Charlie Appleby
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 370 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 30% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). The yard is quiet just now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.
The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (39.3%, n=214) and Haydock (41.7%, n=60) — all clear of the yard's 30.2% baseline. It is weakest at York (12.5% over 64 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 25.3% (n=584, Fair A/E 1.09). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 26% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +23.71 to a £1 stake over 123 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 5 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (22.7%, 7.5pts below the 30.2% baseline). W Buick rides 52% of the entries and edges the yard's average (34% vs 30.2%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 13.7% over 51 runners, 16.5pts below the baseline. 312 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2018, £850,650). The stable star of the record: Space Blues (IRE) — 9 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 30.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 30.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 5,587 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 5,587 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 July 2013 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 4) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 2) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Charlie Appleby's strike rate?
- Charlie Appleby has won 564 of 1,865 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 30.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Charlie Appleby do best at?
- Haydock by strike rate: 25 wins from 60 runners (41.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Charlie Appleby?
- W Buick, with 971 runners since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 330 (34%).
- Is Charlie Appleby in form?
- In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 22.7%. That is below the baseline of 30.2% since 2022.
- What is Charlie Appleby's Fair A/E?
- 1.10, from 1,857 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.