Manton Bay (IRE)
Manton Bay (IRE) is 2 from 10. Last raced off a career-high mark of 97.
- 2–10Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 7 (70%)Placed
- +5.62£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 1.38Fair A/E n=10 · 1.13 incl. margin
- 97Highest OR
- 41dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 78
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 107C | 83 | 6 runs · 107 / 83 |
| Soft | 3 | 105A | 78 | 2 runs · 105 / 91.5 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 107C | 83 | 6 runs · 107 / 83 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 106C | 105 | 3 runs · 106 / 105 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 13 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 5 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Sep 2025
- Mid-division 5 (50%) · 1 win
- Held up 5 (50%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 2,992 runs since May 2021 (295 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −10.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 497 | 57 | 11.5% | +1 | — |
| Good | 754 | 79 | 10.5% | 0 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 260 | 25 | 9.6% | −0.9 | — |
| Soft | 316 | 36 | 11.4% | +0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 89 | 10 | 11.2% | +0.7 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,068 | 108 | 10.1% | −0.4 | 1 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | −1.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 535 | 45 | 8.4% | −2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 835 | 89 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 2 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,065 | 129 | 12.1% | +1.6 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 435 | 38 | 8.7% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 86 | 12 | 14% | +3.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −10.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2021 · as at 1 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Whirling Dervish (GB) (4 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Lucia Joy (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whirling Dervish (GB) | 35 | 4 | 1m1f–2m7f | — |
| Lucia Joy (GB) | 14 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Kaskarau (FR) | 10 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Gaillefontaine (FR) | 19 | 1 | 1m4½f | — |
| Sinistry (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Kalfu (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| In The Genes (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.38 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +12.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killarney (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Curragh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +12.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 2 | 33% | +9.62 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke McAteer | 7 | 2 | 29% | +8.62 |
| Nathan Crosse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| W. J. Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +11.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Oct 26+22d | Killarney (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) in the pack early - 5th at halfway - urged on over 2f out and soon driven - 3rd 1f out - challenged for the front over 100 yards out - outpaced by winner near the finish to take 2nd | 2/8 | ¾ | 9-5 | 97 | 78A | 93A | W. J. Lee | 7/2 |
| 13 Sep 26+15d | Curragh (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap Slow to begin - settled towards the back of the pack - boxed in approaching 2f out - pushed along and made progress into 9th with a furlong left - stayed on but failed to get closer late on | 5/22 | 1½ | 9-2 | 97 | 106C | 96A | Luke McAteer | 10/1 |
| 29 Aug 26+8d | Curragh (IRE) | Tote Irish Cambridgeshire Settled midpack - into 5th approaching 2f out - shaken up to move into second with a furlong and a half left - couldn't threaten leader inside final furlong and held on for the same effort to the line | 2/17 | 3 | 8-11 | 87 | 107C | 111A | Luke McAteer | 8/1 |
| 21 Aug 26+29d | Killarney (IRE) | CSG Rated Race Held up at back - improved into midfield with 2f left - pushed along to join leaders inside final furlong - edged ahead close home to score | 1/8 | 9-13 | 87 | 36A | 95A | Luke McAteer | 13/8F | |
| 23 Jul 26+25d | Leopardstown (IRE) | Dublin To Bahrain Race Series Handicap settled towards the back - 7th at halfway - sent forward in 6th 2f out - driven in 5th over 1f out - found nothing in response - same effort final 150 yards - 2nd at the finish but never troubled the winner | 2/8 | 2¼ | 9-2 | 87 | 78A | 90A | Luke McAteer | 7/4F |
| 28 Jun 26+43d | Curragh | Tulfarris Hotel And Golf Resort Maddenstown Handicap (Premier Handicap) Settled around midpack - pressed for effort in 10th with 2f left - unable to close - finished 8th beaten 6 lengths | 8/16 | ¾ | 9-3 | 87 | 72C | 85A | Luke McAteer | 13/2 |
| 16 May 26+19d | Navan | Royal County Handicap Settled in midfield - 6th at halfway - moved up entering the straight - hit the front on the far rail 2f out going easily - pressure applied inside the final furlong - overtaken inside the last 100 yards - unable to quicken and plugged on at one speed to finish 2nd | 2/7 | ½ | 9-8 | 83 | 105A | 97A | Luke McAteer | 9/4F |
| 27 Apr 26+171d | Naas | Naas Racecourse Business Club Blackwater Handicap Sluggish start and settled towards the back - fighting for control early on - urged forward approaching 2f out - improved into third with a furlong left - stayed on to finish third by half a length | 3/10 | ½ | 8-9 | 81 | 88A | 95A | Nathan Crosse | 14/1 |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Nov 25+41d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden Held a midfield spot early - urged forward into fifth then advanced into third with a furlong left - locked in a tight battle entering the final stages - responded strongly to get up right on the line | 1/13 | 9-5 | — | 89B | 91A | Luke McAteer | 12/1 | |
| 27 Sep 25 | Curragh | Kildare House Hotel Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden Slow to break and stuck at the back early - still towards the back at halfway then 9th and driven approaching the final furlong - stayed on nicely close home to finish 6th | 6/16 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 77C | 82A | Nathan Crosse | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Manton Bay won?
- Manton Bay (IRE) won 2 of 10 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 7 times in total (70% of starts).
- Who trains Manton Bay?
- Manton Bay (IRE) is trained by David Marnane, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 October 2026.
- Who is Manton Bay's sire?
- Manton Bay (IRE) is by Ulysses (IRE) out of Synergy (FR), whose sire is Victory Note.
- What going does Manton Bay prefer?
- Manton Bay (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Manton Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 5 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Manton Bay's sire's record?
- Ulysses (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 2,992 runs since May 2021 (295 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Manton Bay's siblings?
- Out of Synergy (FR), Manton Bay (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Whirling Dervish (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Lucia Joy (GB)). The wins came over 7f–2m7f. As at Nov 2026.