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Jockey profile

Sam Twiston-Davies

2,989 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,128 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
In form — 8 winners last 14 days Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
465–2,989
Wins / Runs
15.6%
Strike rate
n=2,989
1,115 (37%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=2,984 · 0.83 incl. margin
−596.97
£1 level stake
n=2,988 at SP · −20.0%
£7.86m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 600 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 16% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (456 rides). The rider is in form now — 8 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,989 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct Fresh horses: 16.6% 37.9% when favourite Nigel Twiston-Davies: 16.5% from 769 LTO winners: 22.4% Rides the favourite in 18% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (25.2%, n=127), Market Rasen (25.5%, n=102) and Fontwell (24.8%, n=117) — all clear of the rider's 15.6% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (7.1% over 113 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.4% (n=456, Fair A/E 1.02), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.8% (n=346, Fair A/E 0.77). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 9.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −106.69 to a £1 stake over 229 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 8 winners from 43 rides in the last 14 days (18.6%, 3pts above the 15.6% baseline). Nigel Twiston-Davies supplies 26% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (16.5%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 8.1% over 335 rides, 7.5pts below the baseline. 125 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2015, £199,325). The standout partner of the record: The New One (IRE) — 18 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.9%−2.7
n=979 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −178.84
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.4%+6.8
n=456 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −80.86
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
16.6%+1.0
n=706 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −111.98
When favourite
37.9%
n=533 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −58.65
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.8%−9.8
n=346 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −126.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.2%−6.4
n=229 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −106.69

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Newton Abbot 25.2% vs 15.6% · n=127
At Market Rasen 25.5% vs 15.6% · n=102
At Fontwell 24.8% vs 15.6% · n=117
In Class 1 8.1% vs 15.6% · n=335
On last-time-out winners 22.4% vs 15.6% · n=456
At Newbury 7.1% vs 15.6% · n=113
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,663 259 15.6% −366.82
Chase 1,035 159 15.4% −153.51
NH Flat 287 47 16.4% −72.64
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 1,324 235 17.7% −135.83
Good to Soft 809 101 12.5% −366.55
Soft 625 89 14.2% −31.13
Heavy 162 26 16% −39.71
Good to Firm 63 14 22.2% −17.75
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 207 33 15.9% +62.80
Cheltenham 201 22 10.9% −47.82
Ludlow 152 25 16.4% −48.55
Uttoxeter 143 24 16.8% +25.41
Chepstow 135 26 19.3% −17.30
Warwick 131 18 13.7% −39.65
Newton Abbot 127 32 25.2% +10.88
Huntingdon 120 16 13.3% −39.32
Fontwell 117 29 24.8% −23.77
Newbury 113 8 7.1% −63.69
Hereford 112 21 18.8% −27.27
Aintree 105 11 10.5% −40.00
Stratford 103 21 20.4% +28.89
Market Rasen 102 26 25.5% −12.48
Ffos Las 93 15 16.1% −44.54

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 1,145 201 17.6% −338.21
Class 5 679 108 15.9% +57.77
Class 3 511 95 18.6% −37.85
Class 1 335 27 8.1% −137.31
Class 2 317 34 10.7% −139.37

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 593 212 35.8% 0.98 −81.08
2nd–3rd fav 920 154 16.7% 0.91 −222.72
4th–6th fav 940 78 8.3% 0.97 −229.67
7th+ in betting 535 20 3.7% 1.02 −63.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.7% completed · 2,698 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1,035 81.4% 29 15 145 2 2
Hurdle 1,663 90% 22 16 125 2 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Master Chewy (IRE) 25 2 9 6 Nov 26
Bagheera Ginge (GB) 24 4 12 15 Sep 26
Ballycamus (IRE) 23 5 10 14 Oct 26
Gowel Road (IRE) 19 2 9 24 Oct 26
Gore Point (GB) 18 7 12 31 Oct 26
Safe Destination (GB) 18 3 7 16 Oct 26
Guy (IRE) 18 4 10 10 Apr 25
Uncle Bert (GB) 17 2 6 24 Oct 26
Ballintubber Boy (IRE) 16 5 5 15 Aug 26
Potters Charm (IRE) 15 8 10 1 Nov 26
Guard Your Dreams (GB) 15 1 3 14 Oct 26
Topofthecotswolds (IRE) 15 2 5 9 Oct 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,128 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form
8 from 43 18.6% · +3.0pts vs baseline
Last 14 days18.6%
5-season base15.6%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
131412121419161726241512
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNigel Twiston-Davies
26% of all rides
16.5% SR · A/E 0.95
TrainerRWSR£1
Nigel Twiston-Davies 769 127 16.5% −238.25
Neil Mulholland 290 38 13.1% −10.96
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 289 52 18% −105.32
Anthony Honeyball 280 58 20.7% −14.28
Henry Daly 222 37 16.7% −8.18
Dr Richard Newland 171 19 11.1% −76.41
Sam Thomas 135 27 20% −42.32
James Owen 114 24 21.1% −9.75
Paul Nicholls 39 7 17.9% +16.19
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 37 4 10.8% −9.87
Charlie Longsdon 31 3 9.7% +5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
1,708
Archived wins
125
Pattern / graded wins
£25.1m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 144 wins
Dodging Bullets (GB) — Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2015 · Grade 1
£199,325
Clan Des Obeaux (FR) — Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2021 · Grade 1
£147,500
Clan Des Obeaux (FR) — Ladbrokes King George Vi Chase (Grade 1) Kempton · Dec 2019 · Grade 1
£144,050
Notable horses
The New One (IRE) Good Boy Bobby (IRE) Vosne Romanee (GB) Papradon (GB) Bagad Bihoue (FR) Potters Charm (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 16.2% · 19–117
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Pether's Moon (IRE) 16.3% · 15–92
Progeny have won 13.1% of 918 runs since 2020 (107 horses).
Walk In The Park (IRE) 14.3% · 13–91
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,084 runs since 2011 (711 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 8.8% · 7–80
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,561 runs since 2013 (469 horses).
Milan (GB) 12.8% · 10–78
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,887 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 20% · 12–60
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,782 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,782 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2009 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 26 Warwick Alba Crus (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex Pegasus Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 8/1
11 Nov 26 Warwick Broadway Honey (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Newton LDP Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 15/8F
11 Nov 26 Warwick Orchard County (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies FCN Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 10/1
10 Nov 26 Lingfield Port Glen One (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Sharon Knapp Memorial Cup EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran F 30/100F
09 Nov 26 Stratford Locker Boum (FR)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Trailertrek Towbars Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 15/8
09 Nov 26 Stratford Lord Of Cheshire (FR)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 9/1
08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Lancelot Du Large (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Fedwen Tentage Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/1
08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Karaka De Thaix (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Bridge Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 5/2
07 Nov 26 Aintree Will Adam (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 17/2
07 Nov 26 Aintree Park Princess (IRE)T: Anthony Honeyball Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 12/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree No Drama This End (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Boodles Rising Stars Novices' Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 8/11F
06 Nov 26 Aintree Master Chewy (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies BetMGM Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 16/1
06 Nov 26 Aintree Rubaud (FR)T: Paul Nicholls BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/1
06 Nov 26 Aintree Intosomethinggood (GB)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies BetMGM 'Future Stars' Silver Bowl 'Chasing Excellence' Novices' Steeple Chase (Part Of The 'Chasing Excellence' Initiative) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 3rd 4/1
06 Nov 26 Aintree Dedicated Hero (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 9/1
06 Nov 26 Aintree Below The Radar (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Download The BetMGM App Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 4/1
05 Nov 26 Newbury Treble Three (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls BetVictor Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 6/1
05 Nov 26 Newbury Wordfromhome (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 5/4F
05 Nov 26 Newbury Sappingirl (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2
05 Nov 26 Newbury Game Colours (IRE)T: Ben Clarke Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 18 runs (won 6) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 17 runs (won 5) · fastest on KTB Speed in 12 runs (won 2) · to 10 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sam Twiston-Davies's strike rate?
Sam Twiston-Davies has won 465 of 2,989 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sam Twiston-Davies do best at?
Market Rasen by strike rate: 26 wins from 102 rides (25.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sam Twiston-Davies ride most for?
Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 769 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 127 (16.5%).
Is Sam Twiston-Davies in form?
In the last 14 days: 43 rides, 8 winners, a strike rate of 18.6%. That is above the baseline of 15.6% since 2022.
What is Sam Twiston-Davies's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 2,984 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).