Tom Cannon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 330 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (235 rides). Rides mostly for Alan King — 43% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Plumpton (24.4%, n=164) and Stratford (25%, n=48) — all clear of the rider's 15.3% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (6.1% over 49 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.6% (n=235, Fair A/E 0.93), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.2% (n=178, Fair A/E 0.78). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 23 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 15.3pts below the 15.3% baseline). Alan King supplies 43% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (15%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (26.6%, n=64). 26 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Celebration Chase at Sandown (Apr 2026, £105,117). The standout partner of the record: Edwardstone (GB) — 11 wins from 37 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 5,506 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 5,506 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 May 2008 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 12 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 0, 2 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 3 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Tom Cannon's strike rate?
- Tom Cannon has won 251 of 1,638 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom Cannon do best at?
- Stratford by strike rate: 12 wins from 48 rides (25%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Tom Cannon ride most for?
- Alan King, with 709 rides since 2022 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 106 (15%).
- Is Tom Cannon in form?
- In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 15.3% since 2022.
- What is Tom Cannon's Fair A/E?
- 1.11, from 1,634 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.