Fortunate Outcome (IRE)
Fortunate Outcome is a maiden who has yet to win from 12 starts on turf, with one place. She showed her best effort when fourth of 17 at Thurles in Feb 2026. The mare, by Soldier of Fortune out of a Presenting mare, is usually held up, as she was in 10 of 11 analysed runs. She last ran at Limerick in Mar 2026, where she was held and raced off an official rating of 72, 10lb below her highest ever mark.
- 0–12Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (8.3%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=12 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 82Highest OR
- 43dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 91
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 4 | 91B | 56 | 2 runs · 91 / 58.5 |
| Soft | 3 | 81B | 79 | 2 runs · 81 / 66 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 86B | 65 | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 91B | 81 | 3 runs · 91 / 81 |
Of 12 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (4) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 12 analysed runs since Nov 2024
- Held up 9 (75%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (17%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (8%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 5,824 runs since Jan 2008 (679 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 80 | 16 | 20% | +8.7 | — |
| Good | 1,526 | 188 | 12.3% | +1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1,216 | 134 | 11% | −0.3 | — |
| Soft | 1,889 | 214 | 11.3% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 776 | 86 | 11.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 9 |
| Standard (AW) | 336 | 22 | 6.5% | −4.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 71 | 8 | 11.3% | 0 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 249 | 8 | 3.2% | −8.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 493 | 64 | 13% | +1.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,572 | 193 | 12.3% | +1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,969 | 202 | 10.3% | −1 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,229 | 153 | 12.4% | +1.1 | 0 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 238 | 33 | 13.9% | +2.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Geezer Rockstar (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m½f–2m7½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Geezer Rockstar (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geezer Rockstar (IRE) | 13 | 4 | 2m½f–2m7½f | Class 2 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limerick | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Punchestown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Clonmel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Donovan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Josh Williamson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| James Smith | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richard Deegan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Daniel King | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phillip Enright | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Diarmuid Moloney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Mar 26+14d | Limerick | William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up at the back throughout - unable to improve before 4 out - dropped away and pulled up before 2 out | PU/15 | — | 10-0 | 72 | — | — | Daniel King | 28/1 |
| 26 Feb 26+8d | Clonmel | Rosegreen Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up towards the back - made ground before 3 out to move up to 6th approaching the straight and 4th entering it - unable to threaten leaders before 2 out - dropped away after 2 out - pulled up before the last | PU/15 | — | 9-9 | 72 | — | — | Josh Williamson | 14/1 |
| 18 Feb 26+13d | Punchestown | Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up early - knocked off stride approaching 7th - made up ground into 8th by 3 out then pushed along with no headway made - well held at the finish | 8/16 | ½ | 9-10 | 72 | 51C | 72C | Josh Williamson | 9/1 |
| 05 Feb 26+10d | Thurles | William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up towards back - moved into 6th before 3 out and edged into contention entering straight - 3rd and pressed approaching 2 out - unable to threaten and stumbled at last - held on for 4th without finding more | 4/17 | 12 | 9-11 | 72 | 81B | 79A | Philip Donovan | 12/1 |
| 26 Jan 26+29d | Punchestown | Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up early - urged into contention around 8th - still under pressure heading to two out - held sixth spot at the last and stayed on to finish sixth | 6/13 | ½ | 10-2 | 75 | 91B | 85A | Philip Donovan | 33/1 |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 25+17d | Limerick | D Pack Packaging Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Settled towards the rear - moved into 5th at halfway - pressure applied after 4 out and a jumping error at the following fence left no headway made - retired before 2 out | PU/18 | — | 10-3 | 78 | — | — | Philip Donovan | 33/1 |
| 11 Dec 25+23d | Punchestown | Matchbook Best Odds On Festive Racing Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) Held up towards the back - failed to make progress - lost touch before 3 out - pulled up before the last | PU/15 | — | 10-4 | 80 | — | — | James Smith | 12/1 |
| 18 Nov 25+264d | Limerick | Mr Binman Christmas Racing Festival 26th - 29th December Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Sat just behind the front pack early - 5th at halfway then moved up inside to touch 4th two out - had nothing more late and dropped away to finish 7th | 7/14 | hd | 10-8 | 82 | 26C | 86C | James Smith | 25/1 |
| 27 Feb 25+32d | Clonmel | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle Held up towards the back - driven approaching 2 out with little response - faded to finish ninth | 9/17 | 7 | 10-11 | — | 86B | 90A | Richard Deegan | 250/1 |
| 26 Jan 25+28d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle Held up in rear throughout - minor error 6th - no headway from 4 out and well beaten at the finish | 12/14 | 99 | 11-5 | — | -36C | 104C | Phillip Enright | 250/1 |
| 2024 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 24+33d | Limerick | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Held a midfield spot and 6th at halfway - hit the deck 4 out then driven forward after 3 out - had nothing more to offer and dropped away to finish 9th | 9/14 | 6 | 10-8 | — | 79C | 88C | Diarmuid Moloney | 250/1 |
| 26 Nov 24 | Tramore | New Years Day Discount Tickets Online Mares Maiden Hurdle Held up in the pack throughout - hit second-last lightly - dropped away soon after and finished a long way behind - eventually came home last | 12/13 | 4¾ | 10-12 | — | — | 95C | Richard Deegan | 200/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fortunate Outcome won?
- Fortunate Outcome (IRE) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2024 and 2026. Placed 1 time in total (8.3% of starts).
- Who trains Fortunate Outcome?
- Fortunate Outcome (IRE) is trained by Brian M McMahon, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 12 March 2026.
- Who is Fortunate Outcome's sire?
- Fortunate Outcome (IRE) is by Soldier of Fortune (IRE) out of Rock's Field (IRE), whose sire is Presenting.
- What is Fortunate Outcome's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 12 March 2026. The highest on record is 82.
- What is Fortunate Outcome's sire's record?
- Soldier of Fortune (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 5,824 runs since Jan 2008 (679 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
- Who are Fortunate Outcome's siblings?
- Out of Rock's Field (IRE), Fortunate Outcome (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Geezer Rockstar (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Geezer Rockstar (IRE)). The wins came over 2m½f–2m7½f. As at Oct 2026.