Promising Lead (GB)
Promising Lead (GB) is 4 from 7, including a Group 1 win. Won last time out in the Audi Pretty Polly Stakes at Curragh — a first Group 1 win in our archive. Last raced off a career-high mark of 115.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Promising Lead (GB) has 7 produce in the archive, 6 winners — most wins Detective (GB) (8 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m3f; the highest grade won is Listed (Laurel (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detective (GB) | 64 | 8 | 7f–1m3f | Class 4 |
| Leadenhall (GB) | 35 | 5 | 1m–1m½f | Class 4 |
| Laurel (GB) | 6 | 3 | 1m | Listed |
| First Response (GB) | 35 | 3 | 1m | Class 4 |
| Vital Evidence (USA) | 22 | 2 | 1m2f | Class 4 |
| Surcingle (USA) | 4 | 1 | 1m | Class 4 |
| Lupin (USA) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
- 4–7Wins / Runs
- 57.1%Strike rate
- 6 (85.7%)Placed
- +5.23£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 1.71Fair A/E n=7 · 1.50 incl. margin
- 115Highest OR
- 44dBetween runs (median)longest 221 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 831 runs since Jan 2008 (63 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 15.4% from 298. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 20.7% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 168.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | +0.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 159 | 19 | 11.9% | +0.3 | 2 from 2 |
| Good | 167 | 18 | 10.8% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 80 | 4 | 5% | −6.6 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 84 | 5 | 6% | −5.6 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | −4.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 298 | 46 | 15.4% | +3.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 41 | 1 | 2.4% | −9.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 168 | 11 | 6.5% | −5.1 | 1 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 150 | 12 | 8% | −3.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 217 | 45 | 20.7% | +9.1 | 3 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 164 | 21 | 12.8% | +1.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 67 | 3 | 4.5% | −7.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | −2.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | +21.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Pressure Point (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m5½f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Visit (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pressure Point (GB) | 17 | 5 | 1m4f–1m5½f | Class 2 |
| Visit (GB) | 7 | 2 | 6f–7f | Group 3 |
| Guild (GB) | 29 | 2 | 1m3½f–1m4f | Class 5 |
| Revered (GB) | 5 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.73 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.90 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.60 |
| Curragh | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 3 | 60% | +2.90 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 5 | 3 | 60% | +2.90 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Frankie Dettori | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.40 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.83 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 28 Jun 08+44d | Curragh | Audi Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies Group 1) | 1/9 | 9-9 | 115 | 117A | Ryan Moore | 2/1F | |
| 15 May 08+221d | York | totescoop6 Middleton Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) | 1/5 | 8-12 | 115 | 109B | Ryan Moore | 2/5F | |
| 2007 · 5 runs | |||||||||
| 07 Oct 07+53d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix de l'Opera Casino Barriere d'Enghien (Fillies) | 2/11 | hd | 8-12 | — | — | Ryan Moore | 12/1 |
| 15 Aug 07+48d | Salisbury | E.B.F. Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed) | 1/8 | 8-5 | 96 | 102C | Ryan Moore | 5/2 | |
| 28 Jun 07+41d | Newcastle | E.B.F./GNER Go Racing Hoppings Stakes (Fillies' Listed) | 4/6 | 12 | 8-7 | 97 | 100C | Ryan Moore | EvensF |
| 18 May 07+28d | York | Michael Seely Memorial Fillies' Stakes (Listed) | 2/5 | nk | 8-12 | — | 101C | Kerrin McEvoy | 10/11F |
| 20 Apr 07 | Newbury | Bridget Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Str) | 1/16 | 9-0 | — | 98C | Frankie Dettori | 10/3F | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Promising Lead won?
- Promising Lead (GB) won 4 of 7 archived starts between 2007 and 2008, a strike rate of 57.1%. Placed 6 times in total (85.7% of starts).
- Who trained Promising Lead?
- Promising Lead (GB) was trained by Sir Michael Stoute on the most recent run on record, at Curragh on 28 June 2008.
- Who is Promising Lead's sire?
- Promising Lead (GB) is by Danehill (USA) out of Arrive (GB), whose sire is Kahyasi.
- What is Promising Lead's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 115, from the run on 28 June 2008. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Promising Lead's sire's record?
- Danehill (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 831 runs since Jan 2008 (63 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 15.4% from 298. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 20.7% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 168.
- Who are Promising Lead's siblings?
- Out of Arrive (GB), Promising Lead (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Pressure Point (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Visit (GB)). The wins came over 6f–1m5½f. As at Nov 2026.
- Has Promising Lead produced winners?
- As a dam, Promising Lead (GB) has 7 produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Detective (GB) (8). Highest grade won: Listed (Laurel (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m3f. As at Nov 2026.