What is G. F. Carroll's strike rate?

G. F. Carroll has won 236 of 2,406 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does G. F. Carroll do best at?

Listowel by strike rate: 11 wins from 59 rides (18.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does G. F. Carroll ride most for?

Gavin Cromwell, with 678 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (9.9%).

Is G. F. Carroll in form?

In the last 14 days: 30 rides, 9 winners, a strike rate of 30%. That is above the baseline of 9.8% since 2022.

What is G. F. Carroll's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 2,403 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

G. F. Carroll

2,406 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,026 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 9 winners last 14 days Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

236–2,406

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=2,406

664 (28%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=2,403 · 0.91 incl. margin

−659.83

£1 level stake

n=2,406 at SP · −27.4%

£5.70m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 480 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (185 rides). The rider is in form now — 9 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,406 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 29.7% when favourite Gavin Cromwell: 9.9% from 678 LTO winners: 14.6% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Listowel (18.6%, n=59), Ballinrobe (20%, n=30) and Roscommon (16.3%, n=98) — all clear of the rider's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Leopardstown (4.9% over 184 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=185, Fair A/E 1.04), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.5% (n=246, Fair A/E 0.84). Right now the rider is firing: 9 winners from 30 rides in the last 14 days (30%, 20.2pts above the 9.8% baseline). Gavin Cromwell supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Coronation Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2025, £411,573). The standout partner of the record: Lord Massusus (IRE) — 8 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.1%−2.7

n=949 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −401.52

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.6%+4.8

n=185 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −60.42

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7%−2.8

n=384 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −106.07

When favourite

29.7%

n=175 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −20.98

Big fields · 14+ runners

7%−2.8

n=1,036 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −405.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.5%−3.3

n=246 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −54.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Listowel 18.6% vs 9.8% · n=59

At Ballinrobe 20% vs 9.8% · n=30

With debutants 3.9% vs 9.8% · n=281

At Roscommon 16.3% vs 9.8% · n=98

At Leopardstown 4.9% vs 9.8% · n=184

On last-time-out winners 14.6% vs 9.8% · n=185

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 850 78 9.2% −317.44

Soft 708 72 10.2% −118.17

Standard (AW) 342 35 10.2% −109.91

Heavy 227 26 11.5% −63.67

Good to Soft 224 18 8% −82.64

Good to Firm 55 7 12.7% +32.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 381 27 7.1% −147.42

Dundalk (AW) 333 35 10.5% −100.91

Gowran Park 191 19 9.9% −74.61

Naas 188 22 11.7% +61.14

Leopardstown 184 9 4.9% −114.40

Navan 152 14 9.2% −49.00

Cork 119 10 8.4% −31.14

Galway 112 13 11.6% +2.71

Roscommon 98 16 16.3% −16.00

Down Royal 92 9 9.8% −20.00

Bellewstown 81 4 4.9% −55.75

Fairyhouse 74 11 14.9% −4.27

Killarney 73 6 8.2% −37.25

Listowel 59 11 18.6% −5.17

Limerick 50 5 10% −27.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 246 16 6.5% −54.30

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 227 63 27.8% 1.10 −26.89

2nd–3rd fav 469 96 20.5% 1.37 +18.56

4th–6th fav 723 52 7.2% 0.99 −198.50

7th+ in betting 987 25 2.5% 0.82 −453.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lord Massusus (IRE) 35 8 15 13 Sep 26

Earls (IRE) 28 5 12 31 Aug 26

Gustavus Weston (IRE) 22 0 1 23 Oct 24

Breezy Zoff (IRE) 22 2 9 22 Oct 24

Gordon Bennett (IRE) 19 3 6 19 Sep 26

Snellen (IRE) 16 4 8 16 Jul 26

Grey Leader (IRE) 15 4 5 2 Nov 25

Immutable (IRE) 14 3 10 27 Sep 26

White Clover (IRE) 14 2 6 22 Oct 25

Transcendental (FR) 14 1 2 12 Oct 24

Tofino (IRE) 12 1 4 27 Aug 26

Empress Alma (IRE) 12 3 3 5 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,026 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

9 from 30 30% · +20.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days30%

5-season base9.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

413889141088111110

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGavin Cromwell

28% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Gavin Cromwell 678 67 9.9% −216.61

Joseph G Murphy 429 54 12.6% +14.41

G M Lyons 296 34 11.5% −89.60

Michael Mulvany 131 14 10.7% −23.75

A Oliver 123 12 9.8% −38.00

Henry De Bromhead 47 5 10.6% −11.21

James McAuley 32 4 12.5% +43.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

653

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£13.4m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 59 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Cercene (IRE) — Coronation Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (Rnd) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£411,573

Sesenta (IRE) — Totesport Ebor Heritage Handicap York · Aug 2009 · Class 2

£130,851

Glass House (GB) — Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2015

£123,000

Notable horses

Lord Massusus (IRE) Fit For Function (GB) Invincible Ash (IRE) On The Go Again (IRE) Earls (IRE) Jazz Girl (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zoffany (IRE) 6% · 4–67

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,775 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 7.7% · 4–52

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,198 runs since 2020 (751 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 10.6% · 5–47

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,925 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 19.6% · 9–46

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,883 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Markaz (IRE) 19.5% · 8–41

Progeny have won 9.6% of 999 runs since 2020 (66 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 11% of 4,833 runs since 2021 (462 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,894 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,894 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2007 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) In My Teens (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 14/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Loosen And Limber (GB)T: Gavin Cromwell Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 1st 1/1F

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Invincible Will (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 3rd 9/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Endless Victory (GB)T: W. P. Mullins QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 22/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Unique Journey (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Ryans Cleaning Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Bright Dream (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 21st 100/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Daler (IRE)T: G. M. Lyons Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Wearing Stars (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 9/4

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bear On The Run (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Treasured Royal (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 18/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Southern Boulevard (IRE)T: G. M. Lyons Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/6F

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Celestial Siren (IRE)T: A Oliver Premiere Weekend Two-Day Ticket Just €35 Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 5/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Miss Cornelia (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy Premiere Weekend Race & Dine Packages From €75pp Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 100/30

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Amplitude (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 6/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Unreal Friend (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 33/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Enchanted Lady (GB)T: A Oliver Happy Halloween Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 100/30

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Westminster Waltz (IRE)T: A Oliver Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Pocket Jacks (IRE)T: A Oliver Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Golden Idol (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Coloursofthewind (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 9 runs (won 5, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 8 runs (won 4) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is G. F. Carroll's strike rate?: G. F. Carroll has won 236 of 2,406 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does G. F. Carroll do best at?: Listowel by strike rate: 11 wins from 59 rides (18.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does G. F. Carroll ride most for?: Gavin Cromwell, with 678 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (9.9%).
Is G. F. Carroll in form?: In the last 14 days: 30 rides, 9 winners, a strike rate of 30%. That is above the baseline of 9.8% since 2022.
What is G. F. Carroll's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 2,403 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.