Fortunate Man (IRE)
Fortunate Man is a gelding who has won four of 15 starts on turf. He landed a Class 3 handicap chase at Aintree over 3m on good to soft in Dec 2025 off a mark of 124 and had earlier taken the same class of event there on soft off 120 in Dec 2024. He also won a Class 4 novices hurdle at Southwell over 2m1f to 2m4f on soft and a maiden hurdle at Newbury. His last run, at Punchestown in May 2026, saw him finish fourth of 19 in a handicap chase off an official rating of 127.
- 4–15Wins / Runs
- 26.7%Strike rate
- 8 (53.3%)Placed
- +3.38£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 1.18Fair A/E n=15 · 1.01 incl. margin
- 128Highest OR
- 62dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 6 | 134C | 97.5 | 2 runs · 97 / 92 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 121A | 90 | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 121A | 101 | 1 run · — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 97B | 91 | 2 runs · 97 / 94 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 134C | 104 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 15 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (5).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 5 (45%) · 2 wins
- Mid-division 3 (27%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (27%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 5,824 runs since Jan 2008 (679 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 80 | 16 | 20% | +8.7 | — |
| Good | 1,526 | 188 | 12.3% | +1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1,216 | 134 | 11% | −0.3 | 1 from 6 |
| Soft | 1,889 | 214 | 11.3% | 0 | 3 from 8 |
| Heavy | 776 | 86 | 11.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 336 | 22 | 6.5% | −4.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 71 | 8 | 11.3% | 0 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 249 | 8 | 3.2% | −8.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 493 | 64 | 13% | +1.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,572 | 193 | 12.3% | +1 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,969 | 202 | 10.3% | −1 | 1 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,229 | 153 | 12.4% | +1.1 | 0 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 238 | 33 | 13.9% | +2.6 | 2 from 6 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Shillanavogy (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m½f–3m1f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Shillanavogy (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shillanavogy (IRE) | 15 | 4 | 2m½f–2m5½f | Class 4 |
| Local Derby (IRE) | 8 | 3 | 2m4f–3m1f | Class 5 |
| Urban Grit (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Andromeda Park (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 3 | 38% | +7.50 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.12 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +9.76 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Aintree | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.76 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 6 | 2 | 33% | −0.24 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 1 | 33% | +7.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 12 | 4 | 33% | +6.38 |
| Harry Cobden | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richie McLernon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.12 |
| Tongue tie | 7 | 3 | 43% | +8.50 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| 2024 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.50 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 11 | 2 | 18% | −5.24 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 2 | 50% | +8.62 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 May 26+42d | Punchestown | DAR Golf Handicap Chase (0-145) Settled midpack early - close up with front group despite small error 15th - up to 4th by 6 out - urged on after stumbling 3 out - holding 3rd approaching 2 out - unable to threaten and drifted left before last - held on for 4th without further gain | 4/19 | 1½ | 10-8 | 127 | 97B | 125A | Harry Cobden | 10/1 |
| 21 Mar 26+28d | Kelso | Remembering Duncan Davidson Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled off the pace - awkward at the 2nd - driven approaching 3 out - finished well to go down by 3½ lengths in 4th | 4/6 | ¾ | 11-6 | 127 | 91B | 124B | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 15/8F |
| 21 Feb 26+21d | Newcastle | Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Eider Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Tracked front group early - hit 13th and made a mistake - pressed for effort 4 out - held no more from there and finished well held | 5/10 | 11 | 10-2 | 128 | — | 115A | Richie McLernon | 4/1J |
| 31 Jan 26+36d | Sandown | Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Handy early - dropped back before stumbling twice in midfield - still within range around the 9th - stumbled again later and faltered soon after - moved into third approaching 3 out - unable to find more and stayed there for third | 3/6 | 6 | 10-2 | 128 | 87A | 121B | Harry Cobden | 11/10F |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 25+286d | Aintree | William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sat handy behind pace early - pushed into second spot 2f out - hit front on run-in and drew away close home | 1/8 | 11-9 | 124 | — | 144A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 15/8F | |
| 15 Mar 25+26d | Uttoxeter | JenningsBet Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the back early - improved into mid-pack by the 9th - up with the front group by the 12th - lost touch three out - stayed on same pace from two out to finish fourth | 4/8 | 8½ | 11-7 | 126 | 89B | 113B | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 6/1 |
| 17 Feb 25+29d | Carlisle | Book Your Raceday Hospitality Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled among the pack early - dropped back before the 11th - roused into contention by 4 out to move into 3rd 2 out - couldn't reach the winner and edged out for 2nd close home | 3/7 | 1¼ | 11-10 | 126 | 121A | 134A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 5/2F |
| 19 Jan 25+24d | Windsor | Fitzdares Windsor Stayers Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Tracked front group wide - went clear before missing out four out - driven up approaching three out - rival came back at that stage - overtaken near the last and stayed on same gallop to the line | 2/11 | 3½ | 12-0 | 125 | — | 135A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 11/5F |
| 2024 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 24+25d | Aintree | William Hill Committed To Top Prices Handicap Chase Tracked the pace - urged forward approaching four out - edged clear over the last - held on gamely under pressure to win | 1/7 | 11-7 | 120 | 79A | 138B | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 15/8F | |
| 01 Dec 24+38d | Carlisle | racingtv.com Handicap Chase Towards the rear of the main pack - moved up to share 3rd 3 out - stumbled on touching down 2 out and niggled at - hard at work chasing the pacesetter on the run-in and kept on gamely - went down by a head | 2/12 | shd | 11-4 | 116 | 113A | 136A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 5/1 |
| 24 Oct 24+220d | Carlisle | Hather Financial Services Handicap Chase Settled towards the back of the pack - made progress 4 out - couldn't quicken 2 out - well beaten in 7th | 7/15 | 2½ | 12-0 | 118 | 74B | 123A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 4/1 |
| 18 Mar 24+53d | Southwell | Try The Racing App This Afternoon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 11-9 | 117 | 134C | 129C | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 13/8 | |
| 25 Jan 24+36d | Wetherby | Follow racingtv On Instagram EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 3/9 | 13 | 11-8 | — | — | 119A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 5/4 |
| 2023 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 23+8d | Newbury | BetVictor Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/18 | 11-4 | — | 98B | 146A | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 9/1 | |
| 12 Dec 23 | Ffos Las | Best Prices Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | UR/11 | — | 11-6 | — | — | — | Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 15/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fortunate Man won?
- Fortunate Man (IRE) won 4 of 15 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 26.7%. Placed 8 times in total (53.3% of starts).
- Who trains Fortunate Man?
- Fortunate Man (IRE) is trained by Jonjo & A J O'Neill, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 2 May 2026.
- Who is Fortunate Man's sire?
- Fortunate Man (IRE) is by Soldier of Fortune (IRE) out of Lady Azamour (IRE), whose sire is Azamour.
- What going does Fortunate Man prefer?
- Fortunate Man (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 8 starts (37.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fortunate Man's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 127, from the run on 2 May 2026. The highest on record is 128.
- What is Fortunate Man's sire's record?
- Soldier of Fortune (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 5,824 runs since Jan 2008 (679 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
- Who are Fortunate Man's siblings?
- Out of Lady Azamour (IRE), Fortunate Man (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Shillanavogy (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Shillanavogy (IRE)). The wins came over 2m½f–3m1f. As at Oct 2026.