James Fanshawe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 320 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 18% off breaks of two months or more (251 runs).
The record is strongest at Leicester (24.5%, n=49), clear of the yard's 15.6% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (5.3% over 38 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.7% (n=158, Fair A/E 0.81). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 13.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −40.95 to a £1 stake over 138 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Daniel Muscutt rides 39% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (17.2%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (24%, n=96) and in Class 6 (21.8%, n=179). 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2017, £340,260). The stable star of the record: The Tin Man (GB) — 9 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 6,111 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 6,111 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 2) · to 26 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is James Fanshawe's strike rate?
- James Fanshawe has won 248 of 1,593 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Fanshawe do best at?
- Leicester by strike rate: 12 wins from 49 runners (24.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for James Fanshawe?
- Daniel Muscutt, with 616 runners since 2022 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 106 (17.2%).
- Is James Fanshawe in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is James Fanshawe's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 1,582 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.