What is W. M. Lordan's strike rate?

W. M. Lordan has won 260 of 1,862 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does W. M. Lordan do best at?

Gowran Park by strike rate: 26 wins from 112 rides (23.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does W. M. Lordan ride most for?

A P O'Brien, with 921 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 180 (19.5%).

Is W. M. Lordan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is W. M. Lordan's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 1,857 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

W. M. Lordan

1,862 rides in the last 5 seasons · 946 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 10 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

260–1,862

Wins / Runs

14%

Strike rate

n=1,862

607 (33%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=1,857 · 0.91 incl. margin

−396.84

£1 level stake

n=1,862 at SP · −21.3%

£11.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 370 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (206 rides). Rides mostly for A P O'Brien — 49% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,862 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 43.9% when favourite A P O'Brien: 19.5% from 921 First rides: 14.3% LTO winners: 18.4% Rides the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Gowran Park (23.2%, n=112), clear of the rider's 14% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (4.2% over 48 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.4% (n=206, Fair A/E 1.22), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.2% (n=666, Fair A/E 1.14). A P O'Brien supplies 49% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.5% vs 14%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 0-7-day break — 6% over 83 rides, 8pts below the baseline. 162 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2025, £909,628). The standout partner of the record: Slade Power (IRE) — 8 wins from 16 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

14.3%+0.3

n=874 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −169.31

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.4%+4.4

n=206 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −33.66

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.8%−2.2

n=357 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −144.34

When favourite

43.9%

n=262 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −0.42

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.2%−4.8

n=666 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −123.21

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.6%−3.4

n=426 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −171.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Gowran Park 23.2% vs 14% · n=112

With headgear back on 2.7% vs 14% · n=37

With T J O'Mara 2.9% vs 14% · n=34

At Ascot 4.2% vs 14% · n=48

With A P O'Brien 19.5% vs 14% · n=921

Off a 0-7-day break 6% vs 14% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 710 117 16.5% −110.22

Soft 436 55 12.6% −132.85

Standard (AW) 280 39 13.9% −16.88

Good to Soft 166 15 9% −82.26

Heavy 151 24 15.9% −15.51

Good to Firm 119 10 8.4% −39.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 412 46 11.2% −113.76

Dundalk (AW) 280 39 13.9% −16.88

Leopardstown 195 36 18.5% −36.03

Naas 150 24 16% −15.20

Navan 116 15 12.9% −31.24

Gowran Park 112 26 23.2% +23.99

Cork 99 11 11.1% −31.80

Galway 60 12 20% −17.01

Fairyhouse 59 5 8.5% −34.47

Killarney 55 11 20% −1.16

Ascot 48 2 4.2% −18.00

Tipperary 34 5 14.7% −11.27

Bellewstown 33 3 9.1% −21.62

Down Royal 31 5 16.1% −10.24

Roscommon 30 3 10% −13.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 426 45 10.6% −171.30

Class 2 14 0 0% −14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 290 122 42.1% 1.18 −1.67

2nd–3rd fav 466 85 18.2% 1.14 −41.67

4th–6th fav 526 35 6.7% 0.86 −155.50

7th+ in betting 580 18 3.1% 0.99 −198.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Glory To Be (IRE) 11 2 8 21 Sep 26

Dunum (IRE) 11 4 7 13 Jun 25

Escaping Thejungle (IRE) 11 1 5 10 May 25

No Speed Limit (FR) 11 1 6 27 Jan 25

Blairmayne (IRE) 10 2 4 11 May 24

Bishopton (IRE) 9 0 3 27 Jun 26

Rock Of Cashel (IRE) 9 2 2 19 Oct 25

Coumshingaun (IRE) 9 1 3 20 Jul 24

Galleria Borghese (IRE) 9 2 3 11 Nov 22

Draiocht (IRE) 8 0 1 12 Oct 26

Charlie Brow'n (FR) 8 1 2 7 Oct 26

Queenstown (IRE) 8 1 6 3 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 946 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

28177101312141813191214

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardA P O'Brien

49% of all rides
19.5% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

A P O'Brien 921 180 19.5% −177.82

Miss Natalia Lupini 203 26 12.8% +32.30

Henry De Bromhead 54 3 5.6% −39.17

M C Grassick 46 3 6.5% −23.75

T J O'Mara 34 1 2.9% −24.00

A Oliver 33 3 9.1% +8.33

Kevin Thomas Coleman 30 2 6.7% −3.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,120

Archived wins

162

Pattern / graded wins

£35.6m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 77 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lambourn (IRE) — Betfred Derby (In Honour Of His Highness Aga Khan IV) (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£909,628

Legatissimo (IRE) — Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Fillies' Group 1) Goodwood · Aug 2015 · Group 1

£340,260

Mr Waterville (IRE) — Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (Premier Handicap) (0-110) Curragh · Sep 2022

£324,000

Notable horses

Slade Power (IRE) Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) Cochlear (IRE) Lolly For Dolly (IRE) Duntle (IRE) Denny Crane (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Wootton Bassett (GB) 24.3% · 41–169

Progeny have won 13% of 5,687 runs since 2015 (790 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Galileo (IRE) 16.8% · 26–155

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

No Nay Never (USA) 17.8% · 23–129

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,358 runs since 2018 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Frankel (GB) 18.9% · 14–74

Progeny have won 18% of 7,530 runs since 2016 (880 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Camelot (GB) 14.9% · 10–67

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,721 runs since 2017 (758 horses).

Dubawi (IRE) 17.2% · 10–58

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,979 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,806 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,806 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Amelia Earhart (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Prix Royal-oak (group 1)Class 1 · 15.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 12/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Victory Speech (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Criterium de Saint-Cloud (Group 1)Class 1 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 80/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Sergei Diaghilev (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien William Hill Futurity Trophy Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 13/2

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Purely (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 4th 10/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Too Bossy For Us (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 22/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Faro Island (GB)T: A Oliver Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 13th 33/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Come What May (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Trigo Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/6F

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Lewis Carroll (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Bahrain Turf Club Knockaire Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 20/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) King Of Sparta (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 7th 3/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) City Of Gold (GB)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/8F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Accumulation (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 1st 5/2

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Capability Brown (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Mongey Communications Killavullan Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 1st 100/30

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Snowing (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 1st 5/4F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Wall Street (GB)T: Aidan O'Brien Mongey Communications Eyrefield Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 9f · Good · 6 ran 1st 4/7F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Kingdom Of Camelot (FR)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Speckles (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 8/15F

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Flame Of Forest (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Valiant Force (USA)T: Robson De Aguiar BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 17/2

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lake Lugano (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 6/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Monmouth (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 24 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is W. M. Lordan's strike rate?: W. M. Lordan has won 260 of 1,862 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W. M. Lordan do best at?: Gowran Park by strike rate: 26 wins from 112 rides (23.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does W. M. Lordan ride most for?: A P O'Brien, with 921 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 180 (19.5%).
Is W. M. Lordan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is W. M. Lordan's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 1,857 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.