Jack Cleary
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 190 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 8% (61 rides). The rider is in form now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Cork (17.6%, n=34), clear of the rider's 6.3% baseline. The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −213.92 to a £1 stake over 493 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 2 winners from 20 rides in the last 14 days (10%, 3.7pts above the 6.3% baseline). A P O'Brien supplies 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.7% vs 6.3%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a 0-7-day break — 1.7% over 58 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.31 across 81 rides (2.5% strike, −73.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2025, £495,000).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,021 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,021 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2020 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jack Cleary's strike rate?
- Jack Cleary has won 61 of 970 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Cleary do best at?
- Cork by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 rides (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jack Cleary ride most for?
- A P O'Brien, with 227 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (13.7%).
- Is Jack Cleary in form?
- In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is above the baseline of 6.3% since 2022.
- What is Jack Cleary's Fair A/E?
- 0.86, from 968 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.