Lucky Bailly (FR)
Lucky Bailly is a gelding by Masked Marvel out of Vida Sure Bailly. He has yet to win from three starts on turf, all over 1m5f – 2m, with one placing. His best effort came when third of 10 at Worcester in Oct 2026 in a Class 4 National Hunt Flat race on good to soft going. That was his last run, for trainer Martin Keighley.
- 0–3Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (33.3%)Placed
- −3.00£1 level staken=3 at SP
- 155dAvg between runs
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 132
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 132A | 113 | 2 runs · 132 / 113 |
Of 3 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 3 runs · as at 15 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 3 analysed runs since Dec 2025
- Prominent 2 (67%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 15.5% of 1,614 runs since Jan 2008 (265 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 19.8% from 283.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +9.5 | — |
| Good | 284 | 50 | 17.6% | +2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 283 | 56 | 19.8% | +4.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 600 | 85 | 14.2% | −1.3 | — |
| Heavy | 427 | 58 | 13.6% | −1.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 15 | 0 | 0% | −15.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −15.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 31 | 2 | 6.5% | −9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 422 | 72 | 17.1% | +1.6 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 869 | 129 | 14.8% | −0.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 252 | 39 | 15.5% | 0 | — |
| Over 3m | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | +7.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Gold Cup Bailly (FR) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m1f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Gold Cup Bailly (FR)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Cup Bailly (FR) | 14 | 3 | 2m4f–3m | Class 3 |
| Rebelle Bailly (FR) | 33 | 1 | 1m1f | — |
| Ketamine Bailly (FR) | 14 | 0 | — | — |
| Dark Moon (FR) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Keighley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr Harry Hoyles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 07 Oct 26+223d | Worcester | Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race) Up with the pace early - dropped away under pressure 2f out - flickered back for second inside final furlong - finished third | 3/10 | nk | 10-11 | 132A | 112B | Mr Harry Hoyles | 125/1 |
| 26 Feb 26+86d | Taunton | Free Raceday Monday 9 March Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Up with the pace early - pressure applied over 4f out and soon dropped away sharply - drifted left and stumbled on the bend over 3f out - well detached before being pulled up over 2f out | PU/12 | — | 10-11 | — | — | Freddie Keighley | 125/1 |
| 2025 · 1 run | |||||||||
| 02 Dec 25 | Southwell | attheraces.com/marketmover NH Flat Race (Conditional/Amateurs) (GBB Race) Sat in the pack early - lost touch and dropped away before the turn - faded through the closing stages to finish well beaten | 7/9 | 24 | 10-9 | 94C | 83C | Freddie Keighley | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucky Bailly won?
- Lucky Bailly (FR) has yet to win, from 3 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 1 time in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains Lucky Bailly?
- Lucky Bailly (FR) is trained by Martin Keighley, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 October 2026.
- Who is Lucky Bailly's sire?
- Lucky Bailly (FR) is by Masked Marvel (GB) out of Vida Sure Bailly (FR), whose sire is Apsis.
- What is Lucky Bailly's sire's record?
- Masked Marvel (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.5% of 1,614 runs since Jan 2008 (265 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 19.8% from 283.
- Who are Lucky Bailly's siblings?
- Out of Vida Sure Bailly (FR), Lucky Bailly (FR) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Gold Cup Bailly (FR) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Gold Cup Bailly (FR)). The wins came over 1m1f–3m. As at Oct 2026.