Campbell Gillies
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 240 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (120 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.3% (n=120, Fair A/E 1.03), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.4% (n=231, Fair A/E 0.99). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 8.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.39 and +2.48 to a £1 stake over 291 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Lucinda Russell supplied 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.1% vs 10.9%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (18.6%, n=43). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2012, £56,950). The standout partner of the record was Lie Forrit (IRE) — 7 wins from 15 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,220 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,220 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 November 2006 to 24 June 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Campbell Gillies's strike rate?
- Campbell Gillies has won 131 of 1,199 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Campbell Gillies do best at?
- Kelso by strike rate: 17 wins from 112 rides (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Campbell Gillies ride most for?
- Lucinda Russell, with 404 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (15.1%).
- What is Campbell Gillies's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 1,194 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.