Lucia Bay (GB)
Lucia Bay (GB) is 2 from 10, both wins coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Feb 2012. Each win came on a first visit to the course.
- 2–10Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 8 (80%)Placed
- −5.83£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 1.13Fair A/E n=10 · 0.98 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 26dBetween runs (median)longest 217 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 305 | 27 | 8.9% | −1.2 | — |
| Good | 1,078 | 104 | 9.6% | −0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 730 | 62 | 8.5% | −1.6 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 822 | 93 | 11.3% | +1.2 | 2 from 4 |
| Heavy | 394 | 51 | 12.9% | +2.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 73 | 6 | 8.2% | −1.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 66 | 4 | 6.1% | −4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 839 | 75 | 8.9% | −1.2 | 2 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,107 | 124 | 11.2% | +1.1 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,083 | 117 | 10.8% | +0.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 307 | 23 | 7.5% | −2.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Global Domination (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 2m–3m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Global Domination (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Domination (GB) | 23 | 5 | 2m4f–3m | Class 4 |
| Felinious (GB) | 9 | 4 | 2m–2m3f | Class 4 |
| Neltara (GB) | 13 | 2 | 2m½f–3m | Class 4 |
| Ellin's Tower (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Ranthambore (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Cloudina (GB) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
| Tony's Pride (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.17 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 5 | 2 | 40% | −0.83 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelso | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sedgefield | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.67 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 2 | 40% | −0.83 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell Gillies | 9 | 2 | 22% | −4.83 |
| Grant Cockburn | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.17 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 7 | 2 | 29% | −2.83 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucia Bay won?
- Lucia Bay (GB) won 2 of 10 archived starts between 2011 and 2012, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 8 times in total (80% of starts).
- Who trained Lucia Bay?
- Lucia Bay (GB) was trained by Lucinda Russell on the most recent run on record, at Punchestown on 28 April 2012.
- Who is Lucia Bay's sire?
- Lucia Bay (GB) is by Karinga Bay (GB) out of Lucia Forte (GB), whose sire is Neltino.
- What going does Lucia Bay prefer?
- Lucia Bay (GB) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Lucia Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 123, from the run on 28 April 2012. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Lucia Bay's sire's record?
- Karinga Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Lucia Bay's siblings?
- Out of Lucia Forte (GB), Lucia Bay (GB) has 7 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Global Domination (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Global Domination (GB)). The wins came over 2m–3m. As at Nov 2026.