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Horse profile

Prevalence (GB)

3yo filly · Trainer G. M. Lyons · Owner Juddmonte
by Dark Angel (IRE) out of Occurrence (GB) (Frankel)
7 runs · 4 courses · from Sep 2025
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out 3 wins · Fairyhouse (IRE), Curragh & Dundalk (AW) Ran 26 days ago · 1st of 12 Last raced off OR 88
KTB Profile

Prevalence won three of seven starts, including two handicaps. She took the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap at Fairyhouse over 6f-7f on good ground in Sep 2026 off an official rating of 88, having earlier scored at Curragh over 1m-1m1f on good and in a Dundalk maiden on standard going. The Dark Angel filly out of an Occurrence mare is usually held up, as she was when winning last time out at Fairyhouse in Sep 2026. She has raced on turf and all-weather.

Based on 7 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Typically held up
Official rating88↓ 2lb off peak
88 82–90

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 101 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Fairyhouse (IRE), 21 Sep 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 7 figures · best 101A · median 80
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good4101A884 · 101 / 88
Standard (AW)290A83.51 · —
Soft1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f5101A804 · 101 / 85
1m – 1m1f298C882 · 98 / 88

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 102A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Curragh, 26 Jun 2026 Official rating 88 at the last run, 21 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 7 figures · best 102A · median 88
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good4102A94.54 · 102 / 94.5
Standard (AW)288A76.51 · —
Soft1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f5101A884 · 101 / 88
1m – 1m1f2102A85.52 · 102 / 85.5

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 6 analysed runs

  • Held up 5 (83%) · 3 wins
  • Midfield 1 (17%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 21,863 runs since Jan 2008 (1,593 horses).

Strongest on firm going: 15% from 107.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm1071615%+3.7—
Good to Firm3,69445212.2%+0.9—
Good4,83851010.5%−0.82 from 4
Good to Soft2,40625110.4%−0.9—
Soft2,7222539.3%−20 from 1
Heavy822698.4%−2.9—
Standard (AW)7,27391612.6%+1.31 from 2
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f2,06427813.5%+2.2—
6f – 7f10,6941,25111.7%+0.42 from 5
1m – 1m1f4,99054610.9%−0.41 from 2
1m2f – 1m4f2,4642369.6%−1.7—
1m5f – 2m1,08910910%−1.3—
2m1f – 2m4f472418.7%−2.6—
2m5f – 3m8678.1%−3.2—
Over 3m400%−11.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Occurrence (GB) (Frankel)

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Juncture (GB) (3 wins).

The wins came over 7f–1m; the highest grade won is Listed (Juncture (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Juncture (GB)937f–1mListed
Previse (GB)511mClass 4
Concurrent (GB)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 4 2 50% +11.50
Standard (AW) 2 1 50% +1.75
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Curragh 3 1 33% +2.50
Dundalk (AW) 2 1 50% +1.75
Fairyhouse (IRE) 1 1 100% +9.00
Cork (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 5 2 40% +8.75
1m – 1m1f 2 1 50% +3.50

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Colin Keane 4 3 75% +15.25
Nicola Burns 2 0 0% −2.00
Gary Carroll 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 5 2 40% +4.25
Cheekpieces 2 1 50% +8.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 5 2 40% +10.50
2025 2 1 50% +1.75

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
21 Sep 26+22d Fairyhouse (IRE) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap 7f · Good · 12 ran Held up towards back of the field - asked for effort out wide with 2f left - moved into contention approaching final furlong - hit front inside final 150 yards and stayed on strongly to score 1/12 10-0 88101A101A Colin Keane 9/1
30 Aug 26+65d Cork (IRE) Coolmore Stud Little Big Bear Stakes (Group 3) Class 1 · 7f · Yielding · 12 ran Held up early - lost touch through the race - well beaten in 12th 12/12 3¼ 9-2 9080C58C Colin Keane 12/1
26 Jun 26+33d Curragh Silken Thomas And Lock 13 Handicap 8f · Good · 20 ran Held up towards the back of the pack early - moved up into 7th on the outside 2f out - pushed into 3rd approaching the final furlong and a half before hitting the front with a furlong left - kept going strongly to the line 1/20 9-8 8298C102A Colin Keane 9/2
24 May 26+20d Curragh BYD At Finlay Motor Group Spring Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap) 8f · Good · 12 ran Settled around midfield - up to 5th passing the 3f marker - squeezed for space and dropped back with 1.5f left before shifting course left - unable to find more late and beaten into 10th 10/12 ½ 8-12 8378A69A Nicola Burns 5/1
04 May 26+178d Curragh Keadeen Hotel Supporting Newbridge Community Day Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Handicap 7f · Good · 12 ran Settled midpack while pulling hard early - still 6th with 2f remaining - progress into 3rd inside final furlong - slightly restrained 50yds from home - stayed on well to finish third 3/12 shd 9-3 8272A88A Nicola Burns 11/1
07 Nov 25+42d Dundalk (AW) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden 7f · Standard · 12 ran Sat just behind the front group fighting for control - in 4th and squeezed for space before angling left 2f out - up to 3rd and driven 1 1/2f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - kept finding more to win 1/12 9-2 —90A88A Colin Keane 11/4
26 Sep 25 Dundalk (AW) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden 7f · Standard · 13 ran Tardy away and bustled up from the back - still well towards the tail end 2f out with little progress to make - no impact in the closing stages and finished 10th 10/13 nse 9-2 —77B65A Gary Carroll 15/2

Quick answers

How many races has Prevalence (GB) won?
Prevalence (GB) won 3 of 7 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 42.9%. Placed 4 times in total (57.1% of starts).
Who trains Prevalence (GB)?
Prevalence (GB) is trained by G. M. Lyons, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 21 September 2026.
Who is Prevalence (GB)'s sire?
Prevalence (GB) is by Dark Angel (IRE) out of Occurrence (GB), whose sire is Frankel.
What going does Prevalence (GB) prefer?
Prevalence (GB) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Prevalence (GB)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 88, from the run on 21 September 2026. The highest on record is 90.
What is Prevalence (GB)'s sire's record?
Dark Angel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 21,863 runs since Jan 2008 (1,593 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 15% from 107.
Who are Prevalence (GB)'s siblings?
Out of Occurrence (GB), Prevalence (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Juncture (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Juncture (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from September 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.