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Horse profile

Long Stay (GB)

8yo gelding (at last run, Jan 2023) · Last trainer Fergal O'Brien · Last owner Raymond Treacy
by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Mainstay (GB) (Elmaamul)
6 runs · 6 courses · from Sep 2020
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 28 Jan 2023 — 1,376 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jan 2023 · 15th of 15 2 wins · Ludlow & Newton Abbot Last raced off OR 122
KTB Profile

Long Stay won two of his six starts on turf between Sep 2020 and Jan 2023. Both wins came on a first visit to the course, at Ludlow in the Class 4 Ludlow Brewery John Walters Maiden Hurdle over 1m5f – 2m on good to soft in Nov 2020 and at Newton Abbot in the Class 5 I T Electrical Standard Open NH Flat Race over 2m1f – 2m4f on good in Sep 2020. He finished 15 of 15 at Cheltenham in the Class 2 SSS Super Alloys Handicap Hurdle in Jan 2023, last raced off OR 122.

Based on 6 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 116 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Ludlow, 23 Nov 2020

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 6 figures · best 128B · median 112
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Good4128B114—
Soft1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m4128B112—
2m1f – 2m4f2120A82—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 132A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Perth, 22 Sep 2022 Official rating 122 at the last run, 28 Jan 2023

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 6 figures · best 137A · median 125.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Good4137A129—
Soft1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m4137A129—
2m1f – 2m4f2116B105.5—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Nathaniel (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.7% of 7,106 runs since Apr 2016 (641 horses).

Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm21419%+7.3—
Good to Firm78410213%+1.3—
Good1,87023312.5%+0.81 from 4
Good to Soft1,01111511.4%−0.31 from 1
Soft1,24714311.5%−0.20 from 1
Heavy4094912%+0.3—
Standard (AW)1,76418410.4%−1.3—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f400%−11.7—
6f – 7f326216.4%−5.3—
1m – 1m1f883798.9%−2.8—
1m2f – 1m4f2,50833413.3%+1.6—
1m5f – 2m2,14925311.8%+0.11 from 4
2m1f – 2m4f8299411.3%−0.41 from 2
2m5f – 3m338329.5%−2.2—
Over 3m691724.6%+12.9—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2016 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Mainstay (GB) (Elmaamul)

5 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Byzantine Empire (GB) (6 wins).

The wins came over 7f–2m½f; the highest grade won is Group 2 (Richard Pankhurst (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Byzantine Empire (GB)4562m–2m½fClass 3
Crazy Horse (GB)1147f–1mGroup 3
Richard Pankhurst (GB)1337fGroup 2
Enrico Caruso (GB)521m2fClass 4
Millicent Fawcett (GB)511m½fClass 5

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 4 1 25% −1.90
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 1 100% +0.33

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 3 1 33% −1.67
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +1.10

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Perth 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 1 100% +0.33
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Newton Abbot 1 1 100% +1.10

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 4 1 25% −2.67
2m1f – 2m4f 2 1 50% +0.10

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Paddy Brennan 4 2 50% −0.57
Jack Hogan 2 0 0% −2.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Tongue tie 3 0 0% −3.00
None 3 2 67% +0.43

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2023 1 0 0% −1.00
2022 2 0 0% −2.00
2020 3 2 67% +0.43

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 5 1 20% −3.67
NH Flat 1 1 100% +1.10

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2023 · 1 run
28 Jan 23+86d Cheltenham SSS Super Alloys Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 2 · 2m1f · Soft · 15 ran 15/15 31 9-11 12244C95C Jack Hogan 25/1
2022 · 2 runs
03 Nov 22+42d Newbury Make Your Best Bet At BetVictor Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 3 · 2m½f · Good · 7 ran 3/7 1½ 11-0 122108A126A Jack Hogan 9/4F
22 Sep 22+668d Perth Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Jet Master Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 2m · Good · 8 ran 2/8 1½ 12-0 12089A132A Paddy Brennan 10/3
2020 · 3 runs
23 Nov 20+19d Ludlow Ludlow Brewery John Walters Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 2m · Good To Soft · 16 ran 1/16 11-0 —116B125A Paddy Brennan 1/3F
04 Nov 20+57d Musselburgh Support Jim Beaumont's Greatest Challenge At gofundme.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m7½f · Good · 13 ran 2/13 2½ 11-0 —128B137A Paddy Brennan 13/8F
08 Sep 20 Newton Abbot I T Electrical Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Class 5 · 2m1f · Good · 6 ran 1/6 10-12 —120A116B Paddy Brennan 11/10F

Quick answers

How many races has Long Stay won?
Long Stay (GB) won 2 of 6 archived starts between 2020 and 2023, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 4 times in total (66.7% of starts).
Who trained Long Stay?
Long Stay (GB) was trained by Fergal O'Brien on the most recent run on record, at Cheltenham on 28 January 2023.
Who is Long Stay's sire?
Long Stay (GB) is by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Mainstay (GB), whose sire is Elmaamul.
What going does Long Stay prefer?
Long Stay (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Long Stay's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 122, from the run on 28 January 2023. That is also the highest on record.
What is Long Stay's sire's record?
Nathaniel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.7% of 7,106 runs since Apr 2016 (641 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Who are Long Stay's siblings?
Out of Mainstay (GB), Long Stay (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Byzantine Empire (GB) (6). Highest grade won: Group 2 (Richard Pankhurst (GB)). The wins came over 7f–2m½f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from September 2020. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.