What is Bryan Carver's strike rate?

Bryan Carver has won 128 of 1,012 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Bryan Carver do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 15 wins from 70 rides (21.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Bryan Carver ride most for?

Harry Fry, with 209 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (20.1%).

Is Bryan Carver in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.6% since 2022.

What is Bryan Carver's Fair A/E?

1.19, from 1,009 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Bryan Carver

1,012 rides in the last 5 seasons · 366 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

128–1,012

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=1,012

293 (29%)

Placed

1.19

Fair A/E

n=1,009 · 1.02 incl. margin

−255.35

£1 level stake

n=1,012 at SP · −25.2%

£1.65m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 200 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.19). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (120 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,012 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–May 48.9% when favourite Harry Fry: 20.1% from 209 LTO winners: 26.7% Claiming: 16.7% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (21.4%, n=70), clear of the rider's 12.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.7% (n=120, Fair A/E 1.46), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=145, Fair A/E 0.61). Harry Fry supplies 21% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.1% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 4.1% over 73 rides, 8.5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the William Hill Formby Novices' Hurdle at Aintree (Dec 2025, £56,950). The standout partner of the record: Time To Bite (IRE) — 10 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%−5.1

n=334 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −192.97

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

26.7%+14.1

n=120 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +6.93

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.5%−4.1

n=271 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −139.62

When favourite

48.9%

n=92 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +26.21

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

16.7%+4.1

n=30 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +23.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−8.5

n=145 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −122.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.1%−6.5

n=33 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −20.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 26.7% vs 12.6% · n=120

With Harry Fry 20.1% vs 12.6% · n=209

At Newton Abbot 21.4% vs 12.6% · n=70

Off a 8-14-day break 4.1% vs 12.6% · n=73

In Class 1 4.3% vs 12.6% · n=46

On first rides for the horse 7.5% vs 12.6% · n=334

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 589 65 11% −222.63

Chase 331 54 16.3% +16.40

NH Flat 90 9 10% −47.12

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 440 64 14.5% −9.01

Good to Soft 289 30 10.4% −133.37

Soft 179 21 11.7% −65.05

Heavy 77 9 11.7% −37.77

Good to Firm 24 4 16.7% −7.15

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 106 20 18.9% +8.62

Wincanton 81 6 7.4% −37.80

Taunton 79 6 7.6% −51.72

Newton Abbot 70 15 21.4% +34.00

Chepstow 64 5 7.8% −39.25

Fontwell 61 10 16.4% −2.29

Worcester 56 6 10.7% −19.79

Uttoxeter 48 9 18.8% −2.66

Plumpton 42 8 19% −8.12

Warwick 34 6 17.6% +14.75

Stratford 29 1 3.4% −25.75

Market Rasen 26 1 3.8% −22.25

Huntingdon 25 2 8% +8.50

Ffos Las 25 3 12% −15.67

Newbury 24 2 8.3% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 423 62 14.7% −88.10

Class 5 350 35 10% −104.65

Class 3 111 19 17.1% +9.57

Class 2 79 10 12.7% −35.67

Class 1 46 2 4.3% −33.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 107 51 47.7% 1.53 +32.17

2nd–3rd fav 221 43 19.5% 1.17 −12.02

4th–6th fav 346 29 8.4% 1.06 −70.50

7th+ in betting 338 5 1.5% 0.52 −205.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81% completed · 920 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 331 76.7% 6 7 64 0 0

Hurdle 589 83.4% 9 5 82 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Time To Bite (IRE) 35 10 22 11 Oct 26

Opening Bid (GB) 23 7 12 3 May 25

Ez Tiger (IRE) 20 6 11 19 Oct 26

Mayhem Mya (GB) 15 2 4 14 Mar 25

John W Creasy (IRE) 14 2 3 20 May 26

Man Oh Man (IRE) 13 0 4 10 Sep 26

Majestic Moment (IRE) 11 3 4 3 Oct 26

Impecunious (IRE) 11 1 3 6 Jun 26

Another Fine Mess (IRE) 11 2 4 20 Mar 26

Shortcross Storm (IRE) 11 1 2 5 Jun 24

Tip Top Mountain (IRE) 11 4 4 15 May 24

Jet Smart (IRE) 10 2 5 13 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 366 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 17 11.8% · −0.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.8%

5-season base12.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

71717162412193515610

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHarry Fry

21% of all rides
20.1% SR · A/E 1.28

TrainerRWSR£1

Harry Fry 209 42 20.1% −18.55

Chris Honour 159 18 11.3% −15.34

Alex Hales 129 21 16.3% +11.60

Chris Down 74 13 17.6% −27.13

D Summersby 67 5 7.5% −19.79

Robert Walford 66 8 12.1% −2.22

Jeremy Scott 50 5 10% −20.25

Neil Mulholland 49 4 8.2% −25.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

196

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.23m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 31 wins

Idaho Sun (IRE) — William Hill Formby Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2025 · Grade 1

£56,950

Gidleigh Park (GB) — Fitzdares Lightning Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2025 · Grade 2

£42,713

Trustintimes (GB) — Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race) Ascot · Oct 2026 · Class 2

£32,676

Notable horses

Time To Bite (IRE) Opening Bid (GB) Ez Tiger (IRE) Altobelli (IRE) Trustintimes (GB) Idaho Sun (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Scorpion (IRE) 24.4% · 11–45

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,321 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Getaway (GER) 20% · 7–35

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,971 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,015 runs since 2011 (702 horses).

Mahler (GB) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,869 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Linda's Lad (GB) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,323 runs since 2012 (186 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.6% from 215.

Native Ruler (GB) 30.4% · 7–23

Progeny have won 6.7% of 371 runs since 2015 (43 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.4% from 125.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,506 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,506 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2017 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Soul Limbo (IRE)T: Harry Fry Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Walk On High (GB)T: Harry Fry Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Hiero Sport (FR)T: Alex Hales Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 100/30

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Lancier Des Obeaux (FR)T: Laura Horsfall Richard Soan Roofing Services Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 11/2

01 Nov 26 Worcester Clonagoose (IRE)T: Dean Summersby Copybet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 28/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Happy And Fine (FR)T: Alex Hales Copybet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran UR 28/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Lexie's Moon (GB)T: Laura Horsfall Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 28/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Trustintimes (GB)T: Harry Fry Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 1st 11/4F

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Constellation Walk (IRE)T: Harry Fry Kalahari King 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 11/2

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Dalcassian Girl (IRE)T: Chris Honour Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Mr Winter (IRE)T: Chris Honour Dandara Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 18/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Par Avion (GB)T: Harry Fry Thankyou & Farewell Dr. Tim Tilsley Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 11/8F

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot In Limbo (IRE)T: Chris Honour Passage House Hotel South Devon Gateway Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 10/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Bold Endeavour (GB)T: Chris Honour Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 13th 33/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Sky Grove (IRE)T: Laura Horsfall bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 11/2

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Chatty Girl (IRE)T: Alex Hales BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 18f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 2/1F

21 Oct 26 Fontwell On The Bayou (IRE)T: Harry Fry BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Ez Tiger (IRE)T: Alex Hales Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 2/1F

17 Oct 26 Stratford Crown Of India (IRE)T: Alex Hales Value With Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Lord Of The Glance (GB)T: Alex Hales tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 8 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Bryan Carver's strike rate?: Bryan Carver has won 128 of 1,012 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bryan Carver do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 15 wins from 70 rides (21.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Bryan Carver ride most for?: Harry Fry, with 209 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (20.1%).
Is Bryan Carver in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.6% since 2022.
What is Bryan Carver's Fair A/E?: 1.19, from 1,009 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.