Outback Heat (GB)
Outback Heat is 2 from 5 with both wins at Class 4 level. He won the Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Style Handicap at Ascot in May 2026 on good ground off an official rating of 85 and earlier took a maiden at Newcastle on the all-weather in February 2026. All five runs have come over 1m to 1m1f. He finished fourth of 19 in the Sky Bet Mile Handicap at York in Aug 2026 when last raced off his career-high mark of 96.
- 2–5Wins / Runs
- 40%Strike rate
- 4 (80%)Placed
- +15.50£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 5.64Fair A/E n=5 · 4.37 incl. margin
- 96Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 96
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 96A | 90 | 2 · 96 / 90 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 96A | 84 | 5 · 96 / 84 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.1% of 2,310 runs since Jan 2008 (319 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | +19.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 469 | 71 | 15.1% | +1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 622 | 82 | 13.2% | −0.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 257 | 37 | 14.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 229 | 29 | 12.7% | −1.4 | — |
| Heavy | 60 | 11 | 18.3% | +4.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 663 | 93 | 14% | −0.1 | 1 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 117 | 11 | 9.4% | −4.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 912 | 132 | 14.5% | +0.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 695 | 104 | 15% | +0.9 | 2 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 473 | 66 | 14% | −0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 91 | 13 | 14.3% | +0.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 22 | 0 | 0% | −14.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Circuit Breaker (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m2f–2m5f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Circuit Breaker (GB)).
Family form: Circuit Breaker (GB) finished 3rd of 10 at Haydock, 25 Sep 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Circuit Breaker (GB) | 25 | 3 | 1m2f–2m5f | Class 4 |
| Frankelian (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Highland Monarch (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +17.50 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 26+64d | York | Sky Bet Mile Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Settled towards the back of the pack early - looking for space around 2f out and given a reminder - progress made from a furlong out under urging - moved into fourth and stayed on inside the closing stages - unable to threaten the front group late on | 4/19 | shd | 9-6 | 96 | 78C | 106A | Kaiya Fraser | 15/2 |
| 18 Jun 26+41d | Ascot | Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Settled towards the back early - moved to the outside approaching 2f out - strong progress inside the final furlong - pushed along to close in the last furlong - drifted left under pressure - finished with running on strongly to the line | 2/30 | ¾ | 8-11 | 91 | 91C | 109A | Kaiya Fraser | 10/1 |
| 08 May 26+27d | Ascot | Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Style Handicap (Str) Settled off the pace early - moved into contention approaching 2f out - drifted left as urged to the front inside the final furlong - wandered right briefly - stayed on strongly to the line while drifting left once more - won going away | 1/11 | 9-9 | 85 | 84A | 107A | Kaiya Fraser | 11/1 | |
| 11 Apr 26+66d | Yarmouth | TigerBet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace early - driven with urgency past a furlong out - overtaken approaching the final furlong and unable to respond to the line | 3/6 | 3 | 9-8 | — | 96A | 101B | Kaiya Fraser | 20/1 |
| 04 Feb 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace throughout - pushed along when just edged in front 1f out - fought back to regain command close home | 1/10 | 8-11 | — | 78A | 76A | Kaiya Fraser | 15/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Outback Heat (GB) won?
- Outback Heat (GB) won 2 of 5 archived starts in 2026, a strike rate of 40%. Placed 4 times in total (80% of starts).
- Who trains Outback Heat (GB)?
- Outback Heat (GB) is trained by Harry Eustace, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 21 August 2026.
- Who is Outback Heat (GB)'s sire?
- Outback Heat (GB) is by Too Darn Hot (GB) out of Australian Queen (GB), whose sire is Fastnet Rock.
- What is Outback Heat (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 96, from the run on 21 August 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Outback Heat (GB)'s sire's record?
- Too Darn Hot (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.1% of 2,310 runs since Jan 2008 (319 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
- Who are Outback Heat (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Australian Queen (GB), Outback Heat (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Circuit Breaker (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Circuit Breaker (GB)). The wins came over 1m2f–2m5f. As at Oct 2026.