What is Harry Skelton's strike rate?

Harry Skelton has won 620 of 2,661 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 23.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Skelton do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 35 wins from 88 rides (39.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Harry Skelton ride most for?

Dan Skelton, with 2,595 rides since 2022 — 98% of the total. That pairing has won 606 (23.4%).

Is Harry Skelton in form?

In the last 14 days: 51 rides, 20 winners, a strike rate of 39.2%. That is above the baseline of 23.3% since 2022.

What is Harry Skelton's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,656 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Harry Skelton

2,661 rides in the last 5 seasons · 624 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 20 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

620–2,661

Wins / Runs

23.3%

Strike rate

n=2,661

1,250 (47%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,656 · 0.89 incl. margin

−456.35

£1 level stake

n=2,660 at SP · −17.2%

£12.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

31.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 530 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 23% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (603 rides). Rides mostly for Dan Skelton — 98% of rides in the window. The rider is in form now — 20 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,661 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 24% 43% when favourite Dan Skelton: 23.4% from 2,595 First rides: 24.2% LTO winners: 26.7% Rides the favourite in 33% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (39.8%, n=88), Hereford (39.4%, n=33) and Huntingdon (33.3%, n=78) — all clear of the rider's 23.3% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (7.9% over 63 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.7% (n=603, Fair A/E 0.90), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 13.9% (n=332, Fair A/E 1.12). Right now the rider is firing: 20 winners from 51 rides in the last 14 days (39.2%, 15.9pts above the 23.3% baseline). Dan Skelton supplies 98% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (23.4%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (54.8%, n=31). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 15.7% over 401 rides, 7.6pts below the baseline. 136 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2020, £225,080). The standout partner of the record: Hatcher (IRE) — 13 wins from 32 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 23.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

24.2%+0.9

n=499 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −59.28

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

26.7%+3.4

n=603 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −168.65

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

24%+0.7

n=707 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −124.14

When favourite

43%

n=870 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −34.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

13.9%−9.4

n=332 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −101.04

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

19.7%−3.6

n=325 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −69.32

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 23.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 54.8% vs 23.3% · n=31

At Newton Abbot 39.8% vs 23.3% · n=88

At Ascot 7.9% vs 23.3% · n=63

At Hereford 39.4% vs 23.3% · n=33

In Class 2 15.7% vs 23.3% · n=401

At Huntingdon 33.3% vs 23.3% · n=78

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,555 369 23.7% −337.86

Chase 872 197 22.6% −112.56

NH Flat 234 54 23.1% −5.93

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,038 267 25.7% −235.92

Good to Soft 854 187 21.9% −77.05

Soft 618 125 20.2% −123.29

Heavy 98 25 25.5% −13.61

Good to Firm 53 16 30.2% −6.48

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Warwick 219 54 24.7% −74.09

Cheltenham 199 35 17.6% −6.44

Uttoxeter 165 39 23.6% −34.20

Aintree 140 24 17.1% −43.59

Worcester 140 36 25.7% −16.99

Chepstow 122 22 18% −34.17

Newbury 114 18 15.8% −19.78

Market Rasen 111 27 24.3% −21.53

Stratford 99 29 29.3% −12.42

Southwell 96 24 25% −31.56

Kempton 96 15 15.6% −40.59

Wetherby 92 29 31.5% −5.51

Sandown 89 15 16.9% −15.51

Newton Abbot 88 35 39.8% +8.31

Huntingdon 78 26 33.3% +1.05

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 897 240 26.8% −227.15

Class 3 528 133 25.2% −50.12

Class 1 441 77 17.5% −95.99

Class 2 401 63 15.7% −93.49

Class 5 394 107 27.2% +10.40

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 942 394 41.8% 1.09 −27.64

2nd–3rd fav 915 170 18.6% 0.95 −189.71

4th–6th fav 588 43 7.3% 0.84 −219.50

7th+ in betting 215 12 5.6% 1.34 −19.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.2% completed · 2,427 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 872 87.8% 26 7 71 2 0

Hurdle 1,555 91.4% 31 3 97 2 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Riskintheground (IRE) 30 9 13 28 Jun 26

Etalon (IRE) 24 6 11 14 Oct 26

Major Fortune (IRE) 22 7 10 9 Nov 26

Doyen Quest (IRE) 22 8 11 1 Nov 26

Boombawn (IRE) 21 5 8 7 Nov 26

Take No Chances (IRE) 20 3 12 31 Oct 26

Grey Dawning (IRE) 20 10 14 10 Apr 26

Protektorat (FR) 20 5 11 9 Apr 26

Heltenham (FR) 19 5 12 22 Apr 26

Le Milos (GB) 19 4 5 4 Apr 26

Calico (GER) 18 3 6 23 Oct 26

Snipe (IRE) 18 3 7 7 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 624 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

20 from 51 39.2% · +15.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days39.2%

5-season base23.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

251718203733183328242222

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDan Skelton

98% of all rides
23.4% SR · A/E 1.03

TrainerRWSR£1

Dan Skelton 2,595 606 23.4% −446.89

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

1,658

Archived wins

136

Pattern / graded wins

£25.1m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 188 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Politologue (FR) — Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Grade 1

£225,080

Protektorat (FR) — Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Festival Trophy) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2024 · Grade 1

£218,398

Le Milos (GB) — Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2022 · Class 1

£142,375

Notable horses

Hatcher (IRE) Grey Dawning (IRE) Longhouse Sale (IRE) Riskintheground (IRE) Protektorat (FR) Doyen Quest (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 23.7% · 32–135

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,084 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Getaway (GER) 22.7% · 27–119

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 30.1% · 31–103

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,898 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Martaline (GB) 17.6% · 13–74

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Doyen (IRE) 37% · 27–73

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 27.4% · 20–73

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,115 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,115 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2006 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Brookside La (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Festive Meeting Saturday 28th November Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 6/4F

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Frost Moon (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 85/40

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Getawhisky (GB)T: Dan Skelton Yorton Mares' Novices' Steeple Chase (Listed Race) (For The Richard Aston Memorial Trophy) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 17/2

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Chuggy (GB)T: Dan Skelton Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/4

09 Nov 26 Stratford Service Minimum (FR)T: Dan Skelton Get A Free Trial Of Racing TV Now Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 9/2

09 Nov 26 Stratford Lune Brillante (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Trailertrek Towbars Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 6/4F

09 Nov 26 Stratford Major Fortune (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/2

09 Nov 26 Stratford Eastern Fire (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Stratford Extra Raceday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 8/15F

09 Nov 26 Stratford Emid'io Pepe (FR)T: Dan Skelton racingtv.com/freetrial 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 2 ran 1st 8/15F

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Little Patience (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Fedwen Tentage Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 1/1F

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Ink Black Heart (GB)T: Dan Skelton Blackmores Build Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Al Capony (FR)T: Dan Skelton William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

07 Nov 26 Aintree Boombawn (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Play Lucky Stable With William Hill Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 5/2F

07 Nov 26 Aintree Talk To The Man (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Boodles Rising Stars Novices' Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 100/30

07 Nov 26 Aintree Kadastral (FR)T: Dan Skelton William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 9/4F

07 Nov 26 Aintree Old Coast Road (IRE)T: Dan Skelton William Hill Epic Boosts EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 2 ran 1st 8/11F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Quaviste (FR)T: Dan Skelton Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/8F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Here Comes Georgie (GB)T: Dan Skelton BetMGM Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 5/2F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Mirabad (FR)T: Dan Skelton BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/4F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Royal Infantry (IRE)T: Dan Skelton BetMGM 'Future Stars' Silver Bowl 'Chasing Excellence' Novices' Steeple Chase (Part Of The 'Chasing Excellence' Initiative) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 1st 11/8

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 25 runs (won 15) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 26 runs (won 13, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 25 runs (won 10, 1 did not run) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Skelton's strike rate?: Harry Skelton has won 620 of 2,661 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 23.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Skelton do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 35 wins from 88 rides (39.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Skelton ride most for?: Dan Skelton, with 2,595 rides since 2022 — 98% of the total. That pairing has won 606 (23.4%).
Is Harry Skelton in form?: In the last 14 days: 51 rides, 20 winners, a strike rate of 39.2%. That is above the baseline of 23.3% since 2022.
What is Harry Skelton's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,656 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.