Fortunate Dave (USA)
Fortunate Dave (USA) is 3 from 11, all wins coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since May 2009. 3 of 5 starts at Market Rasen have ended in wins. All 3 wins have come over 2m5f – 3m.
- 3–11Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 5 (45.5%)Placed
- +27.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 3.17Fair A/E n=11 · 2.62 incl. margin
- 104Highest OR
- 116dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.6% of 209 runs since Jan 2008 (22 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −8.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | +0.5 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 61 | 7 | 11.5% | +2.9 | 2 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 27 | 0 | 0% | −8.6 | — |
| Soft | 29 | 1 | 3.4% | −5.2 | — |
| Heavy | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | +7.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +9.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +8.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 54 | 5 | 9.3% | +0.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 56 | 5 | 8.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 44 | 2 | 4.5% | −4.1 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 22 | 1 | 4.5% | −4.1 | 3 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −8.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 2 | 25% | +24.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +28.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Rasen | 5 | 3 | 60% | +33.00 |
| Kelso | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Perth | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 3 | 38% | +30.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hughes | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| William Kennedy | 4 | 2 | 50% | +28.00 |
| Jan Faltejsek | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael McAlister | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr M Seston | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 9 | 3 | 33% | +29.00 |
| None | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +27.00 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Fortunate Dave (USA) won?
- Fortunate Dave (USA) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2006 and 2009, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 5 times in total (45.5% of starts).
- Who trained Fortunate Dave (USA)?
- Fortunate Dave (USA) was trained by Michael Smith on the most recent run on record, at Market Rasen on 26 June 2009.
- Who is Fortunate Dave (USA)'s sire?
- Fortunate Dave (USA) is by Lear Fan (USA) out of Lady Ameriflora (USA), whose sire is Lord Avie.
- What going does Fortunate Dave (USA) prefer?
- Fortunate Dave (USA) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fortunate Dave (USA)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 26 June 2009. The highest on record is 104.
- What is Fortunate Dave (USA)'s sire's record?
- Lear Fan (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.6% of 209 runs since Jan 2008 (22 horses), Flat and jumps together.