It's Probably Me (GB)
It's Probably Me (GB) is 2 from 8. Hasn't won since Feb 2020. Each win came on a first visit to the course.
- 2–8Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 4 (50%)Placed
- +11.25£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.42Fair A/E n=8 · 1.18 incl. margin
- 122Highest OR
- 83dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 131
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 147B | 131 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 131B | 122 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 147B | 138 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13% of 3,541 runs since Jan 2008 (410 horses).
Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +87 | — |
| Good to Firm | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −2.5 | — |
| Good | 715 | 100 | 14% | +1 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 567 | 78 | 13.8% | +0.8 | — |
| Soft | 1,402 | 181 | 12.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 753 | 96 | 12.7% | −0.3 | 1 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 81 | 4 | 4.9% | −8.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −5.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 28 | 0 | 0% | −13 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 151 | 10 | 6.6% | −6.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 728 | 120 | 16.5% | +3.5 | 1 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,649 | 210 | 12.7% | −0.3 | 1 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 769 | 94 | 12.2% | −0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 202 | 27 | 13.4% | +0.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Spring Gale (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m3½f–2m4½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Spring Gale (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Gale (GB) | 8 | 1 | 2m3½f | Class 4 |
| The Wild Wild Sea (GB) | 11 | 1 | 2m4½f | Class 5 |
| Contramar (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +15.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +13.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Patrick | 6 | 2 | 33% | +13.25 |
| Richard Johnson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.75 |
| 2019 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +12.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.75 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has It's Probably Me won?
- It's Probably Me (GB) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2019 and 2020, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained It's Probably Me?
- It's Probably Me (GB) was trained by Henry Daly on the most recent run on record, at Wincanton on 7 November 2020.
- Who is It's Probably Me's sire?
- It's Probably Me (GB) is by Great Pretender (IRE) out of Sting In The Gale (GB), whose sire is Scorpion.
- What going does It's Probably Me prefer?
- It's Probably Me (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is It's Probably Me's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 121, from the run on 7 November 2020. The highest on record is 122.
- What is It's Probably Me's sire's record?
- Great Pretender (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13% of 3,541 runs since Jan 2008 (410 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
- Who are It's Probably Me's siblings?
- Out of Sting In The Gale (GB), It's Probably Me (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Spring Gale (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Spring Gale (GB)). The wins came over 2m3½f–2m4½f. As at Oct 2026.