What is Kevin Manning's strike rate?

Kevin Manning has won 27 of 374 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Manning do best at?

Leopardstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 rides (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Kevin Manning ride most for?

J S Bolger, with 253 rides since 2022 — 68% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (8.7%).

What is Kevin Manning's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 374 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Kevin Manning

374 rides in the last 5 seasons · 140 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2022 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

27–374

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=374

73 (20%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=374 · 0.79 incl. margin

−118.18

£1 level stake

n=374 at SP · −31.6%

£696k

Prize money (window)

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Rides mostly for J S Bolger — 68% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 374 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance J S Bolger: 8.7% from 253

The read

The record is strongest at Leopardstown (12.8%, n=47), clear of the rider's 7.2% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (2.2% over 90 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −95.03 to a £1 stake over 158 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. J S Bolger supplies 68% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (23.3%, n=30) and off a 8-14-day break (16.7%, n=60). The market has also underrated the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 1.62 across 79 rides (12.7% strike, +85.25 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 38 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. 180 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Parknasilla Hotel Goffs Fillies Million at Curragh (Sep 2007, £985,000). The standout partner of the record: Ringside Humour (IRE) — 8 wins from 51 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.4%−1.8

n=92 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −39.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.1%−0.1

n=28 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −13.62

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−0.9

n=64 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +48.50

When favourite

57.1%

n=14 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +6.60

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.4%−2.8

n=158 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −95.03

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.8%−1.4

n=52 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −42.14

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 23.3% vs 7.2% · n=30

Off a 8-14-day break 16.7% vs 7.2% · n=60

On Good to Soft going 0% vs 7.2% · n=38

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12.7% vs 7.2% · n=79

At Curragh 2.2% vs 7.2% · n=90

At Leopardstown 12.8% vs 7.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 144 13 9% −69.39

Soft 133 4 3% −111.38

Good to Soft 38 0 0% −38.00

Heavy 30 7 23.3% +86.59

Standard (AW) 22 3 13.6% +21.00

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 90 2 2.2% −74.40

Leopardstown 47 6 12.8% −13.49

Gowran Park 37 1 2.7% −28.50

Naas 34 2 5.9% −17.00

Dundalk (AW) 22 3 13.6% +21.00

Galway 19 2 10.5% −11.83

Cork 18 2 11.1% −10.38

Navan 15 2 13.3% +58.00

Roscommon 14 3 21.4% +13.30

Killarney 12 0 0% −12.00

Down Royal 11 1 9.1% −8.38

Listowel 8 0 0% −8.00

Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00

Fairyhouse 7 2 28.6% +2.50

Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 52 3 5.8% −42.14

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 8 57.1% 1.60 +6.60

2nd–3rd fav 60 9 15% 0.96 −12.28

4th–6th fav 113 7 6.2% 0.90 −42.50

7th+ in betting 187 3 1.6% 0.52 −70.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dancila (IRE) 10 3 5 10 Sep 22

Manu Et Corde (IRE) 9 0 0 23 Oct 22

Boundless Ocean (IRE) 9 3 5 10 Sep 22

Young Ireland (IRE) 8 0 2 18 Oct 22

Believe In Science (IRE) 7 0 1 26 Oct 22

Nectarine (IRE) 7 1 2 14 Oct 22

Hymn Book Too (IRE) 7 1 3 6 Oct 22

Mctigue (IRE) 7 0 3 18 Aug 22

On The Money (IRE) 6 0 0 31 Oct 22

Gan Teorainn (IRE) 6 1 3 22 Oct 22

Purple Gown (IRE) 6 0 1 18 Oct 22

Insulate (IRE) 6 0 0 18 Oct 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 140 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

250911676967··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJ S Bolger

68% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

J S Bolger 253 22 8.7% −73.18

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

918

Archived wins

180

Pattern / graded wins

£33.9m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 68 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lush Lashes (GB) — Parknasilla Hotel Goffs Fillies Million Curragh · Sep 2007

£985,000

New Approach (IRE) — Vodafone Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2008 · Group 1

£802,444

Trading Leather (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2013 · Group 1

£725,000

Notable horses

Ringside Humour (IRE) Dawn Approach (IRE) New Approach (IRE) Banimpire (IRE) Flight Risk (IRE) Parish Hall (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Teofilo (IRE) 14.1% · 11–78

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,085 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 626.

Dawn Approach (IRE) 5.6% · 3–54

Progeny have won 8% of 3,578 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 180.

Vocalised (USA) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,033 runs since 2014 (172 horses).

Fracas (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 9.7% of 796 runs since 2012 (56 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13% from 100. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 106.

New Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,793 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.

Australia (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,676 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,701 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,701 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 31 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 22 Galway Vocal Studies (IRE)T: J S Bolger Corrib Food Products Maiden7f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 4/6F

31 Oct 22 Galway On The Money (IRE)T: J S Bolger www.swordsecurity.com Nursery Handicap7f · Heavy · 16 ran 15th 28/1

31 Oct 22 Galway Soilse (IRE)T: J S Bolger KONE Handicap (50-80)8.5f · Heavy · 17 ran 4th 10/1

26 Oct 22 Curragh Believe In Science (IRE)T: J S Bolger Extra Place Races At Novibet Handicap14f · Soft To Heavy · 23 ran 15th 14/1

26 Oct 22 Curragh Rotolo (IRE)T: W T Farrell Play Novileague At Novibet Handicap (47-70)10f · Soft To Heavy · 26 ran 14th 33/1

26 Oct 22 Curragh Trachonitus (IRE)T: J S Bolger Bet 10 Euros Get 20 Euros At Novibet Nursery Handicap8f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 10/1

23 Oct 22 Curragh Princess Sela (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary Tri Equestrian Handicap7f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 16/1

23 Oct 22 Curragh Manu Et Corde (IRE)T: J S Bolger Comer Group International Loughbrown Stakes (group 3)16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 11th 100/1

23 Oct 22 Curragh Vocal Studies (IRE)T: J S Bolger Sp Or Better Guaranteed With The Tote Maiden9f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 2nd 28/1

23 Oct 22 Curragh News At Dawn (IRE)T: J S Bolger Tote Guarantee On All Irish And UK Races Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 40/1

22 Oct 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Gan Teorainn (IRE)T: J S Bolger Criterium de Saint-Cloud (2yo) (Turf)10f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 11/2

19 Oct 22 Navan Fenomeno (IRE)T: Charles Weld Racing Again Sunday 13th November Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)14f · Heavy · 21 ran 3rd 50/1

19 Oct 22 Navan Believe In Science (IRE)T: J S Bolger Safer Gambling Navan Maiden14f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

19 Oct 22 Navan Bridge Of Dawn (IRE)T: J S Bolger Like Navan On Facebook Handicap10f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 66/1

19 Oct 22 Navan Vocal Studies (IRE)T: J S Bolger NavanRacecourse.ie Maiden5f · Heavy · 17 ran 6th 20/1

19 Oct 22 Navan Livingston Range (IRE)T: Leanne Breen Safer Gambling Handicap (47-70)5.5f · Heavy · 23 ran 21st 14/1

18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Missing Matron (IRE)T: J S Bolger Racing Again November 26th Handicap12f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 66/1

18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Insulate (IRE)T: J S Bolger Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden12f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 16/1

18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Purple Gown (IRE)T: J S Bolger Dine At Gowran Park Handicap (47-70)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 22/1

18 Oct 22 Gowran Park On The Money (IRE)T: J S Bolger Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden8.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Manning's strike rate?: Kevin Manning has won 27 of 374 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Manning do best at?: Leopardstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 rides (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Kevin Manning ride most for?: J S Bolger, with 253 rides since 2022 — 68% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (8.7%).
What is Kevin Manning's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 374 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.