Skip to content
Jockey profile

Harry Cobden

2,606 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,077 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
In form — 8 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
576–2,606
Wins / Runs
22.1%
Strike rate
n=2,606
1,084 (42%)
Placed
1.08
Fair A/E
n=2,603 · 0.94 incl. margin
−332.69
£1 level stake
n=2,604 at SP · −12.8%
£12.7m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 520 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (566 rides). Rides mostly for Paul Nicholls — 53% of rides in the window. The rider is in form now — 8 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,606 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 43.3% when favourite Paul Nicholls: 23.7% from 1,370 LTO winners: 26.9% Rides the favourite in 26% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Taunton (33.1%, n=148) and Hereford (33.9%, n=59) — all clear of the rider's 22.1% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (13.7% over 205 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.9% (n=566, Fair A/E 1.04), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 15.1% (n=371, Fair A/E 1.27). Right now the rider is firing: 8 winners from 31 rides in the last 14 days (25.8%, 3.7pts above the 22.1% baseline). Paul Nicholls supplies 53% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (23.7%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (35.9%, n=39). 147 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 32Red King George VI Chase at Kempton (Dec 2018, £142,375). The standout partner of the record: Pic D'orhy (FR) — 12 wins from 29 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 22.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
20.8%−1.3
n=955 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −73.10
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
26.9%+4.8
n=566 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −101.41
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
17.8%−4.3
n=720 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −224.18
When favourite
43.3%
n=688 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −22.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
15.1%−7.0
n=371 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −45.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
19.5%−2.6
n=374 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −68.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 22.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Ffos Las 6.4% vs 22.1% · n=47
At Taunton 33.1% vs 22.1% · n=148
On Good to Firm going 35.9% vs 22.1% · n=39
At Hereford 33.9% vs 22.1% · n=59
At Cheltenham 13.7% vs 22.1% · n=205
With headgear back on 11.3% vs 22.1% · n=62
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.2% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,464 343 23.4% −167.47
Chase 913 182 19.9% −148.35
NH Flat 224 50 22.3% −21.87
Flat 5 1 20% +5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 1,091 243 22.3% −202.69
Good to Soft 758 152 20.1% −115.14
Soft 548 128 23.4% +7.03
Heavy 170 39 22.9% −22.93
Good to Firm 39 14 35.9% +1.04

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newbury 211 39 18.5% −63.24
Cheltenham 205 28 13.7% +4.25
Kempton 154 21 13.6% −72.10
Chepstow 152 36 23.7% −35.78
Taunton 148 49 33.1% +8.58
Wincanton 147 44 29.9% −17.05
Exeter 123 33 26.8% −3.67
Sandown 122 25 20.5% −14.26
Newton Abbot 115 30 26.1% −28.99
Worcester 111 24 21.6% +1.64
Ascot 110 23 20.9% −13.86
Aintree 96 16 16.7% −20.12
Plumpton 75 22 29.3% −7.31
Uttoxeter 71 12 16.9% +9.49
Fontwell 66 14 21.2% −10.55

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 798 215 26.9% −60.01
Class 3 558 121 21.7% −142.73
Class 1 498 90 18.1% −71.93
Class 5 356 75 21.1% −25.98
Class 2 353 66 18.7% −33.51

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 747 315 42.2% 1.11 −19.40
2nd–3rd fav 909 193 21.2% 1.09 −84.29
4th–6th fav 646 54 8.4% 0.93 −163.00
7th+ in betting 302 12 4% 0.97 −66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81% completed · 2,377 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 913 73.8% 25 10 202 0 2
Hurdle 1,464 85.5% 16 7 186 0 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rubaud (FR) 22 11 13 25 Apr 26
Pic D'orhy (FR) 19 9 13 9 Apr 26
Outlaw Peter (IRE) 16 8 12 15 Apr 26
Blueking D'oroux (FR) 16 4 7 9 Apr 26
Il Ridoto (FR) 15 1 3 17 Apr 26
Monmiral (FR) 15 1 4 24 Nov 25
Stage Star (IRE) 15 5 6 3 Apr 25
Matterhorn (FR) 14 6 9 25 Apr 26
Irish Hill (GER) 14 4 9 21 Nov 24
Huelgoat (FR) 14 5 10 25 Jun 24
Sorceleur (FR) 13 3 8 26 Apr 25
Bravemansgame (FR) 13 3 6 8 Feb 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,077 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form
8 from 31 25.8% · +3.7pts vs baseline
Last 14 days25.8%
5-season base22.1%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
222222192020241922232820
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPaul Nicholls
53% of all rides
23.7% SR · A/E 1.02
TrainerRWSR£1
Paul Nicholls 1,370 325 23.7% −283.38
Emma Lavelle 118 30 25.4% −26.32
James Owen 69 21 30.4% +7.70
Neil Mulholland 64 11 17.2% +0.50
Milton Harris 54 14 25.9% −7.23
Faye Bramley 54 14 25.9% −2.38
W P Mullins 44 11 25% +16.52
Joe Tizzard 35 5 14.3% +18.07
Anthony Honeyball 30 8 26.7% +0.54
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
1,123
Archived wins
147
Pattern / graded wins
£21.6m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 143 wins
Clan Des Obeaux (FR) — 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Kempton · Dec 2018 · Grade 1
£142,375
Kandoo Kid (FR) — Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2024 · Class 1
£142,375
Bravemansgame (FR) — Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2022 · Grade 1
£142,375
Notable horses
Pic D'orhy (FR) Rubaud (FR) Bravemansgame (FR) Outlaw Peter (IRE) Stage Star (IRE) Mcfabulous (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 31.8% · 41–129
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,054 runs since 2011 (707 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 18.9% · 23–122
Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,638 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Getaway (GER) 18% · 11–61
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
No Risk At All (FR) 23.7% · 14–59
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,162 runs since 2016 (439 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 953.
Martaline (GB) 25.9% · 15–58
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,348 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 15.1% · 8–53
Progeny have won 15% of 5,361 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,259 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,259 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2015 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Aintree Hercule Du Seuil (FR)T: Neil Mulholland Play Lucky Stable With William Hill Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 16/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree Alexei (GER)T: Joe Tizzard William Hill Molyneux Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (Formerly Registered As The Elite Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 1st 4/7F
07 Nov 26 Aintree Petit Tonnerre (FR)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 11/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree Black Eddy (GB)T: Mickey Bowen William Hill Epic Boosts EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 2 ran 2nd 11/10
06 Nov 26 Aintree Limier D'arthel (FR)T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 11/4
06 Nov 26 Aintree Montregard (FR)T: Tom Lacey BetMGM Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 5/1
06 Nov 26 Aintree Stencil (GB)T: Tom George BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 17/2
06 Nov 26 Aintree Manuelito (GB)T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 17/2
04 Nov 26 Chepstow Magimax (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 100/30
04 Nov 26 Chepstow Best Trump (IRE)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/1
03 Nov 26 Warwick Ballymoreen (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Alex & Edward Alder Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 1st 3/1F
03 Nov 26 Warwick Adba (FR)T: Faye Bramley Alder Demain & Akers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 28/1
02 Nov 26 Southwell Anxious Moments (IRE)T: Charlie Longsdon Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 5/4F
02 Nov 26 Southwell The Noble Butler (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 5th 12/1
02 Nov 26 Southwell Chinese Whispers (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 11/8F
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Love Me Tender (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Paddy Power Betting Shops Irish EBF Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 1/1F
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Take The Free (IRE)T: E Bolger Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 16/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Cornelienne (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 1st 5/2
31 Oct 26 Wetherby Twinjets (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Bet365 Charlie Hall Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 6 ran PU 13/2
31 Oct 26 Wetherby Kahavari (FR)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Position Payout At Bet365 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 20 runs (won 3, 5 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 12 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 10 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Cobden's strike rate?
Harry Cobden has won 576 of 2,606 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 22.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Cobden do best at?
Taunton by strike rate: 49 wins from 148 rides (33.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Cobden ride most for?
Paul Nicholls, with 1,370 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 325 (23.7%).
Is Harry Cobden in form?
In the last 14 days: 31 rides, 8 winners, a strike rate of 25.8%. That is above the baseline of 22.1% since 2022.
What is Harry Cobden's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 2,603 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).