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Horse profile

Hopeful Chance (IRE)

9yo gelding (at last run, Dec 2006) · Last trainer James Turner · Last owner J R Turner
by Machiavellian (USA) out of Don't Rush (USA) (Alleged)
4 runs · 4 courses · from Nov 2006
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 26 Dec 2006 — 7,245 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Dec 2006 · 7th of 8 Last raced off OR 83
KTB Profile

Hopeful Chance (IRE) is yet to win from 4 starts.

Based on 4 archived runs · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 87C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Sedgefield, 5 Dec 2006 Official rating 83 at the last run, 26 Dec 2006

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 3 figures · best 87C · median 72
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Soft387C72—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f287C77—
1m5f – 2m1———

Of 4 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Machiavellian (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 8% of 1,598 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm13215.4%+7.4—
Good to Firm292217.2%−0.8—
Good370246.5%−1.5—
Good to Soft170127.1%−0.9—
Soft221188.1%+0.10 from 4
Heavy68913.2%+5.2—
Standard (AW)464429.1%+1.1—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f6346.3%−1.7—
6f – 7f368349.2%+1.2—
1m – 1m1f264155.7%−2.3—
1m2f – 1m4f310289%+1—
1m5f – 2m337288.3%+0.30 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f206167.8%−0.20 from 2
2m5f – 3m4636.5%−1.50 from 1
Over 3m400%−8—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Don't Rush (USA) (Alleged)

1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Chifney Rush (IRE)20——

Record by conditions

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle 1 0 0% −1.00
Sedgefield 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 2 0 0% −2.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
T J Dreaper 2 0 0% −2.00
Dominic Elsworth 1 0 0% −1.00
Paddy Aspell 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORKTB Jockey SP
2006 · 4 runs
26 Dec 06+10d Market Rasen Peter & Ruth Edwards Golden Wedding Selling Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7/8 12 11-3 8367C Dominic Elsworth 15/2
16 Dec 06+11d Newcastle Racecourse Video Services Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 7/12 1½ 10-13 8572C Paddy Aspell 28/1
05 Dec 06+13d Sedgefield Newcastle Breweries Classified Hurdle Class 5 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 5/9 15 10-11 8587C T J Dreaper 40/1
22 Nov 06 Wetherby John Smith's Extra Smooth Conditionals' Claiming Hurdle Class 5 · 23f · Soft · 10 ran PU/10 — 11-0 90— T J Dreaper 66/1

Quick answers

How many races has Hopeful Chance won?
Hopeful Chance (IRE) has yet to win, from 4 archived starts in 2006.
Who trained Hopeful Chance?
Hopeful Chance (IRE) was trained by James Turner on the most recent run on record, at Market Rasen on 26 December 2006.
Who is Hopeful Chance's sire?
Hopeful Chance (IRE) is by Machiavellian (USA) out of Don't Rush (USA), whose sire is Alleged.
What is Hopeful Chance's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 83, from the run on 26 December 2006. The highest on record is 90.
What is Hopeful Chance's sire's record?
Machiavellian (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8% of 1,598 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Hopeful Chance's siblings?
Out of Don't Rush (USA), Hopeful Chance (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from November 2006. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.