New Theory (IRE)
New Theory won the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden at Navan in Oct 2024 over under 6f on soft ground off an official rating of 70. The filly, by Starspangledbanner out of a Dream Ahead mare, has one win and two places from six turf starts and has never won over 6f to 7f. She last ran at Curragh in Mar 2025, finishing sixth of 13 in the Nua Healthcare Handicap off a career-high mark of 82.
- 1–6Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 2 (33.3%)Placed
- +6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 1.48Fair A/E n=6 · 1.20 incl. margin
- 82Highest OR
- 65dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 77
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 78C | 76.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 77A | 55 | — |
| Good | 2 | 68C | 51 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 78C | 72.5 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 75A | 54.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 3 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Prominent 2 (67%) · 1 win
- Held up 1 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,172 runs since Jan 2008 (662 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 25 | 3 | 12% | +0.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,034 | 125 | 12.1% | +1 | — |
| Good | 1,737 | 183 | 10.5% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 772 | 90 | 11.7% | +0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,074 | 122 | 11.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 294 | 33 | 11.2% | +0.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,236 | 238 | 10.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,191 | 173 | 14.5% | +3.4 | 1 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 3,572 | 394 | 11% | −0.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,393 | 137 | 9.8% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 650 | 60 | 9.2% | −1.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 269 | 26 | 9.7% | −1.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 84 | 4 | 4.8% | −6.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 13 | 0 | 0% | −11.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Gift (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Lolabella (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darragh O'Sullivan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| J M Sheridan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Coen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 16 Mar 25+144d | Curragh | Nua Healthcare Handicap Sat close to the front group early - shared advantage under a drive 2f out before giving way approaching the final furlong and a half - unable to find more late finished sixth | 6/13 | nk | 8-12 | 82 | 78C | 82A | Darragh O'Sullivan | 11/1 |
| 2024 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Oct 24+25d | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Sat behind the pace early - asked for effort and moved into contention from 2f out - hit the front inside the final furlong under pressure - stayed on strongly to win | 1/9 | 8-9 | 70 | 75A | 77A | Darragh O'Sullivan | 11/1 | |
| 28 Sep 24+127d | Curragh | Goffs 500 Bumped a touch exiting the gate - settled towards the back - 9th at halfway - unable to make headway inside final furlong - stayed on same gear to finish seventh | 7/10 | 2 | 9-0 | 72 | 77A | 60A | Seamie Heffernan | 16/1 |
| 24 May 24+14d | Curragh | Irish European Breeders Fund Auction Series Maiden | 6/21 | 2 | 8-12 | — | 68C | 71A | Ben Coen | 7/2F |
| 10 May 24+13d | Cork | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden | 5/12 | ½ | 8-12 | — | 34A | 78A | J M Sheridan | 9/4F |
| 27 Apr 24 | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden | 2/11 | 1½ | 9-2 | — | 33A | 83A | J M Sheridan | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has New Theory won?
- New Theory (IRE) won 1 of 6 archived starts between 2024 and 2025, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 2 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trained New Theory?
- New Theory (IRE) was trained by J A Stack on the most recent run on record, at Curragh on 16 March 2025.
- Who is New Theory's sire?
- New Theory (IRE) is by Starspangledbanner (AUS) out of Pixel Power (IRE), whose sire is Dream Ahead.
- What is New Theory's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 82, from the run on 16 March 2025. That is also the highest on record.
- What is New Theory's sire's record?
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,172 runs since Jan 2008 (662 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.
- Who are New Theory's siblings?
- Out of Pixel Power (IRE), New Theory (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.