36.5% +19.72
Ascot 147 25 17% −27.21
Sandown 93 23 24.7% −29.91
Newbury 80 25 31.3% −0.54
Doncaster 80 20 25% +13.01
Wolverhampton (AW) 75 27 36% −7.37
York 64 8 12.5% −39.80
Goodwood 61 16 26.2% −12.28
Haydock 60 25 41.7% +8.81
Yarmouth 52 20 38.5% +21.31
Southwell (AW) 50 17 34% −9.94
Chelmsford City (AW) 44 14 31.8% +9.62
Lingfield (AW) 39 16 41% +10.47

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 586 148 25.3% −46.43
Class 4 446 145 32.5% −83.25
Class 2 303 82 27.1% +72.67
Class 5 297 100 33.7% −12.52
Class 3 230 87 37.8% +10.86

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 836 391 46.8% 1.13 −14.87
2nd–3rd fav 713 136 19.1% 0.97 −104.30
4th–6th fav 241 31 12.9% 1.41 +53.50
7th+ in betting 72 4 5.6% 1.36 +7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Military Order (IRE) 15 6 9 25 Sep 26
Ancient Wisdom (FR) 15 5 10 16 Jun 26
Notable Speech (GB) 14 7 8 22 Aug 26
Symbol Of Honour (GB) 13 4 7 15 Aug 26
Wise Approach (IRE) 12 3 4 30 Sep 26
Arabian Crown (FR) 12 6 7 12 Sep 26
King Of Conquest (GB) 12 5 8 29 Jun 24
Bold Act (IRE) 11 5 8 8 Sep 23
Arabian Light (GB) 10 3 5 31 Oct 26
Military Code (GB) 10 2 4 13 Sep 26
Opera Ballo (IRE) 10 5 8 6 Sep 26
City Queen (IRE) 10 2 7 3 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 480 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
5 from 24 20.8% · −9.4pts vs baseline
Last 14 days20.8%
5-season base30.2%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
484021342624323032312734
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderW Buick
52% of all rides
33.9% SR · A/E 1.15
RiderRWSR£1
W Buick 968 328 33.9% +18.39
James Doyle 234 66 28.2% −2.83
Dougie Costello 105 26 24.8% +12.06
Billy Loughnane 104 44 42.3% −5.20
Harry Davies 64 15 23.4% −8.33
Connor Planas 44 10 22.7% +22.59
David Probert 32 8 25% −7.93
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
1,464
Archived wins
312
Pattern / graded wins
£51.9m
Prize money
2022
Best season · 156 wins
Masar (IRE) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2018 · Group 1
£850,650
Adayar (IRE) — Cazoo Derby (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Epsom Downs · Jun 2021 · Group 1
£637,988
Talk Of New York (GB) — Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2026 · Group 1
£623,810

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dubawi (IRE) 29.4% · 174–591
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,977 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Frankel (GB) 30.2% · 57–189
Progeny have won 18% of 7,529 runs since 2016 (880 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.3% from 269.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 32.2% · 37–115
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,970 runs since 2013 (1,115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 456. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 38.8% · 33–85
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,208 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.
Shamardal (USA) 31% · 26–84
Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.
Kingman (GB) 40.3% · 31–77
Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,514 runs since 2018 (777 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 968. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,584 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,584 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 July 2013 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Newmarket So This Is Love (GB)J: Connor Planas Cologne's 65 Preis Von Europa British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 7/1
30 Oct 26 Newmarket Aegean Prince (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark St Simon Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 10/11F
28 Oct 26 Nottingham Flash Of Colour (GB)J: Connor Planas EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 4) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 2) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Charlie Appleby's strike rate?
Charlie Appleby has won 562 of 1,862 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 30.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Appleby do best at?
Haydock by strike rate: 25 wins from 60 runners (41.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charlie Appleby?
W Buick, with 968 runners since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 328 (33.9%).
Is Charlie Appleby in form?
In the last 14 days: 24 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 20.8%. That is below the baseline of 30.2% since 2022.
What is Charlie Appleby's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 1,854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).