Nothingtochance (GB)
Nothingtochance is a mare who won one of six starts over hurdles, the success coming in the Robert Case Memorial Maiden Hurdle at Fakenham in Mar 2023 over 1m5f – 2m on soft ground. All five other runs at that trip brought no further wins, while she was placed on three occasions overall. She last ran at Bangor-on-Dee in Apr 2023, where she was the beaten favourite in a Class 4 novices handicap off an official rating of 109, which was also her highest ever mark.
- 1–6Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 3 (50%)Placed
- −3.25£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 1.01Fair A/E n=6 · 0.85 incl. margin
- 109Highest OR
- 79dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 121
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 85B | 82 | — |
| Good | 2 | 128A | 114.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 128A | 103 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,743 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 529 | 60 | 11.3% | −1.3 | — |
| Good | 4,491 | 524 | 11.7% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 3,049 | 359 | 11.8% | −0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 3,760 | 493 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 1 from 1 |
| Heavy | 1,708 | 277 | 16.2% | +3.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 193 | 24 | 12.4% | −0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 24 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 163 | 18 | 11% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3,976 | 521 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 1 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4,759 | 593 | 12.5% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3,816 | 479 | 12.6% | 0 | — |
| Over 3m | 1,003 | 126 | 12.6% | 0 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Edwardstone (GB) (12 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4½f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Edwardstone (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwardstone (GB) | 42 | 12 | 1m7½f–2m4½f | Grade 1 |
| Wyrley Birch (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.25 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fakenham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Cannon | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tom Bellamy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.25 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.25 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Apr 23+36d | Bangor-on-Dee | Carr & Associates Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | UR/10 | — | 12-0 | 109 | — | — | Tom Cannon | 9/4F |
| 17 Mar 23+44d | Fakenham | Robert Case Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/9 | 10-13 | — | 121A | 136A | Tom Bellamy | 7/4F | |
| 01 Feb 23+58d | Exeter | Virgin Bet Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/12 | 7½ | 11-6 | — | 79A | 115A | Tom Cannon | 16/1 |
| 2022 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Dec 22+235d | Lingfield | Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 8/17 | 2½ | 11-4 | — | 85B | 99A | Tom Cannon | 22/1 |
| 14 Apr 22+24d | Cheltenham | Spreadex Sports Betting Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 11/16 | 4 | 11-0 | — | 101C | 102C | Tom Cannon | 9/1 |
| 21 Mar 22 | Southwell | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 2/11 | 1 | 11-0 | — | 128A | 108A | Tom Cannon | 9/4F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Nothingtochance won?
- Nothingtochance (GB) won 1 of 6 archived starts between 2022 and 2023, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 3 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained Nothingtochance?
- Nothingtochance (GB) was trained by Alan King on the most recent run on record, at Bangor-on-Dee on 22 April 2023.
- Who is Nothingtochance's sire?
- Nothingtochance (GB) is by Kayf Tara (GB) out of Nothingtoloose (IRE), whose sire is Luso.
- What is Nothingtochance's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 109, from the run on 22 April 2023. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Nothingtochance's sire's record?
- Kayf Tara (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,743 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
- Who are Nothingtochance's siblings?
- Out of Nothingtoloose (IRE), Nothingtochance (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Edwardstone (GB) (12). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Edwardstone (GB)). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4½f. As at Oct 2026.