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Jockey profile

William Kennedy

158 rides in the last 5 seasons · 89 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2023 99% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
8–158
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=158
28 (18%)
Placed
0.73
n=158 · 0.64 incl. margin
−12.13
£1 level stake
n=158 at SP · −7.7%
£108k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.73).

Deterministic profile computed from 158 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Sarah-Jayne Davies: 1.9% from 54
The read

Sarah-Jayne Davies supplies 34% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (1.9% vs 5.1%, A/E 0.55). The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (8.5%, n=47) and over 2m5f – 3m (8.6%, n=35). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.9% over 52 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the European Breeders' Fund Matchbook VIP 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final at Sandown (Mar 2018, £42,203). The standout partner of the record: Time For Rupert (IRE) — 7 wins from 16 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.7%−0.4
n=64 · A/E 0.86 · £1 +43.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+19.9
n=8 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +17.62
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.7%−2.4
n=37 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −0.38
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−5.1
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 8.5% vs 5.1% · n=47
With Sarah-Jayne Davies 1.9% vs 5.1% · n=54
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.9% vs 5.1% · n=52
Over 2m5f – 3m 8.6% vs 5.1% · n=35
In Chase races 7.9% vs 5.1% · n=63
Off a 15-30-day break 2.1% vs 5.1% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 78 2 2.6% +7.50
Chase 63 5 7.9% −5.63
NH Flat 16 1 6.3% −13.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 58 2 3.4% +26.00
Good to Soft 46 1 2.2% −43.38
Soft 42 2 4.8% −12.00
Heavy 12 3 25% +17.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Hereford 15 0 0% −15.00
Southwell 14 0 0% −14.00
Ffos Las 11 0 0% −11.00
Chepstow 10 1 10% −7.00
Warwick 10 0 0% −10.00
Leicester 8 0 0% −8.00
Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00
Ludlow 7 0 0% −7.00
Bangor-on-Dee 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Market Rasen 6 1 16.7% −3.38
Taunton 5 1 20% +2.00
Wincanton 5 0 0% −5.00
Fontwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Newton Abbot 5 1 20% +76.00
Fakenham 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 70 3 4.3% −41.50
Class 4 67 4 6% +27.37
Class 3 16 1 6.3% +7.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 0.91 −0.38
2nd–3rd fav 19 2 10.5% 0.59 −10.75
4th–6th fav 55 3 5.5% 0.82 −4.00
7th+ in betting 78 1 1.3% 0.60 +3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
68.1% completed · 141 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 63 66.7% 3 4 14 0 0
Hurdle 78 69.2% 1 2 21 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Higgs (IRE) 9 0 2 25 Apr 23
Royal Act (GB) 7 1 1 16 Jan 23
Jaytee (GB) 6 1 2 16 Apr 23
Holerday Ridge (IRE) 6 1 2 10 Jan 23
Guttural (IRE) 5 0 0 23 Apr 23
Fitzroy (IRE) 5 0 0 21 Mar 23
Est Illic (IRE) 5 0 0 19 Mar 23
Equus Millar (IRE) 5 0 1 18 Apr 22
Kenahope (FR) 4 0 1 10 Apr 23
Merrijig (GB) 4 0 2 1 Dec 22
Jimmy Jimmy (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Apr 23
Ailes D'amour (IRE) 3 0 1 2 Apr 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
6431000000009
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
34% of all rides
1.9% SR · A/E 0.55
TrainerRWSR£1
Sarah-Jayne Davies 54 1 1.9% −33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
445
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£3.84m
Prize money
2017
Best season · 67 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sam's Gunner (GB) — European Breeders' Fund Matchbook VIP 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Sandown · Mar 2018 · Grade 3
£42,203
Ebony Express (GB) — William Hill Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Sandown · Mar 2015 · Grade 3
£39,865
Time For Rupert (IRE) — Totepool Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2009 · Listed
£34,206

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Schiaparelli (GER) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 12% of 1,835 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,324 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Royal Anthem (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,350 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.9% from 529.
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Mahler (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,687 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,905 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,905 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 17 September 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Apr 23 Southwell Fletch (FR)T: Olly Murphy Andrew Roy Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 25/1
26 Apr 23 Ludlow Jimmy Jimmy (IRE)T: Sarah-Jayne Davies Bet At racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 150/1
25 Apr 23 Ffos Las Higgs (IRE)T: Sarah-Jayne Davies Cazoo Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran UR 9/2
16 Apr 23 Wincanton Jaytee (GB)T: Ian Williams Royal Bath And West Show Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 7/1
06 Apr 23 Hereford Higgs (IRE)T: Sarah-Jayne Davies Silvershine Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 9/1
02 Apr 23 Ascot Larry (GB)T: Gary Moore Memberships At Ascot Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/4F
25 Mar 23 Bangor-on-Dee Higgs (IRE)T: Sarah-Jayne Davies Stella Artois Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Kennedy's strike rate?
William Kennedy has won 8 of 158 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does William Kennedy ride most for?
Sarah-Jayne Davies, with 54 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
What is William Kennedy's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 158 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).