What is Harry Fry's strike rate?

Harry Fry has won 135 of 727 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Fry do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 12 wins from 30 runners (40%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Harry Fry?

Bryan Carver, with 203 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (19.7%).

Is Harry Fry in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Harry Fry's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 726 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Harry Fry

727 runners in the last 5 seasons · 109 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

135–727

Wins / Runs

18.6%

Strike rate

n=727

315 (43%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=726 · 0.90 incl. margin

−176.12

£1 level stake

n=727 at SP · −24.2%

£2.60m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

23.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). Debutants are a strength: 25% on first career starts (44 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 727 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 44.6% when favourite Bryan Carver: 19.7% from 203 Claiming riders: 19.4% Sends off the favourite in 23% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (40%, n=30) and Fontwell (33.3%, n=39) — all clear of the yard's 18.6% baseline. It is weakest at Wincanton (11.1% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 25% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.48), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 9.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.71). Bryan Carver rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (19.7%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 9.2% over 109 runners, 9.4pts below the baseline. 51 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle at Punchestown (May 2019, £177,000). The stable star of the record: Unowhatimeanharry (GB) — 13 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.6%−3.0

n=256 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −77.46

New recruits · first run for the yard

27.3%+8.7

n=22 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +1.50

Debutants · first career start

25%+6.4

n=44 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +7.54

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.8%−8.8

n=51 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −32.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

40%+21.4

n=5 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +0.38

When favourite

44.6%

n=166 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +11.55

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

19.4%+0.8

n=160 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −3.64

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%−6.8

n=76 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −38.21

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newton Abbot 40% vs 18.6% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 32.6% vs 18.6% · n=132

At Fontwell 33.3% vs 18.6% · n=39

In Class 1 9.2% vs 18.6% · n=109

With first-time headgear 9.8% vs 18.6% · n=51

At Wincanton 11.1% vs 18.6% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 458 89 19.4% −129.36

Chase 172 25 14.5% −43.38

NH Flat 68 16 23.5% −6.21

Flat 29 5 17.2% +2.83

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 269 37 13.8% −149.79

Good 233 51 21.9% −13.87

Soft 166 33 19.9% −13.00

Heavy 50 12 24% +0.21

Standard (AW) 7 2 28.6% +2.33

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 62 14 22.6% −3.32

Taunton 58 8 13.8% −27.25

Wincanton 54 6 11.1% −28.42

Cheltenham 46 5 10.9% −21.92

Uttoxeter 46 9 19.6% −11.18

Ascot 43 11 25.6% +27.13

Fontwell 39 13 33.3% +3.61

Chepstow 35 4 11.4% −17.25

Sandown 34 4 11.8% −25.04

Newton Abbot 30 12 40% +10.04

Worcester 28 6 21.4% −9.10

Plumpton 25 5 20% −5.90

Newbury 22 3 13.6% −12.38

Kempton 22 7 31.8% +10.20

Aintree 19 2 10.5% −12.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 258 58 22.5% −72.00

Class 3 129 22 17.1% −4.33

Class 5 115 23 20% −16.42

Class 2 110 22 20% −10.66

Class 1 109 10 9.2% −66.71

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 182 77 42.3% 1.21 +3.43

2nd–3rd fav 238 43 18.1% 1.04 −26.05

4th–6th fav 201 13 6.5% 0.73 −89.50

7th+ in betting 106 2 1.9% 0.48 −64.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.7% completed · 630 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 172 76.7% 6 6 28 0 0

Hurdle 458 90.4% 6 5 32 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Boothill (IRE) 22 5 7 9 Apr 26

Miss Goldfire (IRE) 21 5 10 4 Oct 26

High Fibre (IRE)from Ralph Beckett · then James Owen 21 2 9 10 Jul 26

Winterwatch (GER)from Andrew Balding 19 2 9 20 Jul 24

Metier (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 17 3 4 17 Jan 26

Ma Belle Noire (GB) 16 3 9 7 May 25

Might I (IRE)then Faye Bramley 16 2 5 12 Mar 25

Hello Cello (IRE) 15 1 4 15 Jul 26

Fortunes Melody (GB)from D Cottin · then D Bressou 15 2 8 20 Apr 23

Altobelli (IRE) 14 5 9 16 Jan 26

Monjules (FR)from John Norton 14 3 9 23 Feb 25

Geezer Rockstar (IRE) 13 4 5 16 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 109 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Emma Lavelle (2) and Johnny Farrelly (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (2) and Simon Hodgson (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

171822191917271124201715

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBryan Carver

28% of all rides
19.7% SR · A/E 1.26

RiderRWSR£1

Bryan Carver 203 40 19.7% −18.68

Jonathan Burke 164 40 24.4% −23.39

Lorcan Murtagh 76 9 11.8% −32.72

Sean Bowen 61 9 14.8% −33.31

Ben Bromley 48 7 14.6% −9.75

Ciaran O'Shea 32 6 18.8% −10.29

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

539

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.63m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 79 wins

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (grade 1) Punchestown · May 2019 · Grade 1

£177,000

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2017 · Grade 1

£147,500

If The Cap Fits (IRE) — Ryanair Stayers Hurdle (Registered As The Liverpool Hurdle) (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2019 · Grade 1

£101,034

Notable horses

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) Golden Birthday (FR) If The Cap Fits (IRE) Bags Groove (IRE) Henryville (GB) Sir Ivan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 22.2% · 12–54

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 12.5% · 6–48

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Vadamos (FR) 17.6% · 6–34

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,082 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,811 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Ask (GB) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,214 runs since 2008 (283 horses).

Getaway (GER) 24% · 6–25

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,679 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,679 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 October 2012 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Trustintimes (GB)J: Saffie Osborne EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Sorgean (FR)J: Bryan Carver Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 11/2

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 100/30

26 Sep 26 Haydock Soul Limbo (IRE)J: John Egan William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 9/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Hello Cello (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/2

10 Jul 26 York High Fibre (IRE)J: Mason Paetel William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Hello Cello (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2

28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Doobeedee (GB)J: Bryan Carver Alzheimer's Society Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Charles Darrow Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1F

24 May 26 Fontwell Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran UR 15/8F

20 May 26 Warwick High Fibre (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Love Warwick Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 2/1F

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Geezer Rockstar (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Eaton Hall Shooting Ground Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 10/3

14 May 26 Fontwell Sorgean (FR)J: Bryan Carver Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 10/3F

06 May 26 Fontwell La Cadalora (GB)J: Bryan Carver Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 11/8J

06 May 26 Fontwell Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/1

04 May 26 Warwick Hello Cello (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Racing To School Celebrating 25 Years Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1

24 Apr 26 Chepstow Star Walking (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Braceys Master Charm Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/4

24 Apr 26 Fontwell Valadon (IRE)J: Bryan Carver KSR Lighting Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 10/3

12 Apr 26 Wincanton Sorgean (FR)J: Bryan Carver Castle Cary Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15f · Good · 5 ran 1st 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Fry's strike rate?: Harry Fry has won 135 of 727 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Fry do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 12 wins from 30 runners (40%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Harry Fry?: Bryan Carver, with 203 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (19.7%).
Is Harry Fry in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Harry Fry's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 726 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.