What is Michael McAlister's strike rate?

Michael McAlister has won 49 of 796 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael McAlister do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 11 wins from 119 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael McAlister ride most for?

Maurice Barnes, with 687 rides since 2008 — 86% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (7%).

What is Michael McAlister's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 795 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael McAlister

796 rides in the lifetime window · 145 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2015 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

49–796

Wins / Runs

6.2%

Strike rate

n=796

167 (21%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=795 · 0.91 incl. margin

−33.91

£1 level stake

n=796 at SP · −4.3%

£347k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (47 rides). Rode mostly for Maurice Barnes — 86% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 796 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Maurice Barnes: 7% from 687 LTO winners: 10.6%

The read

It is weakest at Musselburgh (0% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 10.6% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.95), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=120, Fair A/E 0.59). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 4.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +64.50 to a £1 stake over 162 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −21.90 to a £1 stake over 161 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Maurice Barnes supplied 86% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 44 rides, 6.2pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Bang And Blame (IRE) — 6 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.7%−4.5

n=120 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −68.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10.6%+4.4

n=47 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +3.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.9%−1.3

n=162 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +64.50

When favourite

30.8%

n=13 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.66

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.7%−0.5

n=401 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +28.10

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.1%−3.1

n=161 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −21.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In NH Flat races 0% vs 6.2% · n=44

At Musselburgh 0% vs 6.2% · n=40

On first rides for the horse 1.7% vs 6.2% · n=120

At Market Rasen 0% vs 6.2% · n=31

At Wetherby 1.4% vs 6.2% · n=73

With C&D winners 1.7% vs 6.2% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 544 34 6.3% +38.43

Chase 208 15 7.2% −28.34

NH Flat 44 0 0% −44.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 313 18 5.8% −76.84

Good to Firm 149 7 4.7% −89.92

Good to Soft 140 12 8.6% +42.10

Soft 122 6 4.9% −40.00

Heavy 72 6 8.3% +130.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 119 11 9.2% +173.99

Sedgefield 106 7 6.6% −2.00

Kelso 94 6 6.4% −26.90

Perth 82 5 6.1% −13.00

Wetherby 73 1 1.4% −68.00

Carlisle 56 4 7.1% −27.75

Newcastle 55 3 5.5% −23.00

Ayr 45 4 8.9% +12.75

Musselburgh 40 0 0% −40.00

Market Rasen 31 0 0% −31.00

Cartmel 20 4 20% +28.50

Catterick 18 1 5.6% −13.50

Doncaster 10 1 10% +7.00

Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00

Uttoxeter 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 472 35 7.4% +3.34

Class 5 149 6 4% +57.00

Class 3 119 8 6.7% −38.25

Class 6 29 0 0% −29.00

Class 2 21 0 0% −21.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 19 5 26.3% 1.02 −3.16

2nd–3rd fav 95 11 11.6% 0.76 −30.75

4th–6th fav 253 24 9.5% 1.43 +137.00

7th+ in betting 429 9 2.1% 0.86 −137.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.1% completed · 752 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 208 70.2% 10 10 41 1 0

Hurdle 544 79.8% 10 6 92 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Soubriquet (IRE) 41 4 11 20 Oct 11

Currahee (GB) 38 4 13 17 Mar 12

Follow On (GB) 26 2 6 5 Dec 11

Soft Spoken Guy (IRE) 25 3 6 2 Jan 13

My Idea (GB) 23 1 5 23 Feb 15

Toledo Gold (IRE) 23 5 8 8 Nov 14

Still Calm (GB) 23 0 0 2 Aug 12

Howizee (GB) 22 3 13 4 Jun 13

Weetfromthechaff (GB) 22 3 7 2 May 13

Miss Tarantella (GB) 21 2 7 24 May 11

Lady Sambury (GB) 20 3 5 11 Mar 11

I'll Be Frank (GB) 19 1 5 21 Jul 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 145 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2457105936942

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMaurice Barnes

86% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

Maurice Barnes 687 48 7% +60.09

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£589k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Torkinking (IRE) — Buy Tickets Online At Wetherbyracing.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Wetherby · Jan 2007 · Class 2

£11,273

Carrigdhoun (IRE) — ApolloBet Free Download App Handicap Chase Haydock · Mar 2015 · Class 3

£8,123

Red Man (IRE) — John Smith's Novices' Handicap Chase Perth · Jun 2006 · Class 3

£7,807

Notable horses

Bang And Blame (IRE) Soubriquet (IRE) Toledo Gold (IRE) Currahee (GB) Silver Dagger (GB) Pas Trop Tard (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Daylami (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Efisio (GB) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.2% from 121.

Barathea (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Supreme Sound (GB) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 7.4% of 434 runs since 2008 (32 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 139.

Overbury (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,313 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,313 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 12 May 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 May 15 Sedgefield Watchmego (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Paxtons For Independent Twine 'king Of String' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 4th 50/1

07 May 15 Carlisle Desert Island Dusk (GB)T: Maurice Barnes ApolloBet Free Download App Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 33/1

07 May 15 Carlisle Quick Brew (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Apollobet Worldwide Lotteries Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

05 May 15 Sedgefield Heart O Annandale (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes Rita Crossley At 60 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 27f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 11/2

02 May 15 Hexham Cool Star (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes Solar Signs Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran F 11/1

02 May 15 Hexham Watchmego (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Friends Of Chollerton Church Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

22 Apr 15 Perth Carrigdhoun (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes Aberdeen Asset Management PLC Handicap Chase (For The Scottish Memories Challenge Cup)Class 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/2

22 Apr 15 Perth Desert Island Dusk (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Aberdeen Asset Management Plc Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 16 ran PU 125/1

20 Apr 15 Hexham Apache Pilot (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Northumberland College Stem Centre Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 9/1

20 Apr 15 Hexham Heart O Annandale (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes Northumberland College Engineering Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 125/1

20 Apr 15 Hexham Willie Whistle (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Northumberland College 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 66/1

04 Apr 15 Haydock Carrigdhoun (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes 888sport.com Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 23f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

24 Mar 15 Hexham Apache Pilot (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Primary Websites Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 3/1F

24 Mar 15 Hexham Lockedoutaheaven (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes SIS Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

20 Mar 15 Sedgefield Heart O Annandale (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes Betfred 'supports Jack Berry House' Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 33/1

18 Mar 15 Haydock Carrigdhoun (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes ApolloBet Free Download App Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 25/1

14 Mar 15 Newcastle Apache Pilot (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Mtrec Specialists In Industrial Recruitment Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/1

12 Mar 15 Hexham Lockedoutaheaven (IRE)T: Maurice Barnes Woodlawn Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

10 Mar 15 Sedgefield Passage Vendome (FR)T: Maurice Barnes Cheltenham Price Boosts At bookies.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 4th 40/1

23 Feb 15 Ayr My Idea (GB)T: Maurice Barnes Play Casino At BetVictor.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael McAlister's strike rate?: Michael McAlister has won 49 of 796 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael McAlister do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 11 wins from 119 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael McAlister ride most for?: Maurice Barnes, with 687 rides since 2008 — 86% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (7%).
What is Michael McAlister's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 795 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.