Keith Dalgleish
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).
The record is strongest at Musselburgh (13.7%, n=124), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. It is weakest at York (5.6% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Callum Rodriguez rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.9%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18%, n=50). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 5.8% over 86 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.83 across 110 runners (6.4% strike, −77.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing UK Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2018, £99,243). The stable star of the record: Chookie Royale (GB) — 16 wins from 73 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,799 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,799 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2011 to 8 July 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Keith Dalgleish's strike rate?
- Keith Dalgleish has won 78 of 774 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Keith Dalgleish do best at?
- Carlisle by strike rate: 6 wins from 43 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Keith Dalgleish?
- Callum Rodriguez, with 248 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (10.9%).
- What is Keith Dalgleish's Fair A/E?
- 0.87, from 771 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.