What is Tom Bellamy's strike rate?

Tom Bellamy has won 239 of 1,898 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Bellamy do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 18 wins from 87 rides (20.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tom Bellamy ride most for?

Emma Lavelle, with 523 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (14.1%).

Is Tom Bellamy in form?

In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.6% since 2022.

What is Tom Bellamy's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,895 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tom Bellamy

1,898 rides in the last 5 seasons · 764 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

239–1,898

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=1,898

616 (33%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,895 · 0.83 incl. margin

−529.40

£1 level stake

n=1,898 at SP · −27.9%

£3.33m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 380 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (220 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,898 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 35.7% when favourite Emma Lavelle: 14.1% from 523 LTO winners: 15.9% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hereford (20.7%, n=87) and Huntingdon (19.8%, n=121) — all clear of the rider's 12.6% baseline. It is weakest at Aintree (3% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.9% (n=220, Fair A/E 0.74), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.8% (n=221, Fair A/E 1.02). Emma Lavelle supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (14.1%, A/E 0.92). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2017, £91,120). The standout partner of the record: Thundering Home (GB) — 6 wins from 28 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.5%−1.1

n=654 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −165.86

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.9%+3.3

n=220 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −62.86

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.5%−1.1

n=511 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −190.95

When favourite

35.7%

n=199 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −36.28

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.8%−5.8

n=221 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −63.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.6%−4.0

n=81 · A/E 0.87 · £1 +0.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With David Dennis 2.8% vs 12.6% · n=106

With Kim Bailey 22.4% vs 12.6% · n=58

At Hereford 20.7% vs 12.6% · n=87

At Huntingdon 19.8% vs 12.6% · n=121

At Aintree 3% vs 12.6% · n=33

With Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls 18.6% vs 12.6% · n=172

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,099 137 12.5% −267.75

Chase 628 84 13.4% −204.56

NH Flat 167 18 10.8% −53.09

Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 882 127 14.4% −209.28

Good to Soft 534 57 10.7% −134.99

Soft 359 46 12.8% −107.21

Heavy 93 6 6.5% −62.75

Good to Firm 29 3 10.3% −14.17

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Huntingdon 121 24 19.8% −13.29

Uttoxeter 119 13 10.9% −65.44

Warwick 114 13 11.4% −18.42

Worcester 105 16 15.2% −40.22

Wincanton 93 10 10.8% −43.92

Hereford 87 18 20.7% +0.58

Chepstow 78 9 11.5% −35.38

Ludlow 78 12 15.4% −25.99

Stratford 77 13 16.9% −11.87

Kempton 76 11 14.5% −13.55

Exeter 68 4 5.9% −39.50

Market Rasen 68 7 10.3% −24.58

Newbury 67 6 9% −2.00

Doncaster 67 9 13.4% −32.13

Fontwell 63 9 14.3% +15.08

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 846 120 14.2% −235.07

Class 5 500 60 12% −118.68

Class 3 305 40 13.1% −115.68

Class 1 126 8 6.3% −40.38

Class 2 120 11 9.2% −18.59

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 232 81 34.9% 0.99 −34.33

2nd–3rd fav 560 103 18.4% 1.02 −79.07

4th–6th fav 661 44 6.7% 0.83 −216.00

7th+ in betting 445 11 2.5% 0.78 −200.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.4% completed · 1,727 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 628 73.4% 33 16 114 1 3

Hurdle 1,099 86% 15 11 126 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

General Medrano (IRE) 15 3 7 23 Nov 24

Red Rookie (GB) 14 2 4 18 May 24

King's Threshold (IRE) 12 3 7 21 Feb 25

Classic King (IRE) 12 2 8 30 Nov 24

Hardy Fella (IRE) 12 2 5 28 Aug 24

Killer Clown (IRE) 12 1 2 21 Jun 24

Tightenourbelts (IRE) 11 2 5 12 Oct 24

The Doyen Chief (IRE) 10 2 6 2 May 26

Imperial Pride (IRE) 10 0 4 16 Mar 26

Porter In The Park (IRE) 10 1 4 13 Mar 24

De Rasher Counter (GB) 10 0 2 11 Mar 24

Tedwin Hills (IRE) 10 1 4 21 Nov 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 764 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 24 12.5% · −0.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.5%

5-season base12.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

121215813161498171310

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEmma Lavelle

28% of all rides
14.1% SR · A/E 0.92

TrainerRWSR£1

Emma Lavelle 523 74 14.1% −182.43

Alan King 359 54 15% −44.70

Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls 172 32 18.6% −0.50

D J Jeffreys 124 8 6.5% −79.79

David Dennis 106 3 2.8% −82.50

Kim Bailey 58 13 22.4% −9.07

Keiran Burke 56 3 5.4% −31.50

Nigel Twiston-Davies 53 7 13.2% −14.10

Ben Clarke 40 5 12.5% +12.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

441

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.62m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 51 wins

Splash of Ginge (GB) — BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Nov 2017 · Grade 3

£91,120

White Noise (IRE) — Ryanair Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2026 · Grade 2

£59,084

Chianti Classico (IRE) — Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ascot · Nov 2024 · Class 1

£56,950

Notable horses

Thundering Home (GB) Hang In There (IRE) By The Boardwalk (IRE) Es Perfecto (IRE) Midnight Glance (GB) Wouldubewell (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 9.5% · 9–95

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,001 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Yeats (IRE) 12.8% · 10–78

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,845 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Passing Glance (GB) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,571 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,044 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Blue Bresil (FR) 24% · 12–50

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,540 runs since 2013 (463 horses).

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,688 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,725 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,725 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 November 2010 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Beaufort Breeze (IRE)T: D. J. Jeffreys Weddings At Fontwell Park Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 8/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell So You Know (IRE)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Gary Wrights Big 40th Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/2F

05 Nov 26 Newbury Power Of Authority (IRE)T: Sheila Lewis BetVictor Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 150/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury He's Happy (IRE)T: Syd Hosie British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 66/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Hoeyfield Lad (IRE)T: D. J. Jeffreys Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 300/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Masaccio (IRE)T: Alan King Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 1st 33/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Martini Majesty (GB)T: Alan King Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 50/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Insanity (GB)T: Alan King CSP Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Double Ten (IRE)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Free Tips On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 14/1

03 Nov 26 Warwick Kittys Glance (GB)T: Alan King Alex & Edward Alder Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 4th 7/2

03 Nov 26 Warwick Blue Sky Dreaming (GB)T: Alan King Alder Demain & Akers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 7/1

03 Nov 26 Warwick Plan C (IRE)T: Alan King Alder Demain & Akers Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/2

02 Nov 26 Southwell Jetzet (IRE)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Law Of Supply (IRE)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 100/30F

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Sumatran Tiger (FR)T: Richard Phillips Copybet Bog Now For Racing Tomorrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 10/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Irish Chorus (GB)T: Alan King CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 12/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Moyanna (GB)T: Tom George CopyBet Follow Us On X Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 13/2

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Back It Up (IRE)T: James Owen CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 7/2

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Bankatary (FR)T: James Owen CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 1st 9/4F

31 Oct 26 Ascot Lord Chamberlain (GB)T: Ryan Hatch Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 29 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tom Bellamy's strike rate?: Tom Bellamy has won 239 of 1,898 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Bellamy do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 18 wins from 87 rides (20.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Bellamy ride most for?: Emma Lavelle, with 523 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (14.1%).
Is Tom Bellamy in form?: In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.6% since 2022.
What is Tom Bellamy's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,895 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.