Hardly Surprising (IRE)
Hardly Surprising is a gelding by Affinisea out of an Inquisitive Look mare. He has won one of four starts, the success coming at Class 4 level over 2m1f – 2m4f on good to soft at Fontwell in Apr 2026. All four runs have been on turf, with one win and two placings on good to soft. His last run, at Fontwell in Apr 2026, was a win in the Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle.
- 1–4Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 3 (75%)Placed
- −2.27£1 level staken=4 at SP
- 117Highest OR
- 51dAvg between runs
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 124
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 100B | 94 | 2 runs · 100 / 94 |
| Soft | 2 | 124B | 122.5 | 2 runs · 124 / 122.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 124B | 110.5 | 4 runs · 124 / 110.5 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since Nov 2025
- Prominent 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (25%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 1,262 runs since Jan 2008 (198 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.9 | — |
| Good | 451 | 57 | 12.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 323 | 43 | 13.3% | +0.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 343 | 46 | 13.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 135 | 17 | 12.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −13.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 465 | 52 | 11.2% | −1.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 544 | 75 | 13.8% | +0.7 | 1 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 210 | 30 | 14.3% | +1.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | +4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Fiddlerontheroof (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m4f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Fiddlerontheroof (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiddlerontheroof (IRE) | 23 | 5 | 2m–2m4f | Grade 1 |
| Ifiwerearichman (IRE) | 19 | 3 | 2m–2m1f | — |
| Love Lane (IRE) | 11 | 3 | 2m–2m1f | Class 4 |
| Look And Sea (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Back On The Bridle (IRE) | 23 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fontwell | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Apr 26+75d | Fontwell | Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Shared front spot early - driven clear before 3 out - asked for effort after final flight - stayed on strongly to hold rivals - won | 1/12 | 11-5 | 117 | 88B | 128A | Bryan Carver | 8/11F | |
| 23 Jan 26+55d | Doncaster | Virgin Bet EBF 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Up with the front group - niggled after 3 out and drifted off a true line approaching 2 out - moved into pursuit of the front two before the last - stuck on without making any additional ground to finish 3rd | 3/13 | 4¼ | 11-10 | — | 124B | 128A | Bryan Carver | 11/8F |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Nov 25+22d | Bangor-on-Dee | Wrexham Lager Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - moved into third after 3 out - stayed on well from the final flight to finish third | 3/9 | shd | 11-3 | — | 121B | 131A | Bryan Carver | 7/4 |
| 07 Nov 25 | Fontwell | V2 Radio Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled just behind the pace - clipped one three out - pushed along approaching last two furlongs - dropped away up the straight to finish fifth | 5/14 | 7½ | 11-4 | — | 100B | 116A | Bryan Carver | 16/5 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Hardly Surprising won?
- Hardly Surprising (IRE) won 1 of 4 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 3 times in total (75% of starts).
- Who trains Hardly Surprising?
- Hardly Surprising (IRE) is trained by Harry Fry, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 8 April 2026.
- Who is Hardly Surprising's sire?
- Hardly Surprising (IRE) is by Affinisea (IRE) out of Inquisitive Look (GB), whose sire is Montjeu.
- What is Hardly Surprising's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 117, from the run on 8 April 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Hardly Surprising's sire's record?
- Affinisea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 1,262 runs since Jan 2008 (198 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Hardly Surprising's siblings?
- Out of Inquisitive Look (GB), Hardly Surprising (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Fiddlerontheroof (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Fiddlerontheroof (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.