What is J S Bolger's strike rate?

J S Bolger has won 83 of 1,194 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J S Bolger do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 11 wins from 104 runners (10.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for J S Bolger?

Rory Cleary, with 434 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (5.3%).

Is J S Bolger in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is J S Bolger's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 1,194 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J S Bolger

1,194 runners in the last 5 seasons · 192 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

83–1,194

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,194

296 (25%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=1,194 · 0.70 incl. margin

−517.63

£1 level stake

n=1,194 at SP · −43.4%

£2.22m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,194 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 34.6% when favourite Rory Cleary: 5.3% from 434 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Curragh (3.1% over 287 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=154, Fair A/E 0.53). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −63.92 to a £1 stake over 131 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rory Cleary rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.74). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (13.7%, n=212). 185 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Parknasilla Hotel Goffs Fillies Million at Curragh (Sep 2007, £985,000). The stable star of the record: Ringside Humour (IRE) — 8 wins from 58 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−2.1

n=206 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −32.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.0

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−4.4

n=154 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −109.88

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.6%−4.4

n=78 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −62.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%+3.0

n=20 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

34.6%

n=78 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −5.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.1%−0.9

n=131 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −63.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.3%−0.7

n=127 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −40.39

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 13.7% vs 7% · n=212

With Ross Coakley 0% vs 7% · n=53

With debutants 2.6% vs 7% · n=154

At Curragh 3.1% vs 7% · n=287

With Luke McAteer 11.2% vs 7% · n=107

On last-time-out winners 11.4% vs 7% · n=79

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,173 80 6.8% −504.36

Hurdle 15 1 6.7% −13.50

NH Flat 6 2 33.3% +0.23

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 421 33 7.8% −190.99

Soft 369 23 6.2% −168.01

Heavy 203 17 8.4% −43.63

Good to Soft 123 5 4.1% −83.50

Standard (AW) 49 5 10.2% −2.50

Good to Firm 29 0 0% −29.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 287 9 3.1% −186.65

Leopardstown 204 16 7.8% −111.58

Gowran Park 121 9 7.4% −66.62

Naas 104 11 10.6% +37.00

Roscommon 67 5 7.5% −42.45

Cork 57 6 10.5% −17.38

Navan 52 5 9.6% +39.12

Galway 50 3 6% −38.33

Dundalk (AW) 49 5 10.2% −2.50

Tipperary 37 3 8.1% −16.75

Down Royal 27 5 18.5% +6.03

Punchestown 27 2 7.4% −20.25

Listowel 25 1 4% −21.50

Limerick 22 0 0% −22.00

Fairyhouse 21 2 9.5% −11.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 127 8 6.3% −40.39

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 92 28 30.4% 1.11 −15.98

2nd–3rd fav 176 26 14.8% 0.92 −45.65

4th–6th fav 379 17 4.5% 0.63 −186.00

7th+ in betting 547 12 2.2% 0.72 −270.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Neo Smart (IRE) 40 3 11 19 Oct 26

Eastern Legend (IRE) 25 4 9 29 Jun 25

Slaney Tide (IRE) 22 1 2 8 Jun 24

Believe In Science (IRE) 21 0 5 23 Oct 24

Clever And Cool (IRE) 20 4 5 15 Oct 23

Clever And Classy (IRE) 18 1 5 16 Oct 25

Fleetfoot (IRE)then Barry Foley 18 4 12 13 Sep 25

Young Ireland (IRE) 18 1 7 9 Sep 23

Serious Challenge (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 17 1 4 2 Jul 24

Finsceal Go Deo (IRE) 17 1 6 1 Dec 23

Golden Spangle (IRE) 17 2 9 29 Sep 23

Bold Approach (IRE) 16 0 4 17 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 192 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Adam Nicol (2) and Fergal O'Brien (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

03376461096967

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRory Cleary

36% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.74

RiderRWSR£1

Rory Cleary 434 23 5.3% −241.71

Kevin Manning 253 22 8.7% −73.18

Declan McDonogh 146 14 9.6% −16.42

Luke McAteer 107 12 11.2% −32.93

Ross Coakley 53 0 0% −53.00

Gabriella Hill 31 2 6.5% −2.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,040

Archived wins

185

Pattern / graded wins

£37.2m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 72 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lush Lashes (GB) — Parknasilla Hotel Goffs Fillies Million Curragh · Sep 2007

£985,000

New Approach (IRE) — Vodafone Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2008 · Group 1

£802,444

Trading Leather (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2013 · Group 1

£725,000

Notable horses

Ringside Humour (IRE) Dawn Approach (IRE) New Approach (IRE) Banimpire (IRE) Flight Risk (IRE) Mainicin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Teofilo (IRE) 12.1% · 34–282

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,074 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Dawn Approach (IRE) 5.3% · 14–266

Progeny have won 8% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.

Vocalised (USA) 7.6% · 11–144

Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,031 runs since 2008 (172 horses).

Parish Hall (IRE) 2.6% · 2–78

Progeny have won 5.4% of 260 runs since 2008 (32 horses).

Fracas (IRE) 1.9% · 1–52

Progeny have won 9.7% of 794 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13% from 100. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 106.

Belardo (IRE) 6% · 3–50

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,706 runs since 2008 (280 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,318 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,318 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Parish Express (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 22nd 50/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Teofil (IRE)J: Luke McAteer WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 8/13F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Admired Beauty (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Neo Smart (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Lar Na Coille (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 33/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Teoest (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Admired Beauty (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/4

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Ita Florence (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 6th 6/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Sparan Nua (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 17/2

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Ballaghkeen (IRE)J: Shane Foley Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 7/2F

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Teoest (IRE)J: Colin Keane Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 7/4

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Dawnmore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/2

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ita Florence (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 7/2

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Admired Beauty (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 1st 20/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Teofil (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 13/8F

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Dawnmore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 11/8J

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Ballaghkeen (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 1st 14/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ballaghkeen (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 17/2

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) All Is Bright (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Pravha Handicap (Div I)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 33/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Mumhan (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race7f · Yielding · 9 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J S Bolger's strike rate?: J S Bolger has won 83 of 1,194 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J S Bolger do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 11 wins from 104 runners (10.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J S Bolger?: Rory Cleary, with 434 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (5.3%).
Is J S Bolger in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J S Bolger's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 1,194 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.