On A Promise (IRE)
On A Promise (IRE) is 4 from 18. Hasn't won since Dec 2020. 4 of 13 starts with soft in the ground have ended in wins — 0 from 5 on quicker. Last raced off 111, 8lb below the career-high mark.
- 4–18Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 7 (38.9%)Placed
- +1.41£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 1.56Fair A/E n=18 · 1.35 incl. margin
- 119Highest OR
- 104dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 138
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 5 | 132A | 95 | — |
| Good | 4 | 138A | 108 | — |
| Soft | 4 | 152B | 104.5 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 69C | 63.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 152B | 108 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 138A | 95 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 69C | 69 | — |
Of 18 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (3).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 531 | 69 | 13% | +2.5 | — |
| Good | 2,031 | 224 | 11% | +0.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 835 | 89 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 3 from 6 |
| Soft | 1,377 | 122 | 8.9% | −1.6 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 679 | 74 | 10.9% | +0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 138 | 7 | 5.1% | −5.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +7.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 211 | 9 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,811 | 185 | 10.2% | −0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,900 | 204 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,349 | 156 | 11.6% | +1.1 | 3 from 9 |
| Over 3m | 286 | 29 | 10.1% | −0.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Neon Diamond (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m3f–2m7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Lily Little Legs (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neon Diamond (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 2m3f–2m7f | — |
| Lily Little Legs (IRE) | 24 | 2 | 2m5f | Class 4 |
| Bigcitydreams (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 6 | 3 | 50% | +11.50 |
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.09 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 13 | 3 | 23% | +4.50 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelso | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Perth | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Hexham | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.09 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Musselburgh | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| Wetherby | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 3 | 33% | +2.91 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Nichol | 15 | 3 | 20% | −0.09 |
| Brian Hughes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Day | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 4 | 24% | +2.41 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| 2017 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +1.41 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 3 | 27% | +0.91 |
| Chase | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has On A Promise won?
- On A Promise (IRE) won 4 of 18 archived starts between 2016 and 2021, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 7 times in total (38.9% of starts).
- Who trained On A Promise?
- On A Promise (IRE) was trained by Keith Dalgleish on the most recent run on record, at Kelso on 15 September 2021.
- Who is On A Promise's sire?
- On A Promise (IRE) is by Definite Article (GB) out of Silvers Promise (IRE), whose sire is Presenting.
- What going does On A Promise prefer?
- On A Promise (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is On A Promise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 111, from the run on 15 September 2021. The highest on record is 119.
- What is On A Promise's sire's record?
- Definite Article (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
- Who are On A Promise's siblings?
- Out of Silvers Promise (IRE), On A Promise (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Neon Diamond (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Lily Little Legs (IRE)). The wins came over 2m3f–2m7f. As at Oct 2026.