Guaranteed (IRE)
Guaranteed (IRE) is 3 from 17, including a Group 3 win. The biggest win we hold: the TheTote.com Eyrefield Stakes at Leopardstown (Oct 2018). Hasn't won since Jun 2019.
- 3–17Wins / Runs
- 17.6%Strike rate
- 6 (35.3%)Placed
- +1.50£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 2.03Fair A/E n=17 · 1.74 incl. margin
- 109Highest OR
- 73dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 124
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 124A | 98 | — |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 97C | 88 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 99C | 68 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 106A | 99 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 110A | 84 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 124A | 98 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 106A | 97.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 17 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.5% of 10,061 runs since Jan 2008 (906 horses).
Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 624.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | −2.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,510 | 218 | 14.4% | +1.9 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 2,620 | 342 | 13.1% | +0.6 | 2 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 1,128 | 137 | 12.1% | −0.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,625 | 185 | 11.4% | −1.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 527 | 55 | 10.4% | −2.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,607 | 312 | 12% | −0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 40 | 6 | 15% | +2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,294 | 154 | 11.9% | −0.6 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,104 | 262 | 12.5% | 0 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3,757 | 512 | 13.6% | +1.1 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,971 | 256 | 13% | +0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 624 | 44 | 7.1% | −5.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 229 | 18 | 7.9% | −4.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 42 | 3 | 7.1% | −5.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Gear Up (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Group 1 (Gear Up (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gear Up (IRE) | 14 | 5 | 7f–1m4f | Group 1 |
| New Direction (IRE) | 31 | 5 | 1m1½f–1m4f | — |
| Meagher's Flag (IRE) | 19 | 1 | 1m1½f | — |
| Guildmaster (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Assurance (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Parish Green (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Theodotus (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 2 | 29% | +3.50 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh | 8 | 2 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Leopardstown | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.50 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 1 | 13% | +0.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Manning | 15 | 2 | 13% | −4.50 |
| Ronan Whelan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 14 | 3 | 21% | +4.50 |
| None | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2019 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +0.00 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +4.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 21+430d | Punchestown | BetVictor Race | 4/5 | 1½ | 9-10 | 102 | 70C | 80B | Kevin Manning | 11/2 |
| 11 Jul 20+29d | Leopardstown | 'Green Room' Meld Stakes (Group 3) | 6/8 | ½ | 9-11 | 107 | 124A | 88A | Kevin Manning | 12/1 |
| 12 Jun 20+272d | Curragh | Coolmore Magna Grecia Irish Ebf Mooresbridge Stakes (Group 2) | 4/9 | ¾ | 9-5 | 107 | 77A | 89A | Kevin Manning | 22/1 |
| 14 Sep 19+29d | Leopardstown | Paddy Power Betting Shop Stakes (Group 3) | 6/9 | 1½ | 9-1 | 109 | 91A | 80A | Kevin Manning | 7/1 |
| 16 Aug 19+8d | Curragh | Royal Whip Stakes (Group 3) | 3/7 | 1½ | 8-13 | 109 | 68A | 95B | Kevin Manning | 12/1 |
| 08 Aug 19+40d | Leopardstown | Grenke Finance Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3) | 2/6 | ¾ | 8-12 | 107 | 95A | 88B | Kevin Manning | 9/2 |
| 29 Jun 19+22d | Curragh | Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) | 5/8 | 2 | 9-0 | 107 | 110A | 90A | Kevin Manning | 50/1 |
| 07 Jun 19+13d | Curragh | TRI Equestrian Silver Stakes (Listed) | 1/6 | 8-13 | 101 | 77A | 92B | Ronan Whelan | 7/1 | |
| 25 May 19+13d | Curragh | Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) | 10/14 | 1¾ | 9-0 | 103 | 97C | 82A | Kevin Manning | 100/1 |
| 12 May 19+36d | Leopardstown | Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial Stakes (Group 3) | 6/7 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 106 | 99A | 82A | Kevin Manning | 20/1 |
| 06 Apr 19+161d | Leopardstown | P.W. McGrath Memorial Ballysax Stakes (Group 3) | 6/6 | 16 | 9-6 | 107 | 55C | 82C | Kevin Manning | 7/1 |
| 27 Oct 18+7d | Leopardstown | TheTote.com Eyrefield Stakes (Group 3) | 1/8 | 9-3 | 103 | 110A | 100A | Kevin Manning | 9/2 | |
| 20 Oct 18+20d | Leopardstown | Killavullan Stakes (Group 3) | 2/10 | 1 | 9-3 | 92 | 106A | 99A | Ronan Whelan | 12/1 |
| 30 Sep 18+35d | Naas | Beresford Stakes (Group 2) | 7/7 | 2¼ | 9-3 | 88 | 98A | 76A | Kevin Manning | 14/1 |
| 26 Aug 18+36d | Curragh | Galileo Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2) | 5/6 | 12 | 9-3 | — | 99C | 61C | Kevin Manning | 6/1 |
| 21 Jul 18+20d | Curragh | Club Godolphin Irish EBF Maiden (Plus 10) | 1/13 | 9-5 | — | 96C | 101A | Kevin Manning | 4/1 | |
| 01 Jul 18 | Curragh | Barronstown Stud Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10) | 2/10 | ½ | 9-5 | — | 81A | 89A | Kevin Manning | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Guaranteed (IRE) won?
- Guaranteed (IRE) won 3 of 17 archived starts between 2018 and 2021, a strike rate of 17.6%. Placed 6 times in total (35.3% of starts).
- Who trained Guaranteed (IRE)?
- Guaranteed (IRE) was trained by J S Bolger on the most recent run on record, at Punchestown on 14 September 2021.
- Who is Guaranteed (IRE)'s sire?
- Guaranteed (IRE) is by Teofilo (IRE) out of Gearanai (USA), whose sire is Toccet.
- What going does Guaranteed (IRE) prefer?
- Guaranteed (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Guaranteed (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 14 September 2021. The highest on record is 109.
- What is Guaranteed (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Teofilo (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.5% of 10,061 runs since Jan 2008 (906 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 624.
- Who are Guaranteed (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Gearanai (USA), Guaranteed (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Gear Up (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 1 (Gear Up (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.