J M Sheridan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 390 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (138 rides). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Sligo (16.7%, n=30) and Tipperary (15.6%, n=45) — all clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.2% (n=138, Fair A/E 1.27), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5% (n=120, Fair A/E 0.65). Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 33 rides in the last 14 days (12.1%, 3.8pts above the 8.3% baseline). Denis Gerard Hogan supplies 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.7%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Vincent O'Brien National Stakes at Curragh (IRE) (Sep 2026, £240,000). The standout partner of the record: Church Mountain (IRE) — 6 wins from 39 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,961 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,961 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2019 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is J M Sheridan's strike rate?
- J M Sheridan has won 160 of 1,937 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does J M Sheridan do best at?
- Tipperary by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 rides (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does J M Sheridan ride most for?
- Denis Gerard Hogan, with 614 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (7.7%).
- Is J M Sheridan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 33 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 12.1%. That is above the baseline of 8.3% since 2022.
- What is J M Sheridan's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 1,934 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.