One Chance (IRE)
One Chance (IRE) is 2 from 16. Hasn't won since Oct 2014. Both wins came on good or faster ground (0 from 4 on softer). Each win came on a first visit to the course.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, One Chance (IRE) has 5 produce in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haldane (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| New Chance (FR) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Silver Knife (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Abisola (FR) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Solid Chance (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
- 2–16Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 4 (25%)Placed
- −5.75£1 level staken=16 at SP
- 1.90Fair A/E n=16 · 1.63 incl. margin
- 104Highest OR
- 58dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 161 | 26 | 16.1% | +4.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,581 | 463 | 12.9% | +1 | 1 from 6 |
| Good | 4,529 | 487 | 10.8% | −1.1 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 2,132 | 254 | 11.9% | 0 | — |
| Soft | 2,758 | 303 | 11% | −0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 790 | 76 | 9.6% | −2.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 6,866 | 866 | 12.6% | +0.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3,049 | 399 | 13.1% | +1.2 | 2 from 11 |
| 6f – 7f | 9,829 | 1,178 | 12% | +0.1 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,502 | 542 | 12% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,139 | 249 | 11.6% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 843 | 66 | 7.8% | −4.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 360 | 33 | 9.2% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 89 | 8 | 9% | −2.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +2.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Monticello (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Monticello (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello (IRE) | 41 | 2 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Maokai (GB) | 7 | 1 | 1m | Class 6 |
| Spring Collection (GB) | 16 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Summer Collection (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Chapter One (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| The Little Bear (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.75 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sandown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 11 | 2 | 18% | −0.75 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Queally | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| William Buick | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Olivier Peslier | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.75 |
| Cheekpieces | 5 | 1 | 20% | +2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2014 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −1.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has One Chance (IRE) won?
- One Chance (IRE) won 2 of 16 archived starts between 2013 and 2015, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 4 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trained One Chance (IRE)?
- One Chance (IRE) was trained by James Fanshawe on the most recent run on record, at York on 6 September 2015.
- Who is One Chance (IRE)'s sire?
- One Chance (IRE) is by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Towards (USA), whose sire is Fusaichi Pegasus.
- What going does One Chance (IRE) prefer?
- One Chance (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is One Chance (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 6 September 2015. The highest on record is 104.
- What is One Chance (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
- Who are One Chance (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Towards (USA), One Chance (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Monticello (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Monticello (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m. As at Oct 2026.
- Has One Chance (IRE) produced winners?
- As a dam, One Chance (IRE) has 5 produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.