What is Richard Patrick's strike rate?

Richard Patrick has won 89 of 754 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Patrick do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 17 wins from 77 rides (22.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Richard Patrick ride most for?

Kerry Lee, with 186 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (17.2%).

What is Richard Patrick's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 751 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Richard Patrick

754 rides in the last 5 seasons · 262 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 39 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

89–754

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=754

235 (31%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=751 · 0.88 incl. margin

−173.20

£1 level stake

n=754 at SP · −23.0%

£1.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (91 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 754 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 39.2% when favourite Kerry Lee: 17.2% from 186 LTO winners: 22% Group/Graded: 21.2% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hereford (22.1%, n=77) and Ludlow (18.8%, n=64) — all clear of the rider's 11.8% baseline. It is weakest at Worcester (3.1% over 32 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22% (n=91, Fair A/E 1.11), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 1.17). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 10.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.23 and +25.88 to a £1 stake over 210 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kerry Lee supplies 25% of the rides and beats the rider's average (17.2% vs 11.8%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2019, £90,032). The standout partner of the record: Happy Diva (IRE) — 7 wins from 25 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.5%−1.3

n=210 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +25.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22%+10.2

n=91 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −6.53

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.7%−2.1

n=196 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −11.56

When favourite

39.2%

n=74 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +5.62

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.2%−5.6

n=81 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −22.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

21.2%+9.4

n=33 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −11.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22% vs 11.8% · n=91

At Hereford 22.1% vs 11.8% · n=77

In Group / Graded races 21.2% vs 11.8% · n=33

At Worcester 3.1% vs 11.8% · n=32

At Ludlow 18.8% vs 11.8% · n=64

With Kerry Lee 17.2% vs 11.8% · n=186

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 457 52 11.4% −73.01

Chase 247 32 13% −94.19

NH Flat 49 5 10.2% −5.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 227 22 9.7% −113.73

Soft 227 35 15.4% +7.78

Good 218 19 8.7% −88.55

Heavy 71 12 16.9% +26.80

Good to Firm 10 1 10% −4.50

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 77 17 22.1% +9.86

Uttoxeter 66 5 7.6% −2.25

Ludlow 64 12 18.8% +21.45

Chepstow 60 6 10% −33.75

Ffos Las 47 7 14.9% −6.25

Warwick 39 2 5.1% −26.50

Worcester 32 1 3.1% −13.00

Stratford 29 4 13.8% +8.44

Bangor-on-Dee 25 1 4% −21.75

Southwell 23 1 4.3% −21.00

Wetherby 23 3 13% −4.50

Cheltenham 22 4 18.2% −1.25

Exeter 21 2 9.5% +4.60

Wincanton 19 4 21.1% −2.18

Huntingdon 18 1 5.6% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 338 39 11.5% −81.35

Class 5 204 26 12.7% −13.10

Class 3 117 10 8.5% −50.08

Class 2 52 6 11.5% −24.50

Class 1 42 7 16.7% −20.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 84 32 38.1% 1.22 +5.25

2nd–3rd fav 191 30 15.7% 0.91 −38.45

4th–6th fav 280 23 8.2% 1.00 −15.00

7th+ in betting 199 4 2% 0.75 −125.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.1% completed · 704 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 247 80.2% 4 6 39 0 0

Hurdle 457 81.6% 5 9 69 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Eaton Collina (IRE) 17 5 9 19 Apr 25

Ballybegg (IRE) 15 1 3 25 Jul 25

Nemean Lion (GER) 15 7 11 13 Mar 25

Della Casa Lunga (IRE) 14 2 4 20 Feb 26

Greenrock Abbey (IRE) 14 2 6 17 May 25

Not Sure (IRE) 14 2 8 19 Jan 25

Magic Dancer (GB) 14 2 5 1 Sep 24

El Gavilan (FR) 12 2 6 12 Apr 26

El Granjero (IRE) 11 1 7 8 Mar 26

Pimlico Point (IRE) 11 2 6 12 Jun 25

Atlanta Brave (IRE) 10 2 5 20 Aug 25

Robbie Dazzler (GB) 10 0 2 6 Oct 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 262 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1122131111068851211

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKerry Lee

25% of all rides
17.2% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Kerry Lee 186 32 17.2% −25.09

Clive Boultbee-Brooks 177 14 7.9% −81.56

Henry Daly 152 20 13.2% −50.56

Matt Sheppard 58 7 12.1% +5.25

Michael Scudamore 50 3 6% −34.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

199

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.71m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 30 wins

Happy Diva (IRE) — BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£90,032

Nemean Lion (GER) — Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Hurdle (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£52,030

Tune In A Box (IRE) — Blood-Stock.com Full Circle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Apr 2024

£47,200

Notable horses

Happy Diva (IRE) Nemean Lion (GER) Magic Dancer (GB) Eaton Collina (IRE) Ballybegg (IRE) Definite Future (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Getaway (GER) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Milan (GB) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

El Salvador (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 13.4% of 352 runs since 2008 (51 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.4% from 147.

Yorgunnabelucky (USA) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,076 runs since 2008 (97 horses).

Golden Horn (GB) 50% · 8–16

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,732 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,723 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,723 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2014 to 11 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Sep 26 Doncaster Serious Look (IRE)T: Thomas Faulkner Betfred Leger Legends Classified StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 7th 66/1

16 Apr 26 Hereford Red Rubio (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Burcombe Construction Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 16/5

16 Apr 26 Hereford Bowling Shane (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Richard Layton Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 80/1

14 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Welcheston Warrier (GB)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Tribute Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 15/2

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Kantagua Du Large (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Barry Murphy Racing Syndicate Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 5/1

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las El Gavilan (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Tommy Williams Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 12/1

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Savon (IRE)T: Mickey Bowen Amroth Bay Static Caravan Sales Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 200/1

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Half Pint Daisy (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks 3A's Wales' Largest Motorhome Sales Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 12/1

28 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Libre De Choeur (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Adam Johnson Money Maker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 4/1

25 Mar 26 Hereford Isabella Islay (GB)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Hereford Quarries Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/1

24 Mar 26 Taunton Wolf Walker (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 6th 6/1

21 Mar 26 Kelso Klassy Pearl (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 25/1

16 Mar 26 Ffos Las El Gavilan (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Blackmores Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 3/1

15 Mar 26 Chepstow Express Surprise (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Celebrating Tricia And Pauls Wedding Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 11/4F

14 Mar 26 Fontwell Karate Kid (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex bettingsites.co.uk UK Betting Sites Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 8/1

13 Mar 26 Doncaster Savon (IRE)T: Mickey Bowen Virgin Bet 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 14/1

11 Mar 26 Huntingdon Red Rubio (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 15 ran 4th 11/2

08 Mar 26 Warwick El Granjero (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Best Cheltenham Odds With Oddschecker Volcano Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 29f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

07 Mar 26 Sandown Wolf Walker (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks European Breeders' Fund Betfair 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Soft · 17 ran PU 12/1

06 Mar 26 Exeter Kantagua Du Large (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Ludo Sports And Live Lounge Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Patrick's strike rate?: Richard Patrick has won 89 of 754 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Patrick do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 17 wins from 77 rides (22.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Richard Patrick ride most for?: Kerry Lee, with 186 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (17.2%).
What is Richard Patrick's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 751 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.