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Jockey profile

Nathan Crosse

1,771 rides in the last 5 seasons · 946 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
78–1,771
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=1,771
316 (18%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=1,768 · 0.69 incl. margin
−563.95
£1 level stake
n=1,771 at SP · −31.8%
£1.83m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 350 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). When claiming the record reads 8% (217 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,771 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 16% when favourite W McCreery: 5.4% from 333 LTO winners: 6.7% Claiming: 8.3% Rides the favourite in 3% of races
The read

It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 55 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 8.3% (n=217, Fair A/E 1.42). W McCreery supplies 19% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.87). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final at Naas (Oct 2024, £70,800).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.2%−0.2
n=895 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −328.85
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
6.7%+2.3
n=89 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −14.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.1%−0.3
n=320 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −104.67
When favourite
16%
n=50 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −23.88
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.3%+3.9
n=217 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +36.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.3%−0.1
n=865 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −287.97
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.3%−1.1
n=90 · A/E 0.73 · £1 +3.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kevin Thomas Coleman 10.8% vs 4.4% · n=37
When claiming 8.3% vs 4.4% · n=217
At Fairyhouse 0% vs 4.4% · n=55
At Roscommon 0% vs 4.4% · n=41
With C&D winners 7.6% vs 4.4% · n=145
With Mrs J. Harrington 6.9% vs 4.4% · n=233
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 578 21 3.6% −279.88
Soft 481 21 4.4% −154.15
Standard (AW) 442 22 5% −37.50
Heavy 128 8 6.3% −9.17
Good to Soft 96 4 4.2% −47.00
Good to Firm 46 2 4.3% −36.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 438 22 5% −33.50
Curragh 282 13 4.6% −138.05
Naas 118 4 3.4% −55.00
Leopardstown 105 5 4.8% −46.00
Gowran Park 105 4 3.8% −68.75
Cork 101 3 3% −12.25
Navan 101 5 5% +0.50
Galway 62 2 3.2% −45.50
Bellewstown 61 2 3.3% −42.00
Limerick 59 4 6.8% −31.50
Down Royal 58 4 6.9% −15.90
Fairyhouse 55 0 0% −55.00
Roscommon 41 0 0% −41.00
Killarney 40 1 2.5% −31.50
Tipperary 30 1 3.3% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 90 3 3.3% +3.75
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 56 9 16.1% 0.68 −24.88
2nd–3rd fav 162 17 10.5% 0.75 −70.07
4th–6th fav 382 28 7.3% 1.08 −31.00
7th+ in betting 1,171 24 2% 0.84 −438.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Morning Approach (IRE) 22 1 5 9 Jan 26
Purring Along (IRE) 19 2 2 3 Nov 24
Dark Street (IRE) 15 2 5 16 Feb 24
Cnodian (IRE) 13 2 6 7 Oct 23
Bella Colombia (IRE) 10 1 1 10 Dec 25
Mogwli (IRE) 9 1 2 2 Nov 25
Downforce (IRE) 9 1 2 18 Mar 24
Alexander John (IRE) 9 0 3 27 Jul 23
Movin And Groovin (IRE) 8 1 5 29 Oct 26
Blues Emperor (IRE) 8 0 2 21 Sep 26
Soulful Diva (IRE) 8 1 2 9 Sep 26
Navy Waters (IRE) 8 2 5 2 Nov 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 946 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
1 from 19 5.3% · +0.9pts vs baseline
Last 14 days5.3%
5-season base4.4%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1233636335525
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardW McCreery
19% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.87
TrainerRWSR£1
W McCreery 333 18 5.4% −148.90
Luke Comer 249 7 2.8% −81.50
Mrs J. Harrington 233 16 6.9% +23.70
David Marnane 68 4 5.9% +86.00
Daniel McLoughlin 55 2 3.6% −1.00
John S O'Donoghue 43 1 2.3% −34.50
Kevin Thomas Coleman 37 4 10.8% −10.00
Richard John O'Brien 31 1 3.2% −27.50
P F McEnery 30 1 3.3% +11.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
152
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£2.77m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 26 wins
Fiona Maccoul (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final Naas · Oct 2024
£70,800
Going Remote (IRE) — BoyleSports Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap) Down Royal · Jun 2024
£59,000
Vera's Secret (IRE) — HKJC World Pool Autumn Fillies Handicap Leopardstown · Sep 2024
£59,000
Notable horses
Cnodian (IRE) Ideal Pal (IRE) Mogwli (IRE) Purring Along (IRE) Downforce (IRE) Dark Street (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 3.4% · 2–59
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,241 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Cotai Glory (GB) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,954 runs since 2021 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,420. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 427.
Dandy Man (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Dick Whittington (IRE) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 3.9% of 128 runs since 2022 (20 horses).
Dawn Approach (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 8% of 3,578 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 180.
Fast Company (IRE) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,599 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,827 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,827 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 February 2017 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Mawhibah (QA)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 100/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Purple Bandit (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 9th 11/2
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Amplitude (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 11th 40/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Marazion (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 9th 28/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Motta Alta (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 8th 20/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Harry's Hill (GB)T: Martin Hassett Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 13th 28/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) The Pintline (IRE)T: Martin Hassett Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 17th 300/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Smart Aleck (IRE)T: David Marnane Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 80/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Movin And Groovin (IRE)T: David Marnane See You At The GR1 Double Header 21 & 22 November Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)7f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 11/2
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Saliba (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Premiere Weekend Two-Day Ticket Just €35 Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 4/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Margot Mae (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Premiere Weekend Race & Dine Packages From €75pp Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 6 ran 1st 11/4
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Nonsense (GB)T: John S O'Donoghue Win A Trip To Lapland At Punchestown On Sun 22 November Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 15/8F
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Wunderschon (GER)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 8/13F
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dragon Scales (IRE)T: Daniel McLoughlin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 66/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dramatic Approach (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 100/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bajan Bambi (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 150/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) King Of Eze (GB)T: A Oliver Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 12/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mendez (USA)T: Chris Timmons Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 100/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Santo Parvenue (IRE)T: Eddie & Patrick Harty Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 6/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Quinta Do Lago (FR)T: Mrs J. Harrington WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 4th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nathan Crosse's strike rate?
Nathan Crosse has won 78 of 1,771 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nathan Crosse do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 4 wins from 58 rides (6.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Nathan Crosse ride most for?
W McCreery, with 333 rides since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (5.4%).
Is Nathan Crosse in form?
In the last 14 days: 19 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 4.4% since 2022.
What is Nathan Crosse's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 1,768 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).