What is Dan Skelton's strike rate?

Dan Skelton has won 803 of 4,264 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dan Skelton do best at?

Wetherby by strike rate: 39 wins from 150 runners (26%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Dan Skelton?

Harry Skelton, with 2,522 runners since 2022 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 581 (23%).

Is Dan Skelton in form?

In the last 14 days: 84 runners, 23 winners, a strike rate of 27.4%. That is above the baseline of 18.8% since 2022.

What is Dan Skelton's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 4,255 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Dan Skelton

4,264 runners in the last 5 seasons · 633 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.4% of 1,327 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

In form — 23 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

803–4,264

Wins / Runs

18.8%

Strike rate

n=4,264

1,678 (39%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=4,255 · 0.90 incl. margin

−713.69

£1 level stake

n=4,263 at SP · −16.7%

£16.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

24.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 850 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). New recruits from other yards win at 22% first time out (176 runs). The yard is in form now — 23 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,264 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 43.1% when favourite Harry Skelton: 23% from 2,522 New recruits: 21.6% Sends off the favourite in 23% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (34.5%, n=113) and Fakenham (34.5%, n=55) — all clear of the yard's 18.8% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (7.2% over 111 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 14.3% (n=811, Fair A/E 1.09). Right now the yard is firing: 23 winners from 84 runners in the last 14 days (27.4%, 8.6pts above the 18.8% baseline). Harry Skelton rides 59% of the entries and edges the yard's average (23% vs 18.8%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (41.5%, n=53). 142 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2024, £218,398). The stable star of the record: Hatcher (IRE) — 14 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

17.6%−1.2

n=1,083 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −329.09

New recruits · first run for the yard

21.6%+2.8

n=176 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −23.15

Debutants · first career start

19%+0.2

n=311 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −35.34

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.3%+0.5

n=212 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −7.28

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.7%−4.1

n=95 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −25.84

When favourite

43.1%

n=987 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −19.74

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.3%−4.5

n=811 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −104.03

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.3%−2.5

n=410 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −65.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 41.5% vs 18.8% · n=53

At Newton Abbot 34.5% vs 18.8% · n=113

At Fakenham 34.5% vs 18.8% · n=55

With Liam Harrison 2.6% vs 18.8% · n=38

At Ascot 7.2% vs 18.8% · n=111

With Harry Atkins 8.9% vs 18.8% · n=90

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,505 457 18.2% −613.11

Chase 1,380 270 19.6% −105.89

NH Flat 362 75 20.7% +12.31

Flat 17 1 5.9% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,565 323 20.6% −338.88

Good to Soft 1,391 239 17.2% −143.26

Soft 1,027 184 17.9% −169.49

Heavy 201 37 18.4% −36.66

Good to Firm 75 20 26.7% −20.40

Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Warwick 331 68 20.5% −81.35

Uttoxeter 266 48 18% −72.90

Cheltenham 263 37 14.1% −16.69

Chepstow 213 26 12.2% −65.99

Worcester 211 39 18.5% −72.37

Aintree 183 26 14.2% +5.59

Market Rasen 168 34 20.2% −55.40

Kempton 163 19 11.7% −52.34

Southwell 161 32 19.9% −14.77

Wetherby 150 39 26% +13.32

Newbury 147 22 15% +13.60

Stratford 133 32 24.1% −24.33

Huntingdon 131 32 24.4% −28.07

Sandown 126 18 14.3% −13.51

Ludlow 118 16 13.6% −52.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,485 320 21.5% −348.52

Class 3 778 159 20.4% −102.38

Class 5 713 152 21.3% −36.76

Class 2 676 83 12.3% −163.00

Class 1 607 87 14.3% −62.90

Class 6 5 2 40% −0.13

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,081 452 41.8% 1.10 −8.59

2nd–3rd fav 1,282 236 18.4% 0.97 −240.10

4th–6th fav 1,176 86 7.3% 0.89 −354.50

7th+ in betting 724 28 3.9% 1.17 −110.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.5% completed · 3,885 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,380 85.7% 36 16 141 4 0

Hurdle 2,505 90.1% 48 10 184 5 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Riskintheground (IRE) 39 10 14 14 Oct 26

Frere D'armes (FR) 39 7 11 26 May 26

Snipe (IRE) 32 5 11 7 Oct 26

Heltenham (FR) 32 9 17 22 Apr 26

Jet Plane (IRE) 32 8 12 30 Mar 26

West To The Bridge (IRE) 32 7 12 14 Mar 26

Boombawn (IRE)from Tom Weston 30 7 12 10 Oct 26

Unexpected Party (FR) 28 5 10 1 May 26

Calico (GER) 27 5 11 16 May 26

Etalon (IRE) 26 6 12 14 Oct 26

Take No Chances (IRE) 25 5 15 10 Oct 26

Hidden Heroics (FR) 25 6 7 5 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 633 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Weston (3) and G Cherel (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

23 from 84 27.4% · +8.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days27.4%

5-season base18.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

211516182828153121191518

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHarry Skelton

59% of all rides
23% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Harry Skelton 2,522 581 23% −446.73

Tristan Durrell 706 98 13.9% −29.06

Bridget Andrews 219 26 11.9% −4.36

Charlie Todd 141 14 9.9% −9.05

Fergus Gillard 112 14 12.5% −45.66

Kielan Woods 94 12 12.8% −30.08

Harry Atkins 90 8 8.9% −64.77

Miss Heidi Palin 89 19 21.3% +23.49

Mr Ben Sutton 46 10 21.7% +7.32

Jack Andrews 40 5 12.5% −26.82

Liam Harrison 38 1 2.6% −35.38

Mr Sean O'Connor 35 5 14.3% −6.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

1,834

Archived wins

142

Pattern / graded wins

£28.4m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 207 wins

Protektorat (FR) — Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Festival Trophy) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2024 · Grade 1

£218,398

Panic Attack (IRE) — Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2025 · Class 1

£142,375

Le Milos (GB) — Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2022 · Class 1

£142,375

Notable horses

Hatcher (IRE) West To The Bridge (IRE) Grey Dawning (IRE) Riskintheground (IRE) Faivoir (FR) Not That Fuisse (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 19.8% · 40–202

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,941 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Getaway (GER) 16.9% · 30–178

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 25.5% · 37–145

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,815 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Blue Bresil (FR) 18.8% · 26–138

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,490 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 22.5% · 29–129

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 21.8% · 27–124

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,794 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,794 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 June 2013 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Worcester Delta Blues Belle (IRE)J: Harry Skelton CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Leaumec De Mee (FR)J: Kielan Woods Squarcle Sprint Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 5/2F

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Honky Tonk Highway (IRE)J: Tristan Durrell Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Wet Sail (GB)J: Robert Dunne Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 33/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Lune Brillante (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/4

21 Oct 26 Worcester Shadow Love (GB)J: Charlie Todd Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 66/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Frost Moon (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 11/2

21 Oct 26 Worcester Dressforsuccess (IRE)J: Harry Atkins Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts National Hunt Flat Race (conditional & Amateur Jockey's Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 17/2

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Midnight Lexi (GB)J: Tristan Durrell BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 200/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Catch Him Derry (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Fbc Manby Bowdler 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 40/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Talk To The Man (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Fbc Manby Bowdler 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 15/8

21 Oct 26 Worcester Barnpark (GB)J: Charlie Todd Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 12/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Albie Littlewood (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Royal Infantry (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Follow @AtTheRaces On X 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 1st 4/11F

20 Oct 26 Hexham Tralee Girl (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Download The At The Races App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 6/4

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Burning Embers (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Aldaniti Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 6/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Palamon (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Nick And Valda Embiricos Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 2/1F

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Parkside Lily (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Mw Civils & Groundworks Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Gambino (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Download The www.betvickers.com App Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 9th 2/1F

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Lady Boujee (FR)J: Harry Skelton The Roflow Specialist Ventilation & Dehumidification 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 6th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dan Skelton's strike rate?: Dan Skelton has won 803 of 4,264 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dan Skelton do best at?: Wetherby by strike rate: 39 wins from 150 runners (26%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dan Skelton?: Harry Skelton, with 2,522 runners since 2022 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 581 (23%).
Is Dan Skelton in form?: In the last 14 days: 84 runners, 23 winners, a strike rate of 27.4%. That is above the baseline of 18.8% since 2022.
What is Dan Skelton's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 4,255 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.