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Jockey profile

T J Dreaper

146 rides in the lifetime window · 94 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2009 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–146
Wins / Runs
7.5%
Strike rate
n=146
25 (17%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=146 · 0.85 incl. margin
+46.07
£1 level stake
n=146 at SP · +31.6%
£80,938
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 146 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.94). The rider also read well on Heavy going (13.5%, n=37) and on Soft going (12.5%, n=32). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.1% over 47 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Calatagan (IRE) — 5 wins from 20 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.1%−0.4
n=70 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +104.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
21.4%+13.9
n=14 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −4.47
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10%+2.5
n=20 · A/E 1.93 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
62.5%
n=8 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +4.07
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
33.3%+25.8
n=3 · A/E 2.76 · £1 +0.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.2%−3.3
n=72 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +4.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 13.5% vs 7.5% · n=37
On Good to Soft going 2.1% vs 7.5% · n=47
On Soft going 12.5% vs 7.5% · n=32
With Ferdy Murphy 11.9% vs 7.5% · n=42
Off a 8-14-day break 3.2% vs 7.5% · n=31
In Class 4 10.9% vs 7.5% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 82 6 7.3% −2.93
Chase 50 3 6% −30.00
NH Flat 14 2 14.3% +79.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 47 1 2.1% −21.00
Heavy 37 5 13.5% +45.11
Soft 32 4 12.5% +42.96
Good 23 1 4.3% −14.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle 17 0 0% −17.00
Kelso 11 2 18.2% +58.20
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Fairyhouse 10 1 10% −4.50
Ayr 9 3 33.3% +62.29
Musselburgh 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00
Sedgefield 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Carlisle 6 1 16.7% −2.25
Perth 5 0 0% −5.00
Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Hexham 4 1 25% −2.17
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 46 5 10.9% −26.84
Class 5 23 3 13% +112.91
Class 3 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 2 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 6 7 1 14.3% +19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 5 62.5% 1.93 +4.07
2nd–3rd fav 27 2 7.4% 0.46 −16.00
4th–6th fav 26 2 7.7% 1.10 +9.00
7th+ in betting 85 2 2.4% 1.03 +49.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78% completed · 132 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 50 64% 4 0 14 0 0
Hurdle 82 86.6% 0 1 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Chiraaz (IRE) 7 1 3 15 Mar 09
Calatagan (IRE) 6 0 1 27 Dec 08
Silver By Nature (GB) 5 1 2 24 Apr 08
No Putter (GB) 3 0 0 14 Jun 08
Faoi Draiocht (IRE) 3 0 0 20 May 08
Versus (GER) 3 0 0 21 Apr 08
Supreme Builder (GB) 3 2 2 13 Apr 08
Blackpool Billy (IRE) 3 2 3 22 Mar 08
Uncle Pat (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Mar 09
Dinmont (IRE) 2 0 0 22 Feb 09
Cullen's Caper (IRE) 2 0 0 21 Feb 09
Pink Suitcase (IRE) 2 1 1 16 Feb 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 94 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
37138000·03300
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardFerdy Murphy
29% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 0.91
TrainerRWSR£1
Ferdy Murphy 42 5 11.9% −23.31
J T R Dreaper 30 2 6.7% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
79
Archived wins
£611k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 29 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Calatagan (IRE) — Skybet.com Castleford Handicap Chase Wetherby · Dec 2006 · Class 2
£19,518
Calatagan (IRE) — skybet.com Castleford Handicap Chase Wetherby · Dec 2007 · Class 2
£19,518
Joes Edge (IRE) — Amateurs' Novices' Handicap Chase Aintree · Apr 2005 · Class 2
£19,198
Notable horses
Calatagan (IRE) Loulou Nivernais (FR) Kids Inheritance (IRE) Polar Gunner (GB) Blackpool Billy (IRE) John Forbes (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tiraaz (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 17.3% of 300 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Danzig Connection (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 6.7% of 165 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Supreme Leader (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Cloudings (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,887 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Silver Patriarch (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Zaffaran (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,087 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 209. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4% from 174. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 5.2% from 155.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 828 · newest first

The latest 50 of 828 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 15 March 2009.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Mar 09 Navan Chiraaz (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Kells Novice Chase17f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 5/2
15 Mar 09 Navan Uncle Pat (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Kilberry Maiden Hurdle Div 116f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 33/1
22 Feb 09 Naas Dinmont (IRE)T: T G McCourt Paddy Power Dial-a-bet 1800 721 821 Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 24 ran 16th 66/1
21 Feb 09 Fairyhouse Cullen's Caper (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Beginners Chase22.5f · Soft · 18 ran PU 33/1
16 Feb 09 Navan Dinmont (IRE)T: T G McCourt Mirror Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 29 ran 17th 50/1
16 Feb 09 Navan Pink Suitcase (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Flyingbolt Novice Chase (Grade 2)16f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 8/1
15 Feb 09 Leopardstown Chiraaz (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Dr. P.J. Moriarty Novice Chase (Grade 1)21f · Soft · 7 ran PU 33/1
13 Feb 09 Fairyhouse Cullen's Caper (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper 20% On Line Ticket Discount Novice Chase21f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 33/1
24 Jan 09 Navan Drumgath Castle (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Www.navanracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle23f · Heavy · 20 ran 11th 33/1
24 Jan 09 Navan Uncle Pat (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Navan Golf Club Open For Membership Hurdle16f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 20/1
23 Jan 09 Fairyhouse Pink Suitcase (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Beginners Chase17f · Heavy · 18 ran 1st 9/2
17 Jan 09 Naas Chiraaz (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Woodlands Park 100 Club Novice Chase (grade 2)24f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 9/2
17 Jan 09 Naas Drumgath Castle (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper I.n.h. Stallion Owners E.B.F Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 14th 40/1
04 Jan 09 Naas Chiraaz (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Chase16f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/1
01 Jan 09 Fairyhouse Crazy Chain (FR)T: J T R Dreaper New Year Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 24 ran 10th 66/1
27 Dec 08 Wetherby Calatagan (IRE)T: Malcolm Jefferson Skybet.com Castleford Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 15f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 7/2F
26 Dec 08 Down Royal Macs Mandalus (GB)T: Peter Casey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase20f · Soft · 18 ran F 11/2
20 Dec 08 Navan Crazy Chain (FR)T: J T R Dreaper Santa Claus Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 27 ran 22nd 33/1
12 Nov 08 Fairyhouse Princess Jaffa (IRE)T: L W Doran Course Signage Beginners Chase24f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 33/1
09 Nov 08 Navan Killy Fryer (IRE)T: Mrs John B Ross I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 29 ran PU 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T J Dreaper's strike rate?
T J Dreaper has won 11 of 146 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is T J Dreaper's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 146 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).