It's A Close Call (IRE)
It's A Close Call (IRE) is 3 from 5, all wins coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Oct 2015.
- 3–5Wins / Runs
- 60%Strike rate
- 3 (60%)Placed
- +2.48£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 1.75Fair A/E n=5 · 1.49 incl. margin
- 130Highest OR
- 97dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 6,314 runs since Jan 2008 (609 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 14.1% from 142.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 142 | 20 | 14.1% | +4.9 | — |
| Good | 2,303 | 239 | 10.4% | +1.2 | 1 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 1,116 | 100 | 9% | −0.2 | 2 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,830 | 139 | 7.6% | −1.6 | — |
| Heavy | 898 | 77 | 8.6% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 25 | 3 | 12% | +2.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 14 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | +1.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,853 | 142 | 7.7% | −1.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,297 | 224 | 9.8% | +0.6 | 1 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,776 | 182 | 10.2% | +1 | 2 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 333 | 26 | 7.8% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them I Shot The Sheriff (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–2m6f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (I Shot The Sheriff (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I Shot The Sheriff (IRE) | 14 | 4 | 1m7½f–2m6f | Class 4 |
| Let Her Flow (IRE) | 29 | 1 | 2m4f | — |
| Part Time Farmer (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Shenao (GER) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Lady Sherami (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Prowling Tiger (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 2 | 100% | +1.98 |
| Good | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 4 | 3 | 75% | +3.48 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wincanton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Taunton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.75 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4 | 3 | 75% | +3.48 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.23 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 3 | 2 | 67% | +0.98 |
| Chase | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 12 Dec 15+62d | Doncaster | bet365 December Novices' Chase (Grade 2) | F/6 | — | 11-5 | — | — | Sean Bowen | 15/8F |
| 11 Oct 15+209d | Chepstow | totepool Racing's Biggest Supporter Novices' Chase | 1/7 | 11-0 | — | 144B | Sam Twiston-Davies | 5/2 | |
| 16 Mar 15+72d | Taunton | Bathwick Tyres Midsomer Norton 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle | 1/12 | 11-8 | 130 | 140A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 8/11F | |
| 03 Jan 15+44d | Wincanton | Bathwick Tyres Bridgwater Novices' Hurdle | 4/11 | 39 | 11-12 | — | 103C | Sam Twiston-Davies | 7/4 |
| 2014 · 1 run | |||||||||
| 20 Nov 14 | Wincanton | Stephen Gardener 50th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle | 1/13 | 10-12 | — | 132A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 5/4F | |
Quick answers
- How many races has It's A Close Call won?
- It's A Close Call (IRE) won 3 of 5 archived starts between 2014 and 2015, a strike rate of 60%. Placed 3 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trained It's A Close Call?
- It's A Close Call (IRE) was trained by Paul Nicholls on the most recent run on record, at Doncaster on 12 December 2015.
- Who is It's A Close Call's sire?
- It's A Close Call (IRE) is by Scorpion (IRE) out of Sherin (GER), whose sire is Surumu.
- What is It's A Close Call's official rating?
- It's A Close Call (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 130.
- What is It's A Close Call's sire's record?
- Scorpion (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 6,314 runs since Jan 2008 (609 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 14.1% from 142.
- Who are It's A Close Call's siblings?
- Out of Sherin (GER), It's A Close Call (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: I Shot The Sheriff (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (I Shot The Sheriff (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m6f. As at Oct 2026.