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Trainer profile

Sir Michael Stoute

610 runners in the last 5 seasons · 134 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2024 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
91–610
Wins / Runs
14.9%
Strike rate
n=610
236 (39%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=608 · 0.72 incl. margin
−213.49
£1 level stake
n=610 at SP · −35.0%
£4.38m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 20% off breaks of two months or more (172 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 610 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 19.8% 35.1% when favourite Richard Kingscote: 15% from 253 Sends off the favourite in 21% of races
The read

It is weakest at Chelmsford City (AW) (6.7% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 19.8% (n=172, Fair A/E 1.04), but debutants struggle at 8.9% (n=90, Fair A/E 0.89). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 14.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −15.69 to a £1 stake over 102 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Kingscote rides 41% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15%, A/E 0.82). The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (25.9%, n=85). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 6.5% over 77 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 57 runners (7% strike, −31.97 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 321 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2010, £2,022,655). The stable star of the record: Mustashry (GB) — 9 wins from 21 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
19.8%+4.9
n=172 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −29.37
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−14.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
8.9%−6.0
n=90 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −39.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+1.8
n=24 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −9.38
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−14.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
35.1%
n=131 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −22.28
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10%−4.9
n=20 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −10.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.7%−0.2
n=102 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −15.69

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 25.9% vs 14.9% · n=85
In Class 2 6.5% vs 14.9% · n=77
On last-time-out winners 22.5% vs 14.9% · n=89
On Good to Soft going 7% vs 14.9% · n=57
At Chelmsford City (AW) 6.7% vs 14.9% · n=30
With debutants 8.9% vs 14.9% · n=90
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 178 32 18% +7.48
Good to Firm 155 24 15.5% −77.46
Standard (AW) 149 22 14.8% −66.28
Soft 62 8 12.9% −38.36
Good to Soft 57 4 7% −31.97
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −6.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 55 7 12.7% −37.36
Newmarket 42 6 14.3% −14.14
Nottingham 36 7 19.4% −1.17
Yarmouth 34 7 20.6% −12.34
Windsor 31 4 12.9% −5.00
Ascot 31 3 9.7% −15.97
Chelmsford City (AW) 30 2 6.7% −9.17
Sandown 29 7 24.1% +29.00
Newmarket 27 1 3.7% −24.90
Salisbury 25 4 16% −11.13
Doncaster 25 4 16% −7.23
Newbury 24 4 16.7% −5.44
Lingfield (AW) 22 4 18.2% −11.67
Goodwood 22 3 13.6% −10.12
Leicester 21 5 23.8% −1.07

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 176 24 13.6% −92.02
Class 4 157 30 19.1% −36.62
Class 1 102 15 14.7% −15.69
Class 3 93 16 17.2% −18.92
Class 2 77 5 6.5% −49.74
Class 6 5 1 20% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 146 48 32.9% 0.96 −29.03
2nd–3rd fav 231 29 12.6% 0.68 −100.96
4th–6th fav 187 13 7% 0.85 −56.50
7th+ in betting 46 1 2.2% 0.54 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Regal Reality (GB) 17 2 5 7 Sep 24
Fox Journey (GB)then Kevin Ryan 16 3 5 24 Aug 24
Pumalin Park (IRE)then Gerald Mosse 12 2 4 25 Sep 24
Potapova (GB) 12 1 6 7 Nov 23
Aerion Power (IRE)then Hamad Al Jehani 11 1 4 14 Sep 24
Real Dream (IRE)then Ian Williams 11 3 5 31 Aug 24
Bay Bridge (GB) 10 3 5 21 Oct 23
Crystal Caprice (IRE) 10 3 4 29 Sep 23
Zaakara (GB) 10 0 3 6 Sep 23
Nostrum (GB)then David O'Meara 9 3 5 20 Sep 24
Prepense (GB) 9 2 5 25 Nov 23
Zarga (FR) 9 1 3 30 Oct 23
The 60 most-raced of 134 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for Andrew Balding (3) and David O'Meara (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
···211814161316870
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
41% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 0.82
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Kingscote 253 38 15% −81.59
Ryan Moore 147 27 18.4% −41.32
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
1,550
Archived wins
321
Pattern / graded wins
£52.5m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 117 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Workforce (GB) — Qatar Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe (3yo+ Colts Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2010 · Group 1
£2,022,655
Desert Crown (GB) — Cazoo Derby (In Memory of Lester Piggott) (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2022 · Group 1
£909,628
Workforce (GB) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2010 · Group 1
£771,504

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Frankel (GB) 8.7% · 6–69
Progeny have won 18% of 7,475 runs since 2008 (870 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.5% from 321. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 266.
Kingman (GB) 20% · 12–60
Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,453 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 958. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.2% from 119.
Ulysses (IRE) 14.6% · 7–48
Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,958 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Sea The Stars (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,915 runs since 2008 (1,104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 452. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 25% · 9–36
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,119 runs since 2008 (1,097 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 952.
Intello (GER) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,466 runs since 2008 (388 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15% from 227. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,989 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,989 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 April 2005 to 6 November 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Oct 24 Newmarket Nightwalker (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/1
04 Oct 24 Ascot Never So Brave (IRE)J: Ryan Moore Bet MGM HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 11/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sir Michael Stoute's strike rate?
Sir Michael Stoute has won 91 of 610 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sir Michael Stoute do best at?
Yarmouth by strike rate: 7 wins from 34 runners (20.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sir Michael Stoute?
Richard Kingscote, with 253 runners since 2022 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (15%).
What is Sir Michael Stoute's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 608 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).