Ibelieveicanfly (USA)
Typically ridden prominently in 4 of 6 analysed runs — Ibelieveicanfly (USA) is 1 from 7.
- 1–7Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 2 (28.6%)Placed
- −4.38£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.61Fair A/E n=7 · 0.48 incl. margin
- 100Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 82
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 87C | 82 | 3 runs · 87 / 82 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 102C | 83.5 | 2 runs · 102 / 83.5 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 102C | 80.5 | 6 runs · 102 / 80.5 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs since Jun 2026
- Prominent 4 (67%) · 1 win
- Held up 2 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 18% of 7,531 runs since May 2016 (880 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,280 | 259 | 20.2% | +2.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 1,915 | 362 | 18.9% | +0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 1,022 | 175 | 17.1% | −0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 1,118 | 163 | 14.6% | −3.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 329 | 42 | 12.8% | −5.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,852 | 350 | 18.9% | +0.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 65 | 11 | 16.9% | −1.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,265 | 236 | 18.7% | +0.7 | 1 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,982 | 372 | 18.8% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,882 | 546 | 18.9% | +0.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 972 | 151 | 15.5% | −2.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 270 | 33 | 12.2% | −5.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 84 | 6 | 7.1% | −10.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −18 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2016 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Piz Badile (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m2½f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Piz Badile (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piz Badile (IRE) | 9 | 3 | 1m–1m2½f | Group 3 |
| Yosemite Valley (GB) | 8 | 2 | 6f–7f | Listed |
| Big Cypress (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Tranquillitatis (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.38 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.38 |
| Ronan Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Hood | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Oct 26+22d | Longchamp (FR) | Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des Pouliches | 8/12 | ½ | 8-11 | 98 | — | — | Ryan Moore | 16/1 |
| 12 Sep 26+21d | Leopardstown (IRE) | Ballylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes (Listed) Sat close to front group early - fourth into straight and urged forward - unable to close inside final furlong - stayed on same rate for fourth | 4/10 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 100 | 82A | 91A | Ryan Moore | 3/1 |
| 22 Aug 26+13d | Curragh (IRE) | Alpha Centauri Debutante Stakes (Group 2) Settled towards rear early - up into 4th soon after - pressed for effort with 2f left but couldn't get on terms with front-runners - stayed on at one speed to finish 4th | 4/5 | 1¼ | 9-2 | — | 87C | 88B | Ronan Whelan | 6/1 |
| 09 Aug 26+21d | Curragh (IRE) | Grand Hotel Malahide Irish EBF Fillies Juvenile Race Sat behind the front group early - third at halfway then second with two furlongs left - hit the front a furlong out under pressure - edged away inside the final 150 yards to hold on strongly | 1/14 | 9-2 | — | 102C | 96A | Ryan Moore | 13/8F | |
| 19 Jul 26+21d | Curragh (IRE) | 1xBet.ie Supporting Irish Sport Irish EBF Fillies Maiden a shade slow to begin - soon settled towards the back of the pack - 6th at halfway - pushed along 1 1/2f out - made ground inside the final furlong to hold 4th near the finish and never landed a serious blow | 4/9 | hd | 9-2 | — | 65A | 73A | Ryan Moore | 1/3F |
| 28 Jun 26+24d | Curragh | GAIN Equine Nutrition Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden Sat close to the front group early fighting for control - urged into 4th spot 2f out - into 2nd but unable to threaten winner with 1 1/2f left - stayed on at same tempo to finish second | 2/13 | 6 | 9-2 | — | 79C | 87A | Wayne Lordan | 5/1 |
| 04 Jun 26 | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden Sat just behind pace in 2nd - asked for effort 2f out and slipped to 3rd inside final furlong - held no more late to finish 4th | 4/10 | 1¼ | 9-2 | — | 72A | 85A | Ryan Moore | 2/1J |
Quick answers
- How many races has Ibelieveicanfly won?
- Ibelieveicanfly (USA) won 1 of 7 archived starts in 2026, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 2 times in total (28.6% of starts).
- Who trains Ibelieveicanfly?
- Ibelieveicanfly (USA) is trained by Aidan O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 October 2026.
- Who is Ibelieveicanfly's sire?
- Ibelieveicanfly (USA) is by Frankel (GB) out of That Which Is Not (USA), whose sire is Elusive Quality.
- What is Ibelieveicanfly's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 4 October 2026. The highest on record is 100.
- What is Ibelieveicanfly's sire's record?
- Frankel (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 18% of 7,531 runs since May 2016 (880 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.
- Who are Ibelieveicanfly's siblings?
- Out of That Which Is Not (USA), Ibelieveicanfly (USA) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Piz Badile (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Piz Badile (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m2½f. As at Nov 2026.