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Trainer profile

Keith Dalgleish

774 runners in the last 5 seasons · 87 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2023 92% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
78–774
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=774
228 (30%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=771 · 0.75 incl. margin
−209.48
£1 level stake
n=774 at SP · −27.1%
£1.20m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 774 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Fresh horses: 10.9% 24.4% when favourite Callum Rodriguez: 10.9% from 248 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (13.7%, n=124), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. It is weakest at York (5.6% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Callum Rodriguez rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.9%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18%, n=50). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 5.8% over 86 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.83 across 110 runners (6.4% strike, −77.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing UK Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2018, £99,243). The stable star of the record: Chookie Royale (GB) — 16 wins from 73 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.9%+0.8
n=101 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −16.19
New recruits · first run for the yard
26.7%+16.6
n=15 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −2.52
Debutants · first career start
15.8%+5.7
n=19 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +4.25
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%−4.5
n=18 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −14.75
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.7%−1.4
n=23 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −13.50
When favourite
24.4%
n=78 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −28.22
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.5%−2.6
n=53 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −30.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
15%+4.9
n=20 · A/E 2.35 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 18% vs 10.1% · n=50
With Sam James 4.1% vs 10.1% · n=49
Off a 31-60-day break 5.8% vs 10.1% · n=86
In Class 2 6.4% vs 10.1% · n=110
At Musselburgh 13.7% vs 10.1% · n=124
At York 5.6% vs 10.1% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 710 73 10.3% −182.73
Hurdle 37 4 10.8% −2.00
Chase 22 0 0% −22.00
NH Flat 5 1 20% −2.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 271 28 10.3% −120.44
Standard (AW) 185 18 9.7% +5.94
Good to Soft 135 14 10.4% −12.84
Good to Firm 129 11 8.5% −75.64
Soft 41 5 12.2% −2.75
Heavy 13 2 15.4% −3.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Musselburgh 124 17 13.7% −15.79
Ayr 97 9 9.3% −46.62
Hamilton 94 11 11.7% −18.37
Newcastle (AW) 66 5 7.6% +49.73
Wolverhampton (AW) 52 7 13.5% −25.37
Southwell (AW) 48 4 8.3% −9.67
Carlisle 43 6 14% −10.59
York 36 2 5.6% −19.00
Haydock 23 0 0% −23.00
Catterick 23 3 13% −11.55
Doncaster 19 1 5.3% −6.00
Thirsk 16 1 6.3% −8.00
Perth 16 3 18.8% +10.50
Redcar 15 1 6.7% −5.00
Ascot 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 216 25 11.6% +30.10
Class 4 185 19 10.3% −73.59
Class 6 150 17 11.3% −56.62
Class 2 110 7 6.4% −77.00
Class 3 93 7 7.5% −39.37
Class 1 20 3 15% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 95 28 29.5% 0.98 −10.22
2nd–3rd fav 189 25 13.2% 0.81 −53.76
4th–6th fav 264 21 8% 0.93 −68.50
7th+ in betting 226 4 1.8% 0.50 −77.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Thin Blue Line (IRE) 32 4 12 30 Jun 23
Aberama Gold (GB)then David O'Meara 27 3 8 1 Jul 23
Surprise Picture (IRE)from Hugo Palmer · then Grant Tuer 25 3 5 23 Jun 23
Chookie Dunedin (GB)then R Mike Smith 24 3 8 23 Jun 23
What's The Story (GB)then Richard Fahey 18 2 7 29 Jun 23
Chichester (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute · then Charlie Johnston 18 3 7 16 Jun 23
Taxmeifyoucan (IRE) 18 1 3 3 Jan 23
Ventura Flame (IRE) 16 1 4 20 Jun 23
Lady Lade (GB) 16 1 7 9 Jun 23
Debydinks (IRE) 16 0 4 2 May 23
The 60 most-raced of 87 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Michael Stoute (3); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Charlie Johnston (3) and Lucinda Russell (3); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
11139121599109446
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCallum Rodriguez
32% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 0.84
RiderRWSR£1
Callum Rodriguez 248 27 10.9% −99.61
Billy Garritty 174 23 13.2% +63.81
Sam James 49 2 4.1% −24.00
Ryan Sexton 33 4 12.1% −10.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
974
Archived wins
10
Pattern / graded wins
£8.72m
Prize money
2019
Best season · 118 wins
Summer Daydream (IRE) — Racing UK Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) Redcar · Oct 2018 · Listed
£99,243
Taxmeifyoucan (IRE) — 32Red.com Handicap Haydock · Sep 2017 · Class 2
£62,250
What's The Story (GB) — Clipper Logistics Handicap York · Aug 2019 · Class 2
£52,913

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 2.3% · 1–44
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,899 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Mehmas (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,061 runs since 2008 (745 horses).
Distorted Humor (USA) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 14.3% of 1,352 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 18.8% · 6–32
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Dansili (GB) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Heeraat (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 8% of 2,992 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,799 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,799 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2011 to 8 July 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jul 23 Haydock Alright Sunshine (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Bet365 Old Newton Cup HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 25/1
06 Jul 23 Haydock Page Three (USA)J: Jim Crowley Yale Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1
03 Jul 23 Musselburgh Gometra Ginty (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Visit Racingtv.Com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 9/1
01 Jul 23 Newcastle (AW) Thermoscope (IRE)J: Billy Garritty JenningsBet Northumberland Vase HandicapClass 2 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 10/1
01 Jul 23 Newcastle (AW) Soldier's Minute (GB)J: Joe Fanning JenningsBet Festival HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 14/1
24 Jun 23 Redcar Gioia Cieca (USA)J: Graham Lee Host & Stay HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Keith Dalgleish's strike rate?
Keith Dalgleish has won 78 of 774 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keith Dalgleish do best at?
Carlisle by strike rate: 6 wins from 43 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Keith Dalgleish?
Callum Rodriguez, with 248 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (10.9%).
What is Keith Dalgleish's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 771 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).