Horse profile
Hoe Joly Smoke (GB)
by Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) out of My Miss Lucy (GB) (Alflora)
18 runs · 10 courses · from Oct 2022
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Bangor-on-Dee & Sandown
Beaten favourite LTO
Last run 16 Sep 2026 · 2nd of 2
Last raced off OR 122
KTB Profile
Hoe Joly Smoke (GB) is 3 from 18. Last raced off 122, 9lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 18 archived runs · run-style from 13 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 9lb off peak
- 3–18Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 10 (55.6%)Placed
- −8.88£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 0.75Fair A/E n=18 · 0.65 incl. margin
- 131Highest OR
- 49dBetween runs (median)longest 322 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating122↓ 9lb off peak
122
118–131
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 104
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 8 | 129A | 99 | 2 runs · 104 / 91 |
| Good | 4 | 113C | 86.5 | 2 runs · 113 / 88 |
| Soft | 2 | 102B | 77.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 129B | 101.5 | 3 runs · 113 / 78 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 133C | 104 | 2 runs · 133 / 118.5 |
| Over 3m | 3 | 76B | 63 | 1 run · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 18 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Held up 7 (54%) · 1 win
- Led 3 (23%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 3 (23%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 4,686 runs since Mar 2008 (466 horses).
Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 112 | 10 | 8.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,335 | 113 | 8.5% | −1.8 | 2 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 1,074 | 98 | 9.1% | −1.2 | 0 from 9 |
| Soft | 1,408 | 168 | 11.9% | +1.6 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 627 | 83 | 13.2% | +2.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 126 | 11 | 8.7% | −1.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | −3.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 145 | 8 | 5.5% | −4.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,307 | 152 | 11.6% | +1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,499 | 142 | 9.5% | −0.8 | 1 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,321 | 141 | 10.7% | +0.4 | 2 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 371 | 37 | 10% | −0.3 | 0 from 4 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
My Miss Lucy (GB) (Alflora)
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaelic Glow (GB) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Good | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.87 |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.38 |
| Class 1 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sandown | 3 | 2 | 67% | +3.50 |
| Chepstow | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kelso | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 2 | 40% | +1.50 |
| Over 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 17 | 3 | 18% | −7.88 |
| Kielan Woods | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 8 | 2 | 25% | −1.50 |
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.38 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.75 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 11 | 2 | 18% | −4.50 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 Sep 26+12d | Kelso | Borders Carers Centre Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - stretched clear before 2 out then pressed for effort and margin shortened approaching the last where overtaken - unable to threaten winner thereafter finishing second | 2/2 | 7 | 11-7 | 122 | 133C | 117C | Harry Skelton | 4/9F |
| 04 Sep 26+114d | Bangor-on-Dee | North Wales Business Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race) Set the pace from the start - given a squeeze approaching the final fence - stayed on to win | 1/5 | 11-0 | 122 | 113C | 127B | Harry Skelton | 13/8 | |
| 13 May 26+26d | Newton Abbot | St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sat behind leader early - still close 4 out then pressed and lost place 3 out - dropped right away soon after | 2/3 | 43 | 11-2 | 128 | 63C | 114C | Harry Skelton | 11/8 |
| 17 Apr 26+55d | Ayr | Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the back early - made ground before 4 out and edged onto the front group 3 out - stumbled 2 out and driven onward - lost touch before the final fence | 6/9 | 2¼ | 10-10 | 130 | 53A | 115A | Harry Skelton | 9/4F |
| 21 Feb 26+70d | Kempton | Ladbrokes Trophy Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Settled with the pack early - improved into contention before the 14th - driven on after four out - lost momentum from two out to finish sixth | 6/13 | ¾ | 10-8 | 131 | 104B | 127A | Harry Skelton | 7/1 |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Dec 25+28d | Cheltenham | Support The Hunt Family Fund December Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Held up in the pack - made ground nearing 2 out - driven and kept on at one tempo on the run-in | 5/10 | ¾ | 10-5 | 131 | 78A | 127A | Harry Skelton | 11/2 |
| 15 Nov 25+21d | Cheltenham | Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (In Memory Of Edward O'Grady) (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Settled towards the back early - still with much ground to find approaching 2 out - made progress wide on the home turn - driven up behind the front group and hit the last unbalanced - moved into third on the run-in and stayed on for 3rd | 3/12 | 2¼ | 10-11 | 131 | — | 125A | Kielan Woods | 9/1 |
| 25 Oct 25+182d | Cheltenham | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the back of the pack - made progress before 3 out - pressed the leader at the last - unable to find more and edged out of second near the line | 3/18 | ¾ | 10-7 | 129 | 76B | 131A | Harry Skelton | 12/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+49d | Sandown | bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Held up towards the back - stumbled on touchdown at the 19th having made progress - driven and lost ground 2 out before being pulled up | PU/19 | — | 10-2 | 130 | — | — | Harry Skelton | 16/1 |
| 08 Mar 25+70d | Sandown | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the rear early - made smooth progress from the outside approaching two out - drew level with the leader entering the final furlong - pressed on to score close home | 1/6 | 11-2 | 127 | 97A | 132B | Harry Skelton | 9/4F | |
| 2024 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 24+22d | Newbury | Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled at the back early - made ground from the 16th - up to 4th but unable to close 3 out and could not find more late | 5/9 | 9½ | 11-1 | 127 | 45C | 109C | Harry Skelton | 5/2F |
| 06 Dec 24+49d | Sandown | Bet At Your Best With Betfair Handicap Chase Settled midpack early - improving nicely into contention approaching last two flights - pushed to get after front-runner at final obstacle - shot ahead soon after - pulled away in closing stages for an easy win | 1/6 | 11-4 | 120 | 102B | 131B | Harry Skelton | 9/4F | |
| 18 Oct 24+322d | Uttoxeter | QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace from the start - travelling smoothly early though scratchy at the 10th - stretched away before 2 out - advantage shrinking approaching the last - stumbled and lost the front there - lost momentum on the run to the line | 2/6 | 5½ | 10-8 | 119 | 94B | 124B | Harry Skelton | 13/8F |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Dec 23+31d | Newbury | Play Coral 'Racing-Super-Series' For Free Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/12 | 5½ | 10-7 | 118 | 129A | 131A | Harry Skelton | 7/2 |
| 31 Oct 23+241d | Chepstow | Vickers.Bet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 3/16 | 7 | 11-4 | 119 | 129B | 134A | Harry Skelton | 10/3 |
| 04 Mar 23+29d | Kelso | bet365 Premier Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) | PU/11 | — | 11-5 | 120 | — | — | Harry Skelton | 20/1 |
| 03 Feb 23+101d | Chepstow | Download Vickers.Bet App EBF Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 3/10 | ¾ | 11-2 | — | 93A | 125A | Harry Skelton | 10/3 |
| 2022 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 25 Oct 22 | Chepstow | Download The Vickers.Bet App Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 2/14 | 3¼ | 11-2 | — | 109B | 127A | Harry Skelton | 11/4F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Hoe Joly Smoke won?
- Hoe Joly Smoke (GB) won 3 of 18 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 10 times in total (55.6% of starts).
- Who trains Hoe Joly Smoke?
- Hoe Joly Smoke (GB) is trained by Dan Skelton, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 16 September 2026.
- Who is Hoe Joly Smoke's sire?
- Hoe Joly Smoke (GB) is by Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) out of My Miss Lucy (GB), whose sire is Alflora.
- What going does Hoe Joly Smoke prefer?
- Hoe Joly Smoke (GB) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Hoe Joly Smoke's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 122, from the run on 16 September 2026. The highest on record is 131.
- What is Hoe Joly Smoke's sire's record?
- Black Sam Bellamy (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 4,686 runs since Mar 2008 (466 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
- Who are Hoe Joly Smoke's siblings?
- Out of My Miss Lucy (GB), Hoe Joly Smoke (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.