Skip to content
Horse profile

Lake Lugano (IRE)

2yo colt · Trainer Aidan O'Brien · Owner Smithmagniertaborwesterbergobrien
5 runs · 4 courses · from Aug 2026
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Last run 23 Oct 2026 · 3rd of 10 Last raced off OR 78
KTB Profile

Lake Lugano is a maiden who has shown placed form in three of five starts. His best effort came when second of 13 at Dundalk in Oct 2026. The colt finished third of 10 in a nursery at Dundalk in Oct 2026, last raced off a career-high mark of 78. By Starspangledbanner out of an unraced Dylan Thomas mare, he has raced on turf and all-weather.

Based on 5 archived runs · run-style from 3 commented runs since Aug 2026 · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 94 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 16 Oct 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 94B · median 89
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)294B91.52 runs · 94 / 91.5
Soft290A792 runs · 90 / 79
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
6f – 7f394B683 runs · 94 / 68
Under 6f1——1 run · —
1m – 1m1f1——1 run · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 31 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 82A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 16 Oct 2026 Official rating 78 at the last run, 23 Oct 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 82A · median 72
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)282A77.52 runs · 82 / 77.5
Soft272A602 runs · 72 / 60
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
6f – 7f382A653 runs · 82 / 65
Under 6f1——1 run · —
1m – 1m1f1——1 run · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 31 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 23 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.

Run style from 3 analysed runs since Aug 2026

  • Led 1 (33%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (33%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (33%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,218 runs since May 2014 (664 horses).

Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,197.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm25312%+0.9—
Good to Firm1,03412512.1%+10 from 1
Good1,73818310.5%−0.6—
Good to Soft7819111.7%+0.6—
Soft1,08512411.4%+0.30 from 2
Heavy2953311.2%+0.1—
Standard (AW)2,26024410.8%−0.30 from 2
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1,19717414.5%+3.40 from 1
6f – 7f3,59139911.1%00 from 3
1m – 1m1f1,4081399.9%−1.20 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f653619.3%−1.8—
1m5f – 2m272269.6%−1.5—
2m1f – 2m4f8444.8%−6.3—
2m5f – 3m1300%−11.1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2014 · as at 6 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Agartha (IRE) (3 wins).

The wins came over 7f–1m6f; the highest grade won is Group 2 (Agartha (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Agartha (IRE)1537f–7½fGroup 2
Agathon (IRE)1011m6fClass 6
Kahu (IRE)40——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Dundalk (AW) (IRE) 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Curragh (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 3 0 0% −3.00
Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jack Cleary 2 0 0% −2.00
W. M. Lordan 2 0 0% −2.00
Ronan Whelan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Blinkers 3 0 0% −3.00
None 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 5 runs
23 Oct 26+7d Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3/10 1½ 9-5 7889A73A Jack Cleary 7/2
16 Oct 26+11d Dundalk (AW) (IRE) James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap 7f · Standard · 13 ran 2/13 ½ 9-7 7594B82A W. M. Lordan 6/1
05 Oct 26+13d Killarney (IRE) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 1m · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran Made all the running - niggled over 2f out and urged under pressure - overtaken over 1f out then couldn't respond inside final furlong - finished 3rd 3/12 ½ 9-7 —90A72A W. M. Lordan 15/2
22 Sep 26+44d Listowel (IRE) SIS Irish EBF Maiden 7f · Yielding · 6 ran Held up at the back - drifted left and nudged forward 2f out - made no impact from over 1f out 5/6 4¾ 9-2 —68A48B Jack Cleary 22/1
09 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Guidenstown Stud Irish EBF Maiden 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran Settled in the pack early - pushed along around a furlong and a half out but failed to close - soon faded thereafter - finished well back in 10th 10/11 ½ 9-7 —63A65A Ronan Whelan 33/1

Quick answers

How many races has Lake Lugano won?
Lake Lugano (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2026. Placed 3 times in total (60% of starts).
Who trains Lake Lugano?
Lake Lugano (IRE) is trained by Aidan O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 23 October 2026.
Who is Lake Lugano's sire?
Lake Lugano (IRE) is by Starspangledbanner (AUS) out of Arya Tara (IRE), whose sire is Dylan Thomas.
What is Lake Lugano's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 78, from the run on 23 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Lake Lugano's sire's record?
Starspangledbanner (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,218 runs since May 2014 (664 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,197.
Who are Lake Lugano's siblings?
Out of Arya Tara (IRE), Lake Lugano (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Agartha (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Group 2 (Agartha (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m6f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from August 2026. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.