What is Henry Daly's strike rate?

Henry Daly has won 127 of 845 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Daly do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 runners (21.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Henry Daly?

Sam Twiston-Davies, with 219 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (16.4%).

Is Henry Daly in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Henry Daly's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 844 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Henry Daly

845 runners in the last 5 seasons · 89 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

127–845

Wins / Runs

15%

Strike rate

n=845

296 (35%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=844 · 0.94 incl. margin

−125.41

£1 level stake

n=845 at SP · −14.8%

£1.65m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 845 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 33.6% when favourite Sam Twiston-Davies: 16.4% from 219 Sends off the favourite in 14% of races

The read

It is weakest at Aintree (3.3% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=200, Fair A/E 0.67). Sam Twiston-Davies rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.4%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 3 (20.5%, n=161). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 5.3% over 95 runners, 9.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.65 across 74 runners (6.8% strike, −43.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Gold Cup Chase at Sandown (Apr 2013, £85,425). The stable star of the record: Rockiteer (IRE) — 10 wins from 55 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%−7.5

n=200 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −115.44

New recruits · first run for the yard

33.3%+18.3

n=3 · A/E 3.20 · £1 +1.00

Debutants · first career start

11.7%−3.3

n=60 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −17.37

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.3%−0.7

n=28 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +2.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.4%+0.4

n=13 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −0.75

When favourite

33.6%

n=119 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −11.81

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.2%−0.8

n=134 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −37.89

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.8%−2.2

n=39 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −18.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 5.3% vs 15% · n=95

At Aintree 3.3% vs 15% · n=30

In Class 2 6.8% vs 15% · n=74

In NH Flat races 7.5% vs 15% · n=80

In Class 3 20.5% vs 15% · n=161

In Class 1 8.3% vs 15% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 459 74 16.1% −27.18

Chase 306 47 15.4% −47.86

NH Flat 80 6 7.5% −50.37

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 285 48 16.8% −1.36

Good to Soft 254 29 11.4% −116.59

Soft 244 44 18% +16.32

Heavy 57 5 8.8% −21.90

Good to Firm 5 1 20% −1.88

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ludlow 121 20 16.5% −7.14

Hereford 63 11 17.5% −15.50

Warwick 61 6 9.8% −33.47

Uttoxeter 55 8 14.5% −8.75

Bangor-on-Dee 50 8 16% −8.37

Cheltenham 48 8 16.7% +14.25

Huntingdon 42 9 21.4% +32.45

Chepstow 34 5 14.7% −13.47

Market Rasen 33 4 12.1% −20.75

Aintree 30 1 3.3% −24.00

Haydock 26 2 7.7% −9.00

Doncaster 25 2 8% −17.12

Exeter 23 6 26.1% +10.68

Ascot 23 4 17.4% +14.00

Southwell 22 2 9.1% −15.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 336 51 15.2% −110.88

Class 5 214 33 15.4% +29.12

Class 3 161 33 20.5% +39.89

Class 2 74 5 6.8% −43.67

Class 1 60 5 8.3% −39.87

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 133 45 33.8% 1.07 −10.07

2nd–3rd fav 240 49 20.4% 1.13 −21.34

4th–6th fav 306 25 8.2% 0.97 −60.00

7th+ in betting 166 8 4.8% 1.36 −34.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.2% completed · 765 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 306 75.8% 11 7 56 0 0

Hurdle 459 84.7% 9 8 53 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Minniemum (GB) 28 4 12 23 Apr 26

Regal Renaissance (GB)then Jack Jones 27 5 11 10 May 26

Bretney (IRE) 27 5 13 15 Nov 25

Lime Drop (FR) 25 5 13 17 Dec 25

Rockinastorm (IRE) 24 5 11 26 Feb 26

Braganza Bay (GB) 23 5 5 19 Jun 26

Fortescue (GB) 22 1 7 1 Feb 26

Jimmy The Digger (GB) 21 1 5 11 Sep 25

Roaring Home (GB) 20 3 9 17 Oct 26

Supreme Gift (IRE)then E McNamara 20 6 8 13 Mar 25

Bridge North (IRE)then James Owen 20 3 4 4 Feb 25

After Many Days (GB) 19 0 6 22 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Sarah Humphrey (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111615131800332292017

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSam Twiston-Davies

26% of all rides
16.4% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

Sam Twiston-Davies 219 36 16.4% −7.56

Richard Patrick 152 20 13.2% −50.56

Alice Stevens 96 14 14.6% −22.99

David Bass 95 16 16.8% +1.95

Tom O'Brien 55 12 21.8% +20.40

Stan Sheppard 47 5 10.6% −8.00

Hugh Nugent 36 3 8.3% −23.52

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

554

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.11m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 40 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Quentin Collonges (FR) — bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Sandown · Apr 2013 · Class 1

£85,425

Stoney Mountain (IRE) — Betfair Best Odds On Itv Races Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Haydock · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£56,950

Mighty Man (FR) — BGC Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Ascot · Dec 2006 · Grade 1

£56,340

Notable horses

Rockiteer (IRE) Pearlysteps (GB) Mighty Man (FR) Vice Et Vertu (FR) Lime Drop (FR) Flashjack (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 11.7% · 9–77

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Shirocco (GER) 13.3% · 8–60

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Mahler (GB) 22.9% · 11–48

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Blue Bresil (FR) 13% · 6–46

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,489 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Pether's Moon (IRE) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 13.2% of 901 runs since 2008 (106 horses).

Milan (GB) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,158 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,158 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Roaring Home (GB)J: David Bass Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Gustoso (GB)J: David Bass Ginetta Clothing British Menswear Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 10/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Bonnie Beacon (GB)J: David Bass Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 6th 16/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Harbour Music (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good · 8 ran 4th 3/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee That Old Chestnut (IRE)J: David Bass North Wales Business Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 28/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter La Moon (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 10/1

18 Jul 26 Cartmel Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Cartmel Crystal Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 22f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 8/1

19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Braganza Bay (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies GP Shipping Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 20/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies QuinnBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/2

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Lady Coco (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Wrexham Evening On Friday 26th June Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

23 May 26 Cartmel Keep On Cobbling (GB)J: Harry Bannister PSR Marquees Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 6/4F

15 May 26 Aintree Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies HA Civils Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 5/1

13 May 26 Newton Abbot Newbridge (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies William Hill Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 1st 9/4F

11 May 26 Southwell Mighty Harmony (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Summer Fun & Makers Market Raceday 27th July Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 11/1

10 May 26 Ludlow Regal Renaissance (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies GC Rickards Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 6/5F

10 May 26 Ludlow Briery Butterfly (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Lion Leintwardine Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/2

10 May 26 Ludlow Silvereen (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Radnor Hills Water Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 6/5

07 May 26 Huntingdon Braganza Bay (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 1st 9/2

02 May 26 Uttoxeter Party Vibes (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Staffordshire Chamber Of Commerce Staffordshire Plate Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Henry Daly's strike rate?: Henry Daly has won 127 of 845 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Daly do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 runners (21.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Daly?: Sam Twiston-Davies, with 219 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (16.4%).
Is Henry Daly in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Henry Daly's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 844 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.